Roger Dugas M
mens 12–16 · mixed 17–26
+0.9 (-2.0…+3.0)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#261
of 286 active men (within gender only)
29–42
career record · 41% wins, 47% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +0.2 pts (90% band -3.1 to +2.6) 2024-02 · +0.2 pts (90% band -3.0 to +2.5) 2024-03 · +0.2 pts (90% band -3.0 to +2.5) 2024-04 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.9 to +2.5) 2024-05 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.9 to +2.4) 2024-06 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.9 to +2.4) 2024-07 · +0.2 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.4) 2024-08 · +0.3 pts (90% band -2.7 to +2.4) 2024-09 · +0.3 pts (90% band -2.6 to +2.4) 2024-10 · +0.3 pts (90% band -2.6 to +2.4) 2024-11 · +0.4 pts (90% band -2.5 to +2.4) 2024-12 · +0.4 pts (90% band -2.4 to +2.4) 2025-01 · +0.5 pts (90% band -2.3 to +2.5) 2025-02 · +0.5 pts (90% band -2.1 to +2.4) 2025-03 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.5) 2025-04 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.8 to +2.5) 2025-05 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.5) 2025-06 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.6) 2025-07 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.7) 2025-08 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.8) 2025-09 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.8) 2025-10 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.9) 2025-11 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.9) 2025-12 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.9) 2026-01 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.8) 2026-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.8) 2026-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.8) 2026-04 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.8) 2026-05 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.8) 2026-06 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.9) 2026-07 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.8 to +2.9) 2026-08 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.9 to +3.0) 2026-09 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.0) 2026-10 · +0.9 pts (90% band -2.0 to +3.0) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-06-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Alhouni/Eugenio · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 28% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Alhouni/Eugenio · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 28% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bies/Ojeda · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 55% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bies/Ojeda · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 55% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bies/Ojeda · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 55% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Goldberg/Blanco · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 25% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Goldberg/Blanco · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 25% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Giannelli/Farias · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 37% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Giannelli/Farias · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Evans/Plummer · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 54% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Witten/Berven · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 51% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Witten/Berven · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 51% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Witten/Berven · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 51% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Lewis/Durbin · w/ Justin Graham · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Conard/Geminiani · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Conard/Geminiani · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 7-15 · vs Manzanares/Daland · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 56% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 11-0 · vs Dahm/Valenti · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 66% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dahm/Valenti · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 66% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 2-15 · vs Stanciu/Protzek · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 39% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Araya/Daehler · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 47% of points 2025-06-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Araya/Daehler · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Reason/Moreno · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 53% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Reason/Moreno · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 53% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Reason/Moreno · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 53% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 7-11 · vs Parks/Aninon · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 36% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Parks/Aninon · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 36% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 7-15 · vs Nani/Grollman · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 40% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 15-11 · vs Summers/Gonnering · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 45% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 15-12 · vs Haresign/Matro · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 60% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 15-12 · vs Rosati/Uspensky · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 37% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Walker/Delgado · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 24% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Walker/Delgado · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 24% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 7-15 · vs Ronney/Whittaker · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 38% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Turosinski/Guy · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 44% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Turosinski/Guy · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 44% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 10-15 · vs Ulery/Seagraves · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 41% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Leonard/Steiner · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 45% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Leonard/Steiner · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 45% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Leonard/Steiner · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 45% of points 2025-10-12 PPA · 15-6 · vs Lawson/Hale · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 63% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Holder/Turcsany · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 52% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Holder/Turcsany · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 52% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Citarelli/Morales · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 67% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Citarelli/Morales · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 67% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Benjamin/Coleman · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 59% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Benjamin/Coleman · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 59% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bui/Sitar · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 32% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bui/Sitar · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 32% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Taylor/Cincola · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 42% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Taylor/Cincola · w/ A.j. Scarp · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Slive/IV · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 5-11 · vs McMillan/Alvarez · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs McMillan/Alvarez · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-6 · vs Buyckx/Vallejo · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-8 · vs Buyckx/Vallejo · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 38% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Depetro/Rudden · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mercado/Anderson · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mercado/Anderson · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 8-15 · vs Camras/Garretson · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Torres/Dages · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Torres/Dages · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Torres/Dages · w/ Emanuel Dickson · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 11-0 · vs Wasson/Nichols · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Wasson/Nichols · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wasson/Nichols · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 10-15 · vs Camras/Insani · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 45% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ampon/Young · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 32% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ampon/Young · w/ Brittany Levkulich · model expected 32% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 2–7 22% 5.3–10.4 2025 PPA 20–24 45% 8.9–9.2 2026 PPA 7–11 39% 8.9–10.1
5–2
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
1–3
overtime games (past the target)
11
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-3
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-3.7 (-5.7…-1.1)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
13 pro singles games
4–9
singles record · last 2025-06
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-04-19 PPA · mixed Brittany Levkulich Ampon/Young 3-11 -11% 2026-04-19 PPA · mixed Brittany Levkulich Ampon/Young 5-11 -1% 2026-04-19 PPA · mixed Brittany Levkulich Camras/Insani 10-15 -5% 2026-04-19 PPA · mixed Brittany Levkulich Wasson/Nichols 11-7 +1% 2026-04-19 PPA · mixed Brittany Levkulich Wasson/Nichols 8-11 -18% 2026-04-19 PPA · mixed Brittany Levkulich Wasson/Nichols 11-0 +40% 2026-04-18 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Torres/Dages 11-8 -6% 2026-04-18 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Torres/Dages 11-3 +15% 2026-04-18 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Torres/Dages 7-11 -25% 2026-04-18 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Camras/Garretson 8-15 -4% 2026-04-18 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Mercado/Anderson 6-11 -8% 2026-04-18 PPA · mens Emanuel Dickson Mercado/Anderson 9-11 +2%
Put Roger in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.