Pablo Tellez M
mens 251–170 · mixed 171–156
+4.6 (+3.8…+5.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#46
of 286 active men (within gender only)
422–326
career record · 56% wins, 52% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.1) 2024-02 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.1) 2024-03 · +4.6 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.1) 2024-04 · +4.6 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.1) 2024-05 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.2) 2024-06 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.4 to +5.3) 2024-07 · +4.9 pts (90% band +4.4 to +5.4) 2024-08 · +5.0 pts (90% band +4.5 to +5.4) 2024-09 · +4.9 pts (90% band +4.4 to +5.4) 2024-10 · +4.9 pts (90% band +4.3 to +5.3) 2024-11 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.3 to +5.3) 2024-12 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.3 to +5.2) 2025-01 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.3) 2025-02 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.2) 2025-03 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2025-04 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2025-05 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2025-06 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2025-07 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2025-08 · +4.6 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.1) 2025-09 · +4.5 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.1) 2025-10 · +4.5 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.0) 2025-11 · +4.5 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.0) 2025-12 · +4.6 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.1) 2026-01 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2026-02 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2026-03 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.2) 2026-04 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.3 to +5.3) 2026-05 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.3) 2026-06 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.3) 2026-07 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.2) 2026-08 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.2) 2026-09 · +4.6 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.2) 2026-10 · +4.6 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.3) +3.5 +4 +4.5 +5 +5.5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2026-01-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wright/Vich · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 54% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wright/Vich · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 54% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Wright/Vich · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 54% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 1-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-5 · vs Conard/Teoni · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 67% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-8 · vs Conard/Teoni · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 67% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Nemoff/Lohani · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 75% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-0 · vs Nemoff/Lohani · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 75% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Oncins/Dizon · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 39% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Oncins/Dizon · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 39% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-8 · vs Newman/Mackinnon · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Newman/Mackinnon · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Daescu/Tardio · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Daescu/Tardio · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Daescu/Tardio · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 37% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bramblett/Downing · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 85% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bramblett/Downing · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 85% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 4-11 · vs Oncins/Kawamoto · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 36% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Oncins/Kawamoto · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 36% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 5-11 · vs Teoni/Mogle · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 60% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Teoni/Mogle · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 60% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Teoni/Mogle · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 60% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Young/Hovenier · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-2 · vs Young/Hovenier · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-1 · vs Young/Hovenier · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-13 PPA · 0-11 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 39% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Igleski/Young · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 61% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Igleski/Young · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 61% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bar/Todd · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 41% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bar/Todd · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 41% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bar/Todd · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 41% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 9-11 · vs Emmrich/Arnold · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 55% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 9-11 · vs Emmrich/Arnold · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 55% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goins/McMillan · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Goins/McMillan · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Goins/McMillan · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Delgado/Arnold · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-7 · vs Delgado/Arnold · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Freeman/Humberg · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-7 · vs Freeman/Humberg · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Freeman/Humberg · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 28% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 28% of points 2026-03-06 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Garnett/Ge · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-06 PPA · 11-5 · vs Garnett/Ge · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Benitez/Conard · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Benitez/Conard · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Benitez/Conard · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-7 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Oncins/Frazier · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 44% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Oncins/Frazier · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 44% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Oncins/Frazier · w/ Armaan Bhatia · model expected 44% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Haworth/Nelson · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Haworth/Nelson · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Haworth/Nelson · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Morelli/Lenhard · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-3 · vs Morelli/Lenhard · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 2-11 · vs Morelli/Lenhard · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Loyd/Young · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-6 · vs Loyd/Young · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 8-11 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-3 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-1 · vs Young/Alhouni · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-8 · vs Young/Alhouni · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 58% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Oncins/Frazier · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Oncins/Frazier · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Oncins/Frazier · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rodrigo/Shekar · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 62% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rodrigo/Shekar · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 62% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 9-11 · vs Daescu/Staksrud · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Daescu/Staksrud · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 39% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 40% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 40% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 40% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Hovenier/Jones · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 38% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hovenier/Jones · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 38% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hovenier/Jones · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 38% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bricker/Roddy · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bricker/Roddy · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ge/Bar · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 52% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ge/Bar · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-8 · vs Sleeth/Oncins · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 41% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 0-11 · vs Frazier/Oncins · w/ Len Yang · model expected 42% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 5-11 · vs Young/French · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 51% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-4 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 29% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 5-11 · vs Johns/Freeman · w/ Luc Pham · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-2 · vs Hatton/French · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-5 · vs Garnett/Shimabukuro · w/ Len Yang · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 4-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 27% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 2-11 · vs Tardio/Patriquin · w/ Len Yang · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 6-11 · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-11 MLP · 6-11 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Genie Erokhina · model expected 26% of points 2026-06-11 MLP · 11-8 · vs Howells/Khlif · w/ Len Yang · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 13-11 (OT) · vs Irvine/Vich · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 6-11 · vs Ge/Johnson · w/ Len Yang · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 13-11 (OT) · vs Vich/Young · w/ Len Yang · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 1-11 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 33% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 5-11 · vs Sleeth/Oncins · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 6-11 · vs Acevedo/Oncins · w/ Len Yang · model expected 36% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 11-4 · vs Weil/Campbell · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 52% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 11-9 · vs Campbell/Crouch · w/ Len Yang · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-14 MLP · 5-11 · vs Widdershoven/Powell · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 47% of points 2026-06-14 MLP · 0-11 · vs Frazier/Powell · w/ Len Yang · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-25 MLP · 11-4 · vs Blatt/Haworth · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-26 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Campbell/Crouch · w/ Blaine Hovenier · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-26 MLP · 9-11 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-26 MLP · 8-11 · vs McGuffin/Diamond · w/ Len Yang · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-26 MLP · 6-11 · vs Sewing/McGuffin · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-27 MLP · 3-11 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 33% of points 2026-06-28 MLP · 11-0 · vs Goodnow/Loyd · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-28 MLP · 11-9 · vs Loyd/Young · w/ Blaine Hovenier · model expected 55% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 6-11 · vs Dunlap/Frazier · w/ Emma Nelson · model expected 41% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 4-11 · vs Frazier/Funemizu · w/ Anouar Braham · model expected 49% of points 2026-07-16 MLP · 1-11 · vs Daescu/Klinger · w/ Joseph Wild · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-16 MLP · 0-11 · vs Black/Klinger · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 11-5 · vs Rane/Staksrud · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 4-11 · vs Staksrud/Sock · w/ Joseph Wild · model expected 38% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 11-9 · vs Crouch/Mogle · w/ Joseph Wild · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-17 MLP · 11-7 · vs Bui/Mogle · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 11-5 · vs Dizon/Bhatia · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 45% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 8-11 · vs Truong/Chaffin · w/ Joseph Wild · model expected 48% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 11-8 · vs Schull/Chaffin · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-18 MLP · 9-11 · vs Bhatia/Mackinnon · w/ Joseph Wild · model expected 48% of points 2026-07-19 MLP · 6-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 31% of points 2026-07-19 MLP · 5-11 · vs Johns/Freeman · w/ Joseph Wild · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 1-11 · vs Newman/Alshon · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 37% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 6-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 30% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 11-6 · vs Chaffin/Loyd · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 8-11 · vs Schull/Chaffin · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 8-11 · vs Dunlap/Delgado · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 11-13 (OT) · vs Christian/Acevedo · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 46% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 7-11 · vs Oncins/Acevedo · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 38% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 11-8 · vs Scarpa/Braham · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-26 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Koller/Goins · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-9 · vs Bar/McGuffin · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 40% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-1 · vs French/Young · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 56% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-0 · vs Hatton/French · w/ Zoey Weil · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 1-11 · vs Johns/Freeman · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 41% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 9-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 33% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 8-11 · vs Howells/Staksrud · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Johnson/Staksrud · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 35% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 11-8 · vs Goins/Navratil · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 48% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 7-11 · vs Wei/Goins · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Imparato/Arnold · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Imparato/Arnold · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 63% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Max Freeman · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Frazier/Christian · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Frazier/Christian · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hendershot/Caldarella · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-15 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Hendershot/Caldarella · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hendershot/Caldarella · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 61% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Koszuta/Luhring · w/ Will Howells · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Koszuta/Luhring · w/ Will Howells · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Koszuta/Luhring · w/ Will Howells · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pham/Wall · w/ Will Howells · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-0 · vs Pham/Wall · w/ Will Howells · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Freeman/Campbell · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Freeman/Campbell · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Truong/Parenteau · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Truong/Parenteau · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Klinger/Chaffin · w/ Will Howells · model expected 48% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Klinger/Chaffin · w/ Will Howells · model expected 48% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Qi/Whitehead · w/ Will Howells · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-2 · vs Qi/Whitehead · w/ Will Howells · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Haworth/Walczak · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Haworth/Walczak · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Haworth/Walczak · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 53% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Phillips/Smith · w/ Will Howells · model expected 69% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Phillips/Smith · w/ Will Howells · model expected 69% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Will Howells · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Will Howells · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Diamond/Freeman · w/ Will Howells · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Will Howells · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Will Howells · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Weil/Loyd · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Weil/Loyd · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Koller/Stone · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Koller/Stone · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 31% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 31% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Eaby/Grigoriu · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Eaby/Grigoriu · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-9 · vs Jacobson/Rettenmaier · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Jacobson/Rettenmaier · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Sleeth/Acevedo · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 28% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Sleeth/Acevedo · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 28% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 204–134 60% 9.2–7.7 2025 MLP 11–5 69% 9.6–7.1 2025 PPA 104–84 55% 8.7–8.2 2026 MLP 25–38 40% 7.7–9.3 2026 PPA 78–65 55% 8.8–8.3
57–40
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
48–35
overtime games (past the target)
214
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+5.3 (+4.6…+6.0)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
172 pro singles games
83–89
singles record · last 2026-10
32–43
DreamBreaker rallies · 7 DBs, team 6–1
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Giovanna Morelli Sleeth/Acevedo 4-11 -2% 2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Giovanna Morelli Sleeth/Acevedo 13-15 OT +18% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens John Lucian Goins Jacobson/Rettenmaier 11-4 +11% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens John Lucian Goins Jacobson/Rettenmaier 11-9 -7% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Giovanna Morelli Eaby/Grigoriu 11-4 +26% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Giovanna Morelli Eaby/Grigoriu 11-4 +26% 2026-10-09 PPA · mens Darrian Young Staksrud/Patriquin 2-11 -16% 2026-10-09 PPA · mens Darrian Young Staksrud/Patriquin 9-11 +14% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Darrian Young Koller/Stone 11-6 +14% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Darrian Young Koller/Stone 11-9 +4% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Giovanna Morelli Weil/Loyd 9-11 +6% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Giovanna Morelli Weil/Loyd 5-11 -7%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.