Jade Kawamoto W
womens 210–118 · mixed 149–86
+6.4 (+5.7…+7.0)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#11
of 204 active women (within gender only)
359–204
career record · 64% wins, 57% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +5.6 pts (90% band +4.8 to +6.3) 2024-02 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.4) 2024-03 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.1 to +6.4) 2024-04 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.5) 2024-05 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.6) 2024-06 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.6) 2024-07 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.6 to +6.6) 2024-08 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.6 to +6.6) 2024-09 · +6.2 pts (90% band +5.6 to +6.6) 2024-10 · +6.2 pts (90% band +5.7 to +6.6) 2024-11 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.8 to +6.7) 2024-12 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.8 to +6.7) 2025-01 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.8) 2025-02 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.8) 2025-03 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.9) 2025-04 · +6.5 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.9) 2025-05 · +6.5 pts (90% band +6.1 to +6.9) 2025-06 · +6.6 pts (90% band +6.2 to +7.0) 2025-07 · +6.7 pts (90% band +6.3 to +7.1) 2025-08 · +6.7 pts (90% band +6.4 to +7.1) 2025-09 · +6.8 pts (90% band +6.4 to +7.2) 2025-10 · +6.8 pts (90% band +6.4 to +7.2) 2025-11 · +6.9 pts (90% band +6.5 to +7.2) 2025-12 · +6.8 pts (90% band +6.4 to +7.2) 2026-01 · +6.8 pts (90% band +6.4 to +7.2) 2026-02 · +6.8 pts (90% band +6.3 to +7.2) 2026-03 · +6.8 pts (90% band +6.3 to +7.2) 2026-04 · +6.7 pts (90% band +6.2 to +7.1) 2026-05 · +6.6 pts (90% band +6.1 to +7.1) 2026-06 · +6.6 pts (90% band +6.1 to +7.0) 2026-07 · +6.5 pts (90% band +5.9 to +7.0) 2026-08 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.8 to +7.0) 2026-09 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.8 to +7.0) 2026-10 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.7 to +7.0) +5 +6 +7 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-10-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Pisnik/Daescu · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 42% of points 2025-10-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Pisnik/Daescu · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 42% of points 2025-10-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Kawamoto/Kovalova · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 59% of points 2025-10-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kawamoto/Kovalova · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 59% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 32% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 32% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Igleski/Loyd · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 66% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Igleski/Loyd · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 66% of points 2025-10-22 PPA · 11-6 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 53% of points 2025-10-22 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 53% of points 2025-10-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dizon/Vich · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 53% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kunimoto/Morelli · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 81% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 11-0 · vs Kunimoto/Morelli · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 81% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 6-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 29% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 29% of points 2025-10-24 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Sleeth/Padegimaite · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 71% of points 2025-10-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Sleeth/Padegimaite · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 71% of points 2025-10-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sleeth/Padegimaite · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 71% of points 2025-10-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dizon/Kawamoto · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 53% of points 2025-10-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dizon/Kawamoto · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 53% of points 2025-10-26 PPA · 11-7 · vs Johnson/Rohrabacher · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 49% of points 2025-10-26 PPA · 11-7 · vs Johnson/Rohrabacher · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 49% of points 2025-10-26 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 32% of points 2025-10-26 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 32% of points 2025-10-31 MLP · 11-4 · vs Truluck/Funaro · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 80% of points 2025-10-31 MLP · 11-7 · vs Truluck/French · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 71% of points 2025-11-01 MLP · 11-3 · vs Glozman/Imparato · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 69% of points 2025-11-01 MLP · 11-9 · vs Weil/Humberg · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 62% of points 2025-11-01 MLP · 11-3 · vs Glozman/Ignatowich · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 66% of points 2025-11-02 MLP · 11-5 · vs Weil/Howells · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 66% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Castillo/Loong · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 65% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Castillo/Loong · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 65% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 60% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 60% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Caruso/Griffith · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 83% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Caruso/Griffith · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 83% of points 2025-11-06 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ingram/Truong · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 74% of points 2025-11-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ingram/Truong · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 74% of points 2025-11-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 61% of points 2025-11-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 61% of points 2025-11-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 61% of points 2025-11-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Parenteau/Todd · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 53% of points 2025-11-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Parenteau/Todd · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 53% of points 2025-11-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Parenteau/Todd · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 53% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs III/Imparato · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 69% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs III/Imparato · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 69% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 11-9 · vs Goins/Ingram · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 64% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goins/Ingram · w/ Hunter Johnson · model expected 64% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Irvine/Rane · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 67% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Irvine/Rane · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 67% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Johnson/Rohrabacher · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 51% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Rohrabacher · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 51% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Johnson/Rohrabacher · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 51% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Toskova/Courteau · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 85% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 11-0 · vs Toskova/Courteau · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 85% of points 2025-11-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 49% of points 2025-11-22 PPA · 11-3 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 49% of points 2025-11-23 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 34% of points 2025-11-23 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 34% of points 2025-11-23 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 34% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs McMillan/Brown · w/ Blaine Hovenier · model expected 69% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs McMillan/Brown · w/ Blaine Hovenier · model expected 69% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-9 · vs McMillan/Brown · w/ Blaine Hovenier · model expected 69% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Klinger/Smith · w/ Blaine Hovenier · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Klinger/Smith · w/ Blaine Hovenier · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Conard/Dunlap · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 78% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Conard/Dunlap · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 78% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 76% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 76% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Tuionetoa/Schneemann · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 61% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Tuionetoa/Schneemann · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 61% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 65% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 65% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 65% of points 2026-01-18 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 33% of points 2026-01-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 33% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-0 · vs Johns/Huang · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 78% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Johns/Huang · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 78% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Caruso/Hatton · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 81% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Caruso/Hatton · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 81% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Weil/Stone · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Weil/Stone · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Alhouni/Black · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 64% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alhouni/Black · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 64% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Truluck/Frantova · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 73% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Truluck/Frantova · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 73% of points 2026-02-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Wei/Jones · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-13 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wei/Jones · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 45% of points 2026-02-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Parenteau/Rohrabacher · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Parenteau/Rohrabacher · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-15 PPA · 9-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 32% of points 2026-02-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 32% of points 2026-02-15 PPA · 2-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 32% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Goodnow/Jacobson · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 74% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Goodnow/Jacobson · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 74% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Townsend/Klinger · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Townsend/Klinger · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Frantova/Safdar · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 79% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-0 · vs Frantova/Safdar · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 79% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jansen/Smith · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 68% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jansen/Smith · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 28% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 28% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wei/Fahey · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wei/Fahey · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 27% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 27% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-0 · vs Dizon/Truong · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dizon/Truong · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Todd/Rohrabacher · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Todd/Rohrabacher · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Todd/Rohrabacher · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-3 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-0 · vs Tuionetoa/Shimabukuro · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 67% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-7 · vs Erokhina/Yeh · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-7 · vs Sleeth/Oncins · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 4-11 · vs Erokhina/Tellez · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 71% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-7 · vs Sleeth/Jansen · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 5-11 · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 40% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-9 · vs Phillips/Parker · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-1 · vs Parker/Young · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 11-6 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 47% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 11-6 · vs Truong/Daescu · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 11-13 (OT) · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 58% of points 2026-06-04 MLP · 11-13 (OT) · vs Tuionetoa/Jones · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-04 MLP · 11-7 · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 65% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 8-11 · vs Kawamoto/Rohrabacher · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-6 · vs Truong/Walczak · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 65% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-4 · vs Walczak/Stone · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 71% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-8 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-8 · vs Campbell/Dizon · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 63% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-5 · vs Dizon/Bhatia · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 65% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-3 · vs Truluck/Bellamy · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 68% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 4-11 · vs Smith/Truluck · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 67% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 5-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 1-11 · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 11-4 · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 65% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 11-8 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-19 MLP · 11-5 · vs Weil/Campbell · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 74% of points 2026-06-19 MLP · 11-5 · vs Frantova/Weil · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 68% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Humberg/Wei · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-3 · vs Kawamoto/Rohrabacher · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-0 · vs Humberg/Navratil · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 66% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 13-11 (OT) · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-21 MLP · 5-11 · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 38% of points 2026-07-09 MLP · 5-11 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 63% of points 2026-07-09 MLP · 11-3 · vs Irvine/Humberg · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 3-11 · vs Sewing/Pisnik · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 11-5 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 11-8 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 44% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 37% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 4-11 · vs Todd/Black · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 8-11 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 52% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 11-9 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 11-3 · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 6-11 · vs Irvine/Humberg · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 11-3 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 61% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 11-1 · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 66% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 2-11 · vs Humberg/Vich · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 64% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 11-8 · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 11-1 · vs Yeh/Yang · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 75% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 1-11 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 11-5 · vs Yeh/Kunimoto · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 69% of points 2026-07-19 MLP · 11-6 · vs Weil/Tellez · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 69% of points 2026-07-19 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dennehy/Weil · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-0 · vs Nelson/Navratil · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 76% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-3 · vs Hendershot/Wei · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 70% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-9 · vs Dennehy/Tellez · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 67% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-3 · vs Sewing/Pisnik · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 13-11 (OT) · vs Dennehy/Weil · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-5 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 11-5 · vs Conard/French · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 78% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 11-2 · vs Hatton/Conard · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 81% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 3-11 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 30% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-3 · vs Blatt/Haworth · w/ Connor Garnett · model expected 74% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-6 · vs Blatt/Tereschenko · w/ Samantha Parker · model expected 71% of points 2026-08-14 MLP · 8-11 · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 7-11 · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 11-6 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-16 MLP · 11-6 · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-16 MLP · 6-11 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-16 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 53% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dow/Walker · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 74% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 11-5 · vs Dow/Walker · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 74% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Kawamoto · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 53% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Kawamoto · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 53% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-0 · vs Brown/Rettger · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 90% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Brown/Rettger · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 90% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Buckner/Christian · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Buckner/Christian · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Buckner/Christian · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 25% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 25% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 93–71 57% 9.0–7.4 2025 MLP 48–19 72% 9.6–7.1 2025 PPA 129–66 66% 9.3–6.8 2026 MLP 48–23 68% 9.5–7.2 2026 PPA 41–25 62% 8.6–6.3
31–19
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
18–23
overtime games (past the target)
211
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+4.3 (+0.0…+7.0)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (0 g, 106 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
56–50
DreamBreaker rallies · 14 DBs, team 9–5
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-10 PPA · womens Jackie Kawamoto Bright/Waters 1-11 -17% 2026-10-10 PPA · womens Jackie Kawamoto Bright/Waters 5-11 +6% 2026-10-09 PPA · womens Jackie Kawamoto Buckner/Christian 11-3 +17% 2026-10-09 PPA · womens Jackie Kawamoto Buckner/Christian 8-11 -20% 2026-10-09 PPA · womens Jackie Kawamoto Buckner/Christian 11-8 -4% 2026-10-08 PPA · womens Jackie Kawamoto Brown/Rettger 11-3 -12% 2026-10-08 PPA · womens Jackie Kawamoto Brown/Rettger 11-0 +10% 2026-10-07 PPA · mixed Dylan Frazier Shimabukuro/Kawamoto 3-11 -32% 2026-10-07 PPA · mixed Dylan Frazier Shimabukuro/Kawamoto 7-11 -14% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Dylan Frazier Dow/Walker 11-5 -6% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Dylan Frazier Dow/Walker 11-3 +4% 2026-08-16 MLP · mixed Ben Johns Buckner/Johnson 12-10 OT+2%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.