Dekel Bar M
mens 242–163 · mixed 218–144
+5.2 (+4.5…+5.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#19
of 286 active men (within gender only)
460–307
career record · 60% wins, 54% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.4) 2024-02 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.4) 2024-03 · +4.9 pts (90% band +4.3 to +5.4) 2024-04 · +5.0 pts (90% band +4.4 to +5.5) 2024-05 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.5 to +5.6) 2024-06 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.7) 2024-07 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.8) 2024-08 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.9 to +5.8) 2024-09 · +5.4 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2024-10 · +5.4 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2024-11 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2024-12 · +5.4 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2025-01 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2025-02 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2025-03 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2025-04 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2025-05 · +5.4 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2025-06 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.9) 2025-07 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.8) 2025-08 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.6) 2025-09 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.6) 2025-10 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.5) 2025-11 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.5) 2025-12 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.5) 2026-01 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.5) 2026-02 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.6) 2026-03 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.7) 2026-04 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.7) 2026-05 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.7) 2026-06 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.7) 2026-07 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.8) 2026-08 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.8) 2026-09 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.8) 2026-10 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.5 to +5.9) +4 +5 +6 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Truong/Truluck · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 59% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 11-0 · vs Benitez/Ignatowich · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 74% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Benitez/Ignatowich · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 74% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Daescu/Christian · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 49% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Daescu/Christian · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 49% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Daescu/Christian · w/ Catherine Parenteau · model expected 49% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Koller/Garnett · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 51% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 1-11 · vs Koller/Garnett · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 51% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 11-1 · vs Mercado/Shimabukuro · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 64% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mercado/Shimabukuro · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 64% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Choo/Skufca · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 75% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Choo/Skufca · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 75% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Freeman/Rane · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Freeman/Rane · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jacobson/Rettenmaier · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 70% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs Jacobson/Rettenmaier · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 70% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jacobson/Rettenmaier · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 70% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Black/Alshon · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Black/Alshon · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hewett/Johns · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 61% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hewett/Johns · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 61% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-2 · vs Nguyen/Alhouni · w/ Allyce Jones · model expected 78% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Nguyen/Alhouni · w/ Allyce Jones · model expected 78% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kong/Emmrich · w/ Allyce Jones · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Kong/Emmrich · w/ Allyce Jones · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Kong/Emmrich · w/ Allyce Jones · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Taylor/Smith · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 68% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Taylor/Smith · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 68% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-2 · vs Wright/Vich · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Wright/Vich · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-8 · vs Wright/Vich · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Alshon/Patriquin · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 35% of points 2026-01-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alshon/Patriquin · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 35% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Griffith/Harvey · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 76% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Griffith/Harvey · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 76% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jakovljevic/Whittaker · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jakovljevic/Whittaker · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 66% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 2-11 · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 53% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ignatowich/Perez · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 82% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ignatowich/Perez · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 82% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 59% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 59% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Buckner/Tellez · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 59% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Nemoff/Lohani · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 77% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Nemoff/Lohani · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 77% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 9-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Emmrich/Arnold · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 60% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 9-11 · vs Emmrich/Arnold · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 60% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Emmrich/Arnold · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Fritze/Choo · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 75% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Fritze/Choo · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 75% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cincola/Trinh · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-8 · vs Cincola/Trinh · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Klinger/Ingram · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Klinger/Ingram · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 1-11 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Rachel Rohrabacher · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hendershot/Chaffin · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 64% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hendershot/Chaffin · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 64% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Rane/Johnson · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rane/Johnson · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rane/Johnson · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Powell/Acevedo · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Powell/Acevedo · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-2 · vs Powell/Acevedo · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Frazier/Oncins · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-3 · vs Frazier/Oncins · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 8-11 · vs Frazier/Black · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-6 · vs Frazier/Black · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-4 · vs Frazier/Black · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 34% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 34% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Tabatabaeian/Wang · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 88% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Tabatabaeian/Wang · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 88% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-3 · vs Soke/Daniel · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 76% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Soke/Daniel · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 76% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-0 · vs Haworth/Dunlap · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 62% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-7 · vs Haworth/Dunlap · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 62% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Freeman/Parenteau · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Freeman/Parenteau · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Howells/Khlif · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Howells/Khlif · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Howells/Khlif · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Daescu/Todd · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 42% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Daescu/Todd · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 42% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Daescu/Todd · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 42% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Daescu/Staksrud · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 40% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Daescu/Staksrud · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 40% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Wong/Wheatley · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 73% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wong/Wheatley · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 73% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Johnson/Arnold · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Johnson/Arnold · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 64% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Devilliers/Tellez · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Devilliers/Tellez · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-28 MLP · 7-11 · vs French/Young · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-28 MLP · 11-6 · vs Parker/French · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-6 · vs Frantova/Crouch · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 67% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-4 · vs Rettenmaier/Crouch · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 9-11 · vs Hovenier/Bellamy · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 6-11 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 2-11 · vs Tardio/Patriquin · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 34% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 7-11 · vs Fahey/Tardio · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 42% of points 2026-05-31 MLP · 5-11 · vs Klinger/Daescu · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 42% of points 2026-05-31 MLP · 2-11 · vs Townsend/Klinger · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-04 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Devilliers/Vich · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 45% of points 2026-06-04 MLP · 11-3 · vs Irvine/Vich · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-4 · vs Pham/Yang · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 2-11 · vs Sock/Staksrud · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Rane/Staksrud · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 53% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 0-11 · vs Tardio/Patriquin · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 34% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-2 · vs Fahey/Goins · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 11-6 · vs Jacobson/Bellamy · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 58% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 58% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 11-5 · vs Widdershoven/Powell · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 11-2 · vs Jansen/Acevedo · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 11-5 · vs Frazier/Powell · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 52% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 11-6 · vs Acevedo/Oncins · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-27 MLP · 11-7 · vs Crouch/Mogle · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-27 MLP · 4-11 · vs Kawamoto/Newman · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-27 MLP · 4-11 · vs Alshon/Newman · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 39% of points 2026-06-27 MLP · 11-2 · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 69% of points 2026-06-28 MLP · 6-11 · vs Bhatia/Mackinnon · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-28 MLP · 11-8 · vs Dizon/Bhatia · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 56% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 11-6 · vs Staksrud/Johnson · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 11-7 · vs Rane/Staksrud · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 5-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 41% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 11-8 · vs Tuionetoa/Shimabukuro · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 9-11 · vs Garnett/Shimabukuro · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 4-11 · vs Johns/Freeman · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 41% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 4-11 · vs Oncins/Acevedo · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 38% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 11-13 (OT) · vs Jansen/Oncins · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 9-11 · vs Frazier/Tellez · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-7 · vs Goins/Navratil · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 49% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Weil/Tellez · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-3 · vs Nelson/Navratil · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 68% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 5-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 41% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 1-11 · vs Johns/Freeman · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 7-11 · vs Staksrud/Howells · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 3-11 · vs French/Stone · w/ Tyson McGuffin · model expected 53% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 11-13 (OT) · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 11-4 · vs Yoshitomi/Stone · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 73% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-7 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-4 · vs Powell/Bellamy · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-07 MLP · 11-5 · vs Goins/Navratil · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-07 MLP · 8-11 · vs Wei/Goins · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-08 MLP · 6-11 · vs Goins/Navratil · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-08 MLP · 11-8 · vs Wei/Goins · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 11-4 · vs Staksrud/Howells · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 11-4 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 36% of points 2026-08-16 MLP · 2-11 · vs Staksrud/Howells · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-16 MLP · 11-9 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Tina Pisnik · model expected 36% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ampon/Bricker · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 70% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ampon/Bricker · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 70% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hewett/Diamond · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hewett/Diamond · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Hewett/Diamond · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Koller/Widdershoven · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-9 · vs Koller/Widdershoven · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Loong/Goins · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Loong/Goins · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Black/Tardio · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 5-11 · vs Black/Tardio · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Johnson · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Johnson · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walczak/Newcombe · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Walczak/Newcombe · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Walczak/Newcombe · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Goins/Dizon · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Goins/Dizon · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 44% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 64% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bricker/Loyd · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bricker/Loyd · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bricker/Loyd · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 59% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs McGowan/Chi · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs McGowan/Chi · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jansen/Koller · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Jansen/Koller · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Morris/Loyd · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morris/Loyd · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 71% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 71% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Augustus Ge · model expected 43% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 212–143 60% 8.9–7.7 2025 MLP 19–15 56% 8.9–8.0 2025 PPA 119–69 63% 9.3–7.6 2026 MLP 30–27 53% 8.5–8.3 2026 PPA 80–53 60% 9.3–7.3
64–33
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
37–29
overtime games (past the target)
254
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+1.4 (-3.3…+5.4)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (0 g, 37 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
11–26
DreamBreaker rallies · 4 DBs, team 1–3
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-10 PPA · mens Augustus Ge Klinger/Oncins 8-11 -1% 2026-10-10 PPA · mens Augustus Ge Klinger/Oncins 10-12 OT +2% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Augustus Ge Chi/Messinger 11-6 -6% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Augustus Ge Chi/Messinger 11-5 -2% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Augustus Ge Morris/Loyd 11-4 +13% 2026-10-08 PPA · mens Augustus Ge Morris/Loyd 11-6 +4% 2026-10-07 PPA · mixed Jessie Irvine Jansen/Koller 5-11 -24% 2026-10-07 PPA · mixed Jessie Irvine Jansen/Koller 9-11 -10% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Jessie Irvine McGowan/Chi 11-3 +12% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Jessie Irvine McGowan/Chi 11-9 -11% 2026-09-18 PPA · mens Dylan Frazier Bricker/Loyd 7-11 -21% 2026-09-18 PPA · mens Dylan Frazier Bricker/Loyd 9-11 -14%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.