Matthew Barlow M
mens 41–29 · mixed 40–23
+3.7 (+2.6…+4.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#98
of 286 active men (within gender only)
81–52
career record · 61% wins, 53% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +5.0) 2024-02 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.7 to +5.0) 2024-03 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.9) 2024-04 · +3.5 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.9) 2024-05 · +3.6 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.9) 2024-06 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.9) 2024-07 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.9) 2024-08 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.9) 2024-09 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.9) 2024-10 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.9) 2024-11 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.8) 2024-12 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.8) 2025-01 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.8) 2025-02 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.8) 2025-03 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.8) 2025-04 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.8) 2025-05 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.8) 2025-06 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.7) 2025-07 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.7) 2025-08 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.7) 2025-09 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.7) 2025-10 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.7) 2025-11 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.7) 2025-12 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.7) 2026-01 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.7) 2026-02 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.7) 2026-03 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.6) 2026-04 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.6) 2026-05 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.6) 2026-06 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.5) 2026-07 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.6) 2026-08 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.6) 2026-09 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.6) 2026-10 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.7) +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Brown/Teoni · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Brown/Teoni · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Janssen/Nanavati · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 71% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-0 · vs Janssen/Nanavati · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 71% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dizon/Daescu · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 27% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 0-11 · vs Dizon/Daescu · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 27% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dizon/Daescu · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 27% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-0 · vs Jauschneg/Petropouleas · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 72% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jauschneg/Petropouleas · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 72% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Reyes/Harvey · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 63% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Reyes/Harvey · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 63% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hendry/Oncins · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 41% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hendry/Oncins · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 41% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Blanco/Saez · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 48% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Blanco/Saez · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 48% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Nunez/Parks · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 59% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Nunez/Parks · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 59% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Eveloff/Vogel · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 66% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Eveloff/Vogel · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 66% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Jensen/Deaver · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 71% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Jensen/Deaver · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 71% of points 2025-02-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 59% of points 2025-02-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 59% of points 2025-02-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 59% of points 2025-02-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Parenteau/Staksrud · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 29% of points 2025-02-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Parenteau/Staksrud · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 29% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Casady/Casady · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 78% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Casady/Casady · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 78% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Long/Wan · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 57% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Long/Wan · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 57% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Caulfield/Blocker · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 71% of points 2026-02-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Caulfield/Blocker · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 71% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Steiner/Gonnering · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Steiner/Gonnering · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Newman/Mackinnon · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Newman/Mackinnon · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ford/Benitez · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ford/Benitez · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 53% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Stanciu/Whittaker · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Stanciu/Whittaker · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rangelov/Ford · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rangelov/Ford · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Rangelov/Ford · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 26% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 26% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs Teoni/Mogle · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Teoni/Mogle · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Krittayaweth/Castellanos · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Krittayaweth/Castellanos · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 9-15 · vs III/Ge · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 45% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Shekar/Inn · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Shekar/Inn · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 9-11 · vs Shekar/Inn · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Buchhauser/Kikkawa · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Buchhauser/Kikkawa · w/ Rio Newcombe · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Rodrigo/Shekar · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rodrigo/Shekar · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rodrigo/Shekar · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johns/Yeh · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Johns/Yeh · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Johns/Yeh · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-7 · vs Alhouni/Smith · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Alhouni/Smith · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 15% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 15% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Alshon/Patriquin · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 26% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Alshon/Patriquin · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 26% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 4-11 · vs Weil/Campbell · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-21 MLP · 2-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Shimabukuro · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Alhouni/Ayotte · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Alhouni/Ayotte · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Alhouni/Ayotte · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Kim/Bakalinsky · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kim/Bakalinsky · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kim/Bakalinsky · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Tacheny/Jr. · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tacheny/Jr. · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Radermacher/Cassens · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Radermacher/Cassens · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Radermacher/Cassens · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sonday/Wade · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sonday/Wade · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Courteau/Varon · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Courteau/Varon · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kim/Gorches · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 73% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Kim/Gorches · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 73% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Lenhart/Anderson · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lenhart/Anderson · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs Trevino/Poland · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Trevino/Poland · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Trevino/Poland · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Woog/Cole · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Woog/Cole · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Woog/Cole · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs McGowan/Ohrel · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs McGowan/Ohrel · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 20% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Naomi Nguyen · model expected 20% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Goldin/Ford · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Goldin/Ford · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goldin/Ford · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Oncins/Khlif · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Oncins/Khlif · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Dow/Mogle · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 1-11 · vs Dow/Mogle · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Dow/Mogle · w/ Ivan Jakovljevic · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wen/Landheer · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wen/Landheer · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ayotte/Jacobson · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ayotte/Jacobson · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ayotte/Jacobson · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-3 · vs Anderson/Camras · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Anderson/Camras · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Anderson/Camras · w/ Eli Steiner · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Faletto/Trevino · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 36% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 4-11 · vs Faletto/Trevino · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 36% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 15-6 · vs Minniefield/Ayon · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Courteau/Poland · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Courteau/Poland · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fitzgerald/Kim · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-5 · vs Fitzgerald/Kim · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 15-9 · vs Newman/Jacobson · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Grigoriu/Eaby · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Grigoriu/Eaby · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 15-5 · vs Mogle/Brown · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 65% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 13–7 65% 9.2–7.3 2025 PPA 8–5 62% 9.9–7.3 2026 MLP 0–2 0% 3.0–11.0 2026 PPA 60–38 61% 8.9–7.9
11–6
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
7–3
overtime games (past the target)
34
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+1
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+6.7 (+6.3…+7.1)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
102 pro singles games
71–31
singles record · last 2026-09
4–4
DreamBreaker rallies · 1 DBs, team 0–1
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Mogle/Brown 15-5 +10% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Grigoriu/Eaby 8-11 -8% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Grigoriu/Eaby 5-11 -19% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Newman/Jacobson 15-9 +13% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Fitzgerald/Kim 11-5 +6% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Fitzgerald/Kim 11-6 +2% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Courteau/Poland 11-3 +24% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Courteau/Poland 11-6 +10% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Minniefield/Ayon 15-6 +15% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Faletto/Trevino 4-11 -9% 2026-09-20 PPA · mixed Ella Yeh Faletto/Trevino 2-11 -20% 2026-09-19 PPA · mens Eli Steiner Anderson/Camras 11-9 +0%
Put Matthew in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.