Federico Staksrud M
mens 431–194 · mixed 336–193
+6.0 (+5.5…+6.5)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#7
of 286 active men (within gender only)
767–387
career record · 66% wins, 57% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.7 to +6.0) 2024-02 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.9) 2024-03 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.0) 2024-04 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.0) 2024-05 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.1) 2024-06 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.1) 2024-07 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.2) 2024-08 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.2) 2024-09 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2024-10 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2024-11 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2024-12 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.1) 2025-01 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.0) 2025-02 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.0) 2025-03 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2025-04 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.1) 2025-05 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.2) 2025-06 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.2) 2025-07 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.3) 2025-08 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.2) 2025-09 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.2) 2025-10 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.2) 2025-11 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.2) 2025-12 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.1) 2026-01 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.2) 2026-02 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.2) 2026-03 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.2) 2026-04 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.3) 2026-05 · +6.0 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.3) 2026-06 · +6.0 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.4) 2026-07 · +6.0 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.4) 2026-08 · +6.0 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.5) 2026-09 · +6.0 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.5) 2026-10 · +6.0 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.5) +5 +6 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2026-03-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Johnson/Hovenier · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johnson/Hovenier · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-1 · vs Johnson/Hovenier · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 32% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 32% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hitzeman/Litvinov · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 85% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hitzeman/Litvinov · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 85% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-1 · vs Lenhard/Pham · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 70% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lenhard/Pham · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 70% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Stone/Parker · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Stone/Parker · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Christian/Vich · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Christian/Vich · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Shimabukuro/Funemizu · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 63% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Shimabukuro/Funemizu · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 63% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rohrabacher/Tardio · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rohrabacher/Tardio · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bar/Ge · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bar/Ge · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Daescu/Todd · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Daescu/Todd · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Tellez/Sock · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Tellez/Sock · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Loyd/Chaffin · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Loyd/Chaffin · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kawamoto/Bar · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kawamoto/Bar · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Haworth/Johnson · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Haworth/Johnson · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Oncins/Pisnik · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Oncins/Pisnik · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Oncins/Frazier · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Oncins/Frazier · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 63% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 7-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 31% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 2-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 31% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Khlif/McGuffin · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Khlif/McGuffin · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Khlif/McGuffin · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Patriquin/Alshon · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Patriquin/Alshon · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-1 · vs Patriquin/Alshon · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 45% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Garnett/Newman · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Garnett/Newman · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Andrei Daescu · model expected 44% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 8-11 · vs Townsend/Klinger · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 47% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-6 · vs Klinger/Daescu · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-6 · vs Truong/Stone · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-9 · vs Buckner/Ge · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 53% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-7 · vs Schull/Truong · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Ge · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 47% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 6-11 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 33% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-8 · vs Howells/Khlif · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 11-3 · vs Dimuzio/Garnett · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 9-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Garnett · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 56% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-7 · vs Devilliers/Vich · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 52% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 4-11 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-2 · vs Bar/McGuffin · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 47% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-5 · vs Erokhina/Yang · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 6-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 33% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-6 · vs Pham/Yang · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 64% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 2-11 · vs Tardio/Patriquin · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 11-9 · vs Haworth/Alshon · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 8-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 8-11 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 11-5 · vs Klinger/Daescu · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 7-11 · vs Frazier/Powell · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 11-7 · vs Widdershoven/Powell · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 58% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 8-11 · vs Jansen/Acevedo · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 7-11 · vs Acevedo/Oncins · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 8-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 33% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-8 · vs Diamond/Auvergne · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 8-11 · vs Tardio/Patriquin · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 40% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 7-11 · vs Sewing/Diamond · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 52% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 11-4 · vs Alvarez/Cawston · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 61% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 11-0 · vs Amaro/Fabregas · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 80% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 9-11 · vs Braham/Wild · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 6-11 · vs Bar/McGuffin · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 46% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 11-7 · vs Bui/Braham · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 7-11 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 47% of points 2026-07-16 MLP · 11-4 · vs Chaffin/Truong · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-16 MLP · 6-11 · vs Daescu/Klinger · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 47% of points 2026-07-16 MLP · 11-0 · vs Walczak/Truong · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-16 MLP · 6-11 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 40% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 5-11 · vs Weil/Tellez · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 11-4 · vs Tellez/Wild · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 6-11 · vs Dizon/Bhatia · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 5-11 · vs Mackinnon/Bhatia · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 11-4 · vs Bui/Mogle · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 12-5 (OT) · vs Campbell/Crouch · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 66% of points 2026-07-19 MLP · 4-11 · vs Kunimoto/Delgado · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-19 MLP · 11-8 · vs Hovenier/Yang · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-3 · vs Yoshitomi/Young · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 80% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-8 · vs Young/Stone · w/ Will Howells · model expected 63% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 6-11 · vs Goins/Navratil · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-8 · vs Tellez/Frazier · w/ Will Howells · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dennehy/Tellez · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 65% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-2 · vs Wei/Goins · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 3-11 · vs Johns/Freeman · w/ Will Howells · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 11-7 · vs Bar/McGuffin · w/ Will Howells · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 7-11 · vs Sewing/Diamond · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 5-11 · vs Tardio/Patriquin · w/ Will Howells · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-2 · vs Parenteau/Garnett · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-2 · vs Fahey/Tardio · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 4-11 · vs Diamond/Bar · w/ Will Howells · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 11-5 · vs Sewing/Diamond · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-16 MLP · 11-2 · vs Diamond/Bar · w/ Will Howells · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-16 MLP · 11-3 · vs Sewing/Diamond · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 11-8 · vs Alshon/Newman · w/ Will Howells · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 11-6 · vs Kawamoto/Newman · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-29 MLP · 11-8 · vs Alshon/Newman · w/ Will Howells · model expected 46% of points 2026-08-29 MLP · 8-11 · vs Tardio/Patriquin · w/ Will Howells · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-29 MLP · 11-8 · vs Fahey/Tardio · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-30 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Tardio/Patriquin · w/ Will Howells · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-30 MLP · 9-11 · vs Fahey/Tardio · w/ Jorja Johnson · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Safdar/Burrows · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 83% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Safdar/Burrows · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 83% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Trinh/Cincola · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 76% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Trinh/Cincola · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 76% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Weil/Haworth · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 68% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Weil/Haworth · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 68% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Truong/Stone · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 68% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Truong/Stone · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 68% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 74% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 74% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Oncins/Khlif · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Oncins/Khlif · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Oncins/Khlif · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Funemizu/Acevedo · w/ Ben Johns · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Sewing/Diamond · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 62% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sewing/Diamond · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 62% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Garnett/Christian · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Garnett/Christian · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Garnett/Christian · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs El-Zarif/Varon · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs El-Zarif/Varon · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Schupp/Goins · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Schupp/Goins · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Pham/Erokhina · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Pham/Erokhina · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Howells/Truong · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 65% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Howells/Truong · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 65% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Steiner/Yates · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-1 · vs Steiner/Yates · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Tellez/Young · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 69% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Tellez/Young · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 69% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Vich/Acevedo · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 58% of points 2026-10-11 PPA · 11-6 · vs Vich/Acevedo · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 58% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 267–130 67% 9.6–7.3 2025 MLP 43–29 60% 8.8–8.0 2025 PPA 249–108 70% 9.6–6.9 2026 MLP 40–31 56% 9.1–8.0 2026 PPA 168–89 65% 9.4–7.2
73–48
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
65–36
overtime games (past the target)
422
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+3
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+8.2 (+8.1…+8.4)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
579 pro singles games
449–130
singles record · last 2026-10
59–37
DreamBreaker rallies · 9 DBs, team 7–2
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-11 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Vich/Acevedo 11-6 +7% 2026-10-11 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Vich/Acevedo 11-1 +34% 2026-10-10 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Klinger/Oncins 11-3 +23% 2026-10-10 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Klinger/Oncins 7-11 -17% 2026-10-10 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Klinger/Oncins 11-8 +2% 2026-10-09 PPA · mixed Kate Fahey Johns/Waters 6-11 -0% 2026-10-09 PPA · mixed Kate Fahey Johns/Waters 3-11 -14% 2026-10-09 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Tellez/Young 11-2 +16% 2026-10-09 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Tellez/Young 11-9 -14% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Steiner/Yates 11-1 +19% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Hayden Patriquin Steiner/Yates 11-5 -4% 2026-10-08 PPA · mixed Kate Fahey Howells/Truong 11-2 +20%
Put Federico in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.