PICKLES

Roman Estareja M

mens 25–21 · mixed 19–11

+4.3 (+1.8…+6.1)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 286 active men (within gender only; no 2026 games)
44–32
career record · 58% wins, 54% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.4 to +5.1)2024-02 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.1)2024-03 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.1)2024-04 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.6 to +5.1)2024-05 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.2)2024-06 · +4.1 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.2)2024-07 · +4.1 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.2)2024-08 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.2)2024-09 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.3)2024-10 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.3)2024-11 · +4.2 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.4)2024-12 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.5)2025-01 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.5)2025-02 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.5)2025-03 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.6)2025-04 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.6 to +5.6)2025-05 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.6)2025-06 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.7)2025-07 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.4 to +5.7)2025-08 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.4 to +5.8)2025-09 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.3 to +5.8)2025-10 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.3 to +5.8)2025-11 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.2 to +5.9)2025-12 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.2 to +5.9)2026-01 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +5.9)2026-02 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +5.9)2026-03 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +5.9)2026-04 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +6.0)2026-05 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +6.0)2026-06 · +4.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +6.0)2026-07 · +4.3 pts (90% band +1.9 to +6.0)2026-08 · +4.3 pts (90% band +1.9 to +6.1)2026-09 · +4.3 pts (90% band +1.9 to +6.1)2026-10 · +4.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +6.1)+2+4+6202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-09 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Ora/Knight · w/ Aron Ouye · model expected 60% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ora/Knight · w/ Aron Ouye · model expected 60% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ora/Knight · w/ Aron Ouye · model expected 60% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Eugenio/McAuley · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 53% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Eugenio/McAuley · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 53% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Eugenio/McAuley · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 53% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Graute/Biakina · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 74% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Graute/Biakina · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 74% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ora/Murphy · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 70% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ora/Murphy · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 70% of points2024-04-19 PPA · 11-8 · vs Schmidt/Dawson · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 52% of points2024-04-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Schmidt/Dawson · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 52% of points2024-04-19 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Schmidt/Dawson · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 52% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Schenk/Powell · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 45% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Schenk/Powell · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 45% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Alhouni/Eugenio · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 54% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Alhouni/Eugenio · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 54% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Taibl/Purcell · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 66% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Taibl/Purcell · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 66% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Johnson/Newell · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 45% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Johnson/Newell · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 45% of points2024-06-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Newell · w/ Tia Elpusan · model expected 45% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 11-6 · vs Beasley/Whittaker · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 45% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 4-11 · vs Beasley/Whittaker · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 45% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 3-11 · vs Beasley/Whittaker · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 45% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Chrysostom/Kotnana · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 57% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Chrysostom/Kotnana · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 57% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Long/Mick · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 44% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Long/Mick · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 44% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Long/Mick · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 44% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bieger/Truong · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 52% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bieger/Truong · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 52% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bieger/Truong · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 52% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Freeman/Benitez · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 54% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Freeman/Benitez · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 54% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Freeman/Benitez · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 54% of points2024-08-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 39% of points2024-08-17 PPA · 0-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Grayson Goldin · model expected 39% of points2024-08-30 PPA · 11-2 · vs Delgado/Carter · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 72% of points2024-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Delgado/Carter · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 72% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wild/Wall · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 42% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wild/Wall · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 42% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Bhatia/Mehta · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 38% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bhatia/Mehta · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 38% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bhatia/Mehta · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 38% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Fairbanks/Taylor · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 60% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Fairbanks/Taylor · w/ Kyle Whatnall · model expected 60% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lococo/Carter · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 76% of points2024-08-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lococo/Carter · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 76% of points2024-09-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bates/Yates · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 43% of points2024-09-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bates/Yates · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 43% of points2024-09-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bates/Yates · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 43% of points2024-09-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Esquivel/Haas · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 54% of points2024-09-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Esquivel/Haas · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 54% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 54% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 54% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 54% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Calvin/Noyes · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 68% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Calvin/Noyes · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 68% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Calvin/Noyes · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 68% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Goldberg/Moore · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 64% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Goldberg/Moore · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 64% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Goldberg/Moore · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 64% of points2024-10-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tardio/Daescu · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 30% of points2024-10-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Tardio/Daescu · w/ Rob Cassidy · model expected 30% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Almeida/Durbin · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 61% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Almeida/Durbin · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 61% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Dussault/Dickson · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 60% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Dussault/Dickson · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 60% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mack/Gabet · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 67% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mack/Gabet · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 67% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fu/Teoni · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 49% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fu/Teoni · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 49% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 9-11 · vs Fu/Teoni · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 49% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 11-0 · vs Stone/French · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 49% of points2024-12-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Stone/French · w/ Drake Palm · model expected 49% of points0%25%50%75%100%2024winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA44–3258%9.1–7.6
6–8
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–6
overtime games (past the target)
27
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
6
longest win streak
+2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-2.5 (-7.0…+3.9)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (2 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
0–2
singles record · last 2024-01

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Tia Elpusan1712–558%+0.08 ±0.52 (noise)
Drake Palm139–459%+0.10 ±0.49 (noise)
Kyle Whatnall95–456%+0.11 ±0.52 (noise)
Kento Tamaki84–451%+0.06 ±0.49 (noise)
Grayson Goldin84–447%-0.06 ±0.50 (noise)
Sarah Burr74–359%+0.08 ±0.47 (noise)
Leah Tauber63–351%-0.11 ±0.50 (noise)
Rob Cassidy52–343%-0.09 ±0.51 (noise)
Aron Ouye31–251%-0.06 ±0.50 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2024-12-21PPA · mensDrake PalmStone/French11-1+43%
2024-12-21PPA · mensDrake PalmStone/French11-0+51%
2024-12-21PPA · mensDrake PalmFu/Teoni9-11-4%
2024-12-21PPA · mensDrake PalmFu/Teoni11-6+16%
2024-12-21PPA · mensDrake PalmFu/Teoni6-11-13%
2024-12-18PPA · mensDrake PalmMack/Gabet11-6-2%
2024-12-18PPA · mensDrake PalmMack/Gabet11-9-12%
2024-12-18PPA · mensDrake PalmDussault/Dickson11-6+5%
2024-12-18PPA · mensDrake PalmDussault/Dickson11-6+5%
2024-12-18PPA · mensDrake PalmAlmeida/Durbin11-9-6%
2024-12-18PPA · mensDrake PalmAlmeida/Durbin11-3+17%
2024-10-02PPA · mensRob CassidyTardio/Daescu2-11-14%

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