Justin Graham M
mens 13–21 · mixed 12–19
-0.4 (-3.3…+1.8)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#275
of 286 active men (within gender only)
25–40
career record · 38% wins, 46% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · -0.2 pts (90% band -3.1 to +1.9) 2024-02 · -0.2 pts (90% band -3.0 to +1.9) 2024-03 · -0.2 pts (90% band -3.0 to +1.8) 2024-04 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.9 to +1.8) 2024-05 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.9 to +1.8) 2024-06 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.8 to +1.7) 2024-07 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.7 to +1.7) 2024-08 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.7 to +1.6) 2024-09 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.5) 2024-10 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.5) 2024-11 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.5) 2024-12 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.4 to +1.4) 2025-01 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.3 to +1.3) 2025-02 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.3 to +1.3) 2025-03 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.2 to +1.3) 2025-04 · -0.1 pts (90% band -2.1 to +1.3) 2025-05 · -0.1 pts (90% band -2.0 to +1.2) 2025-06 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.0 to +1.2) 2025-07 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.1 to +1.2) 2025-08 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.1 to +1.2) 2025-09 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.1 to +1.2) 2025-10 · -0.2 pts (90% band -2.1 to +1.2) 2025-11 · -0.3 pts (90% band -2.3 to +1.2) 2025-12 · -0.3 pts (90% band -2.3 to +1.2) 2026-01 · -0.4 pts (90% band -2.5 to +1.2) 2026-02 · -0.4 pts (90% band -2.6 to +1.3) 2026-03 · -0.4 pts (90% band -2.7 to +1.3) 2026-04 · -0.4 pts (90% band -2.8 to +1.4) 2026-05 · -0.4 pts (90% band -2.9 to +1.5) 2026-06 · -0.4 pts (90% band -3.0 to +1.6) 2026-07 · -0.4 pts (90% band -3.0 to +1.6) 2026-08 · -0.4 pts (90% band -3.1 to +1.6) 2026-09 · -0.4 pts (90% band -3.2 to +1.7) 2026-10 · -0.4 pts (90% band -3.3 to +1.8) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-12-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Vitale/Brown · w/ Erin Denney · model expected 26% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Vitale/Brown · w/ Erin Denney · model expected 26% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Medlin/Vasquez · w/ Dylan Lewis · model expected 59% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Medlin/Vasquez · w/ Dylan Lewis · model expected 59% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Madonia/Goldin · w/ Dylan Lewis · model expected 36% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Madonia/Goldin · w/ Dylan Lewis · model expected 36% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Luca Mack · model expected 51% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Luca Mack · model expected 51% of points 2025-01-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pham/Nahum · w/ Luca Mack · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Seguso/Sitar · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Seguso/Sitar · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Seguso/Sitar · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Adsit/Moore · w/ Connor Daland · model expected 47% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Adsit/Moore · w/ Connor Daland · model expected 47% of points 2025-03-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Adsit/Moore · w/ Connor Daland · model expected 47% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Evans/Plummer · w/ Roger Dugas · model expected 54% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Witten/Berven · w/ Roger Dugas · model expected 51% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Witten/Berven · w/ Roger Dugas · model expected 51% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Witten/Berven · w/ Roger Dugas · model expected 51% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Roger Dugas · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Roger Dugas · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Roger Dugas · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 15-6 · vs Cabieses/Conde · w/ Kara Evans · model expected 66% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 5-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Kara Evans · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 1-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Kara Evans · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 9-15 · vs Hidalgo-Smith/Durbin · w/ Kara Evans · model expected 40% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Kawamoto/Kawamoto · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 45% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kawamoto/Kawamoto · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 45% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kawamoto/Kawamoto · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 45% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Teape/Risi · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 67% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 11-0 · vs Teape/Risi · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 67% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Teape/Risi · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 67% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 12-15 · vs Wynne/Berryman · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 43% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Matos/Aiken · w/ Carlos Subero · model expected 53% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-8 · vs Borawski/Zion · w/ Carlos Subero · model expected 62% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 7-11 · vs Davis/Carrol · w/ Carlos Subero · model expected 37% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Davis/Carrol · w/ Carlos Subero · model expected 37% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ferguson/Eaby · w/ Fadia Fakhre · model expected 34% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 12-15 · vs Goodwin/Larson · w/ Fadia Fakhre · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Carlon/Ciampini · w/ Fadia Fakhre · model expected 43% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Quintanilla/Sze · w/ Fadia Fakhre · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Quintanilla/Pokopec · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 54% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Quintanilla/Pokopec · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 54% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bieger/Rodriguez · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bieger/Rodriguez · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bieger/Rodriguez · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 31% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Perez/Libo · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 42% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Perez/Libo · w/ Valerie R Simon · model expected 42% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Simon/Matos · w/ Victoria Simon · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 0-11 · vs Simon/Matos · w/ Victoria Simon · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Simon/Matos · w/ Victoria Simon · model expected 48% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kohutova/Sikora · w/ Victoria Simon · model expected 59% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kohutova/Sikora · w/ Victoria Simon · model expected 59% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Khalid/Wynne · w/ Victoria Simon · model expected 40% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Khalid/Wynne · w/ Victoria Simon · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 10-15 · vs Gonnering/Anderson · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 45% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Zoeteman/Mulenga · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 56% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Zoeteman/Mulenga · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 56% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tapfuma/Ford · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tapfuma/Ford · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Tapfuma/Ford · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Greenlaw/Bardauil · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 39% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Greenlaw/Bardauil · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Mody/Kim · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Mody/Kim · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 33% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 2–4 33% 6.7–9.5 2025 PPA 19–30 39% 8.6–9.7 2026 PPA 4–6 40% 8.2–9.7
3–7
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–5
overtime games (past the target)
8
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-0.0 (-1.7…+1.6)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
45 pro singles games
21–24
singles record · last 2026-01
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Valerie R Simon 14 6–8 49% +0.09 ±0.47 (noise) Emanuel Dickson 13 5–8 47% +0.00 ±0.49 (noise) Roger Dugas 7 3–4 51% +0.05 ±0.50 (noise) Victoria Simon 7 3–4 42% -0.09 ±0.50 (noise) Dylan Lewis 4 2–2 49% +0.01 ±0.51 (noise) Kara Evans 4 1–3 41% -0.02 ±0.53 (noise) Carlos Subero 4 1–3 46% -0.03 ±0.51 (noise) Fadia Fakhre 4 2–2 45% +0.04 ±0.52 (noise) Luca Mack 3 1–2 45% -0.04 ±0.51 (noise) Connor Daland 3 1–2 49% +0.01 ±0.51 (noise) Erin Denney 2 0–2 21% +0.00 ±0.53 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-03-07 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Mody/Kim 3-11 -11% 2026-03-07 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Mody/Kim 4-11 -6% 2026-01-10 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Greenlaw/Bardauil 6-11 -4% 2026-01-10 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Greenlaw/Bardauil 7-11 -0% 2026-01-10 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Tapfuma/Ford 11-2 +33% 2026-01-10 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Tapfuma/Ford 11-4 +22% 2026-01-10 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Tapfuma/Ford 5-11 -20% 2026-01-10 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Zoeteman/Mulenga 12-10 OT-1% 2026-01-10 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Zoeteman/Mulenga 13-11 OT-2% 2026-01-10 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Gonnering/Anderson 10-15 -5% 2025-12-16 PPA · mixed Victoria Simon Khalid/Wynne 6-11 -5% 2025-12-16 PPA · mixed Victoria Simon Khalid/Wynne 3-11 -18%
Put Justin in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.