Emma Nelson W
womens 19–38 · mixed 41–46
+3.3 (+2.0…+4.4)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#92
of 204 active women (within gender only)
60–84
career record · 42% wins, 46% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.3) 2024-02 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.3) 2024-03 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2024-04 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.3) 2024-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.3) 2024-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2) 2024-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2) 2024-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2) 2024-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2) 2024-10 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1) 2024-11 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1) 2024-12 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1) 2025-01 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.1) 2025-02 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.0) 2025-03 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.1) 2025-04 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.1) 2025-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.1) 2025-06 · +3.1 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.2) 2025-07 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.2) 2025-08 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.2) 2025-09 · +3.2 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.2) 2025-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.2) 2025-11 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.2) 2025-12 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.2) 2026-01 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.3) 2026-02 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.3) 2026-03 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.3) 2026-04 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.3) 2026-05 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.3) 2026-06 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.2) 2026-07 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.2) 2026-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.3) 2026-09 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.3) 2026-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.4) +1 +2 +3 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-02-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 37% of points 2024-02-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 37% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 5-15 · vs Hovenier/Brown · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 36% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hawk/Peterson · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 43% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hawk/Peterson · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 43% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hawk/Peterson · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 43% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 15-6 · vs Goodburn/Rivas · w/ Alex Lantz · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Brown/Teoni · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Brown/Teoni · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Aldridge/Delgado · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Janssen/Nanavati · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 71% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-0 · vs Janssen/Nanavati · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 71% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dizon/Daescu · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 27% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 0-11 · vs Dizon/Daescu · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 27% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dizon/Daescu · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 27% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Phillips/McMillan · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 42% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Phillips/McMillan · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 42% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-0 · vs Jauschneg/Petropouleas · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 72% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jauschneg/Petropouleas · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 72% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hendry/Oncins · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 41% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hendry/Oncins · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 41% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rives/Ochoa · w/ Polina Libo · model expected 44% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rives/Ochoa · w/ Polina Libo · model expected 44% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Jackson/Leonard · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 69% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Jackson/Leonard · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 69% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ayon/Luqur · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 49% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ayon/Luqur · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 49% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ayon/Luqur · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 49% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Doren/Blair · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 69% of points 2025-02-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Doren/Blair · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 69% of points 2025-02-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Taylor/Trifunovic · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 64% of points 2025-02-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Taylor/Trifunovic · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 64% of points 2025-02-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bui/Banada · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 46% of points 2025-02-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bui/Banada · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 46% of points 2025-02-19 PPA · 0-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johnson · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 26% of points 2025-02-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johnson · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 26% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Minniefield/Hamaguchi · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 64% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Minniefield/Hamaguchi · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 64% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Minniefield/Hamaguchi · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 64% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ferguson/Jones · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 74% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ferguson/Jones · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 74% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Widdershoven/Minniefield · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 46% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Widdershoven/Minniefield · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 46% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Widdershoven/Minniefield · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 46% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Khlif · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 30% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Khlif · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 30% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rettger/Benitez · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 58% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rettger/Benitez · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Reichert/Matthews · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 36% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Reichert/Matthews · w/ Ella Yeh · model expected 36% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Reichert/Lane · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 44% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Reichert/Lane · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 44% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Reichert/Lane · w/ Cameron Luhring · model expected 44% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ignatowich/Protzek · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 61% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ignatowich/Protzek · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 61% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 0-11 · vs Frazier/Fahey · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 33% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Frazier/Fahey · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 33% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Parenteau/Todd · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 18% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Parenteau/Todd · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 18% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bouchard/Rau · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 55% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Bouchard/Rau · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 55% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Garnett/Rane · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 37% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 0-11 · vs Garnett/Rane · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 37% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Bouchard/Emmrich · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 56% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bouchard/Emmrich · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 56% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 0-11 · vs Gecheva/Ingram · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 47% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 11-8 · vs Gecheva/Ingram · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 47% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 11-6 · vs Gecheva/Ingram · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 47% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Jansen/Christian · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 35% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Jansen/Christian · w/ Chloe Igleski · model expected 35% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Schneemann/Freeman · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Schneemann/Freeman · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Schneemann/Freeman · w/ Camden Chaffin · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-9 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 2-11 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Abbigal Hatton · model expected 33% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Mackinnon/Rau · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mackinnon/Rau · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Safdar/Khan · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Safdar/Khan · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Safdar/Khan · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 16% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 2-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 16% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Stratman/Johnson · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Stratman/Johnson · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Goodnow/Candelaria · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 49% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Goodnow/Candelaria · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 49% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Goodnow/Candelaria · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 49% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 17% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 0-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 17% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Stanciu/Whittaker · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Stanciu/Whittaker · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Conard/Campbell · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 53% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Conard/Campbell · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 53% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-6 · vs Conard/Campbell · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 53% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wang/Irvine · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wang/Irvine · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wang/Irvine · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Christopher Haworth · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wei/Jones · w/ Cailyn Campbell · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wei/Jones · w/ Cailyn Campbell · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Jakovljevic/Castillo · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 41% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Castillo · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 41% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Castillo · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 41% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cosma/Stanciu · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 71% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-0 · vs Cosma/Stanciu · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 71% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Humberg/Rane · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Humberg/Rane · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 35% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Humberg/Rane · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 35% of points 2026-05-28 MLP · 4-11 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 5-11 · vs Humberg/Navratil · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 38% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 8-11 · vs Wei/Humberg · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 38% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 3-11 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 20% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 11-8 · vs Widdershoven/Powell · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 11-8 · vs Hatton/Loyd · w/ James Delgado · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-14 MLP · 11-6 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ James Delgado · model expected 49% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 6-11 · vs Dunlap/Frazier · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 41% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 4-11 · vs Widdershoven/Dunlap · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 43% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 4-11 · vs Irvine/Humberg · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 38% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 11-1 · vs Walker/Rane · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 2-11 · vs Humberg/Vich · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 37% of points 2026-07-23 MLP · 6-11 · vs Humberg/Vich · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 11-7 · vs Dizon/Campbell · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 39% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 6-11 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 38% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 9-11 · vs Jones/Shimabukuro · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 11-9 · vs Campbell/Mackinnon · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 43% of points 2026-07-26 MLP · 6-11 · vs Dennehy/Frazier · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 0-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 24% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 3-11 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 32% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 4-11 · vs Yoshitomi/Stone · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 55% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 5-11 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 21% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Loong/Newman · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Loong/Newman · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Loong/Newman · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Walczak/Kunimoto · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Walczak/Kunimoto · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Whittaker/Hatton · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 56% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Whittaker/Hatton · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 56% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 11–14 44% 7.7–8.4 2025 PPA 23–24 49% 7.7–8.7 2026 MLP 6–16 27% 6.4–9.8 2026 PPA 20–30 40% 7.6–8.9
5–13
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
7–4
overtime games (past the target)
25
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+1.0 (-0.5…+2.5)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
46 pro singles games
18–28
singles record · last 2026-09
2–6
DreamBreaker rallies · 1 DBs, team 0–1
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Max Freeman Whittaker/Hatton 11-7 +5% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Max Freeman Whittaker/Hatton 11-4 +17% 2026-09-17 PPA · womens Genie Erokhina Walczak/Kunimoto 2-11 -22% 2026-09-17 PPA · womens Genie Erokhina Walczak/Kunimoto 2-11 -22% 2026-09-16 PPA · mixed Michael Loyd Loong/Newman 9-11 -1% 2026-09-16 PPA · mixed Michael Loyd Loong/Newman 11-6 +19% 2026-09-16 PPA · mixed Michael Loyd Loong/Newman 5-11 -15% 2026-07-31 MLP · mixed Zane Navratil Waters/Khlif 5-11 +11% 2026-07-31 MLP · mixed Zane Navratil Yoshitomi/Stone 4-11 -28% 2026-07-30 MLP · mixed Zane Navratil Pisnik/Bar 3-11 -10% 2026-07-30 MLP · mixed Zane Navratil Kawamoto/Johns 0-11 -24% 2026-07-26 MLP · mixed AJ Koller Dennehy/Frazier 6-11 -1%
Put Emma in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.