Matt Wright M
mens 180–127 · mixed 92–84
+3.5 (+2.2…+4.7)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#109
of 286 active men (within gender only)
272–211
career record · 56% wins, 52% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +4.6 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.3) 2024-02 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.3) 2024-03 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.3) 2024-04 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2024-05 · +4.8 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.3) 2024-06 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.2) 2024-07 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2024-08 · +4.7 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.2) 2024-09 · +4.6 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.1) 2024-10 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.0) 2024-11 · +4.4 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.0) 2024-12 · +4.4 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.0) 2025-01 · +4.4 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.0) 2025-02 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.0) 2025-03 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.0) 2025-04 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.0) 2025-05 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.1) 2025-06 · +4.4 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.1) 2025-07 · +4.4 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.0) 2025-08 · +4.4 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.0) 2025-09 · +4.3 pts (90% band +3.6 to +4.9) 2025-10 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.5 to +4.8) 2025-11 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.5 to +4.8) 2025-12 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.4 to +4.9) 2026-01 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.4 to +4.8) 2026-02 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.3 to +4.8) 2026-03 · +3.9 pts (90% band +3.1 to +4.7) 2026-04 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.7) 2026-05 · +3.8 pts (90% band +2.8 to +4.7) 2026-06 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.7) 2026-07 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.5 to +4.7) 2026-08 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.4 to +4.7) 2026-09 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.3 to +4.7) 2026-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +4.7) +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-02-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs David/Navratil · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 49% of points 2025-02-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Johnson/Khlif · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 43% of points 2025-02-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Johnson/Khlif · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 43% of points 2025-02-20 PPA · 0-11 · vs Johnson/Khlif · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 43% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rettger/Roddy · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 68% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rettger/Roddy · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 68% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kawamoto/Ignatowich · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kawamoto/Ignatowich · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Kawamoto/Ignatowich · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 44% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Newman/Frazier · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Newman/Frazier · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bellamy/Johnson · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 56% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Bellamy/Johnson · w/ Zane Navratil · model expected 56% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Jones · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 49% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Jones · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 49% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Summers/Campbell · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 68% of points 2025-03-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Summers/Campbell · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 68% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tellez/Patriquin · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 48% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Tellez/Patriquin · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 48% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lohani/Campbell · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 67% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lohani/Campbell · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 67% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-15 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Padegimaite/Tellez · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-27 PPA · 11-1 · vs Padegimaite/Tellez · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 31% of points 2025-03-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 31% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goins/Rahachou · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 71% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Goins/Rahachou · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 71% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Fu/Garnett · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 50% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fu/Garnett · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 50% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 40% of points 2025-03-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 40% of points 2025-04-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 51% of points 2025-04-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 51% of points 2025-04-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs McGuffin/Schneemann · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 45% of points 2025-04-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs McGuffin/Schneemann · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 45% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Julian Arnold · model expected 35% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Julian Arnold · model expected 35% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Deakin/Jakovljevic · w/ Julian Arnold · model expected 60% of points 2025-04-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs Deakin/Jakovljevic · w/ Julian Arnold · model expected 60% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Cincola/Rettger · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 69% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Cincola/Rettger · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 69% of points 2025-05-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Lohani/Nemoff · w/ Riley Newman · model expected 70% of points 2025-05-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lohani/Nemoff · w/ Riley Newman · model expected 70% of points 2025-05-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Khlif/Jansen · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Khlif/Jansen · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Khlif/Jansen · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 45% of points 2025-05-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Riley Newman · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Riley Newman · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Riley Newman · model expected 52% of points 2025-05-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Riley Newman · model expected 35% of points 2025-05-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Riley Newman · model expected 35% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Trifunovic/Taylor · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 79% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Trifunovic/Taylor · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 79% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 44% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 44% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 44% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Truong/Lee · w/ Roscoe Bellamy · model expected 51% of points 2025-06-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Truong/Lee · w/ Roscoe Bellamy · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Khlif · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 38% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Khlif · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 38% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs French/Newman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs French/Newman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs French/Newman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Whittaker/Klinger · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Whittaker/Klinger · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Protzek/Harvey · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 58% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Protzek/Harvey · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 58% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-09 PPA · 0-11 · vs Freeman/McGuffin · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Freeman/McGuffin · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Freeman/McGuffin · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 32% of points 2025-08-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 32% of points 2025-08-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 32% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Smith/Devilliers · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Smith/Devilliers · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 43% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 62% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 62% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Teoni/Truong · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-1 · vs Teoni/Truong · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 35% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Tardio/Johns · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 35% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sock/Loyd · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 53% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Sock/Loyd · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 53% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Klinger/McGuffin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 46% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Klinger/McGuffin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 46% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-8 · vs Klinger/McGuffin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 46% of points 2025-08-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 39% of points 2025-08-31 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 39% of points 2025-08-31 PPA · 8-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 39% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radzikowska/Johnson · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 51% of points 2025-09-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Radzikowska/Johnson · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 51% of points 2025-09-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Marquez/Garcia · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 73% of points 2025-09-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Marquez/Garcia · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 73% of points 2025-09-11 PPA · 9-11 · vs Devilliers/Newman · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 42% of points 2025-09-11 PPA · 5-11 · vs Devilliers/Newman · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 42% of points 2025-09-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sock/French · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 53% of points 2025-09-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Sock/French · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 53% of points 2025-09-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Sock/French · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 53% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Parker/Brown · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 50% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Parker/Brown · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 50% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Parker/Brown · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 50% of points 2025-10-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 36% of points 2025-10-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 36% of points 2025-10-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Harvey/Campbell · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 63% of points 2025-10-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Harvey/Campbell · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 63% of points 2025-10-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Harvey/Campbell · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 63% of points 2025-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Trinh/Truong · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 57% of points 2025-10-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Trinh/Truong · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 57% of points 2025-10-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Trinh/Truong · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 57% of points 2025-10-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 39% of points 2025-10-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 39% of points 2025-10-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 39% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 2-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 37% of points 2025-10-11 PPA · 2-11 · vs Klinger/Johnson · w/ Jay Devilliers · model expected 37% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Deakin/Newman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 61% of points 2025-10-21 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Deakin/Newman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 61% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Shimabukuro/Mercado · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 66% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 7-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Mercado · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 66% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 11-4 · vs Shimabukuro/Mercado · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 66% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bellamy/Young · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 56% of points 2025-10-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bellamy/Young · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 56% of points 2025-10-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 42% of points 2025-10-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 42% of points 2025-10-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 42% of points 2025-10-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 39% of points 2025-10-26 PPA · 6-11 · vs Staksrud/Patriquin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 39% of points 2025-10-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Daescu/Alshon · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 36% of points 2025-10-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Daescu/Alshon · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 36% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Young/Stratman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 53% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Young/Stratman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 53% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Young/Stratman · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 53% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Johnson/Alhouni · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 68% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 11-0 · vs Johnson/Alhouni · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 68% of points 2025-11-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Braham/Crouch · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 60% of points 2025-11-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Braham/Crouch · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 60% of points 2025-11-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 39% of points 2025-11-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 39% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Loong/Kunimoto · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Loong/Kunimoto · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 53% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 20% of points 2026-01-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 20% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Goldin/Haworth · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 11-8 · vs Goldin/Haworth · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 52% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sock/Tellez · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 46% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Sock/Tellez · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 46% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Sock/Tellez · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 46% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mackinnon/Ignatowich · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mackinnon/Ignatowich · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mackinnon/Ignatowich · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 66% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Garnett/Rane · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Garnett/Rane · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Garnett/Rane · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-5 · vs Campbell/Harvey · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Campbell/Harvey · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-9 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-8 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 40% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bar/Stone · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-8 · vs Bar/Stone · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bar/Stone · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 47% of points 2026-01-23 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 26% of points 2026-01-23 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 26% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Roddy/Kong · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 58% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Roddy/Kong · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 58% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Roddy/Kong · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 58% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Joseph/Burrows · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Joseph/Burrows · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Tardio/Parenteau · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 32% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Tardio/Parenteau · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 32% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tardio/Parenteau · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 32% of points 2026-02-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Garnett/Ge · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 42% of points 2026-02-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Garnett/Ge · w/ Jaume Martinez Vich · model expected 42% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cincola/Trinh · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-8 · vs Cincola/Trinh · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 1-11 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 45% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Dekel Bar · model expected 45% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-2 · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 72% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 72% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walker/Young · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walker/Young · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 51% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Wall/Miyoshi · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 55% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wall/Miyoshi · w/ Noe Khlif · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Schneemann/Powell · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Schneemann/Powell · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 42% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Teoni/Angelo · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Young/Caldarella · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Young/Caldarella · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Goins/Dimuzio · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 44% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Goins/Dimuzio · w/ Lucy Kovalova · model expected 44% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Gonnering/Woog · w/ Roscoe Bellamy · model expected 67% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Gonnering/Woog · w/ Roscoe Bellamy · model expected 67% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gonnering/Woog · w/ Roscoe Bellamy · model expected 67% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 151–101 60% 9.0–7.8 2025 PPA 93–81 53% 8.5–8.0 2026 PPA 28–29 49% 8.3–8.6
39–25
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
23–18
overtime games (past the target)
144
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-0.7 (-5.2…+4.3)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-14 PPA · mens Roscoe Bellamy Gonnering/Woog 11-1 +24% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Roscoe Bellamy Gonnering/Woog 11-2 +17% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Roscoe Bellamy Gonnering/Woog 5-11 -36% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Lucy Kovalova Goins/Dimuzio 5-11 -12% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Lucy Kovalova Goins/Dimuzio 1-11 -35% 2026-10-01 PPA · mens Will Mackinnon Young/Caldarella 6-11 -15% 2026-10-01 PPA · mens Will Mackinnon Young/Caldarella 7-11 -11% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Will Mackinnon Teoni/Angelo 11-5 +13% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Will Mackinnon Teoni/Angelo 7-11 -17% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Will Mackinnon Teoni/Angelo 11-9 -0% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Lucy Kovalova Schneemann/Powell 4-11 -16% 2026-09-30 PPA · mixed Lucy Kovalova Schneemann/Powell 6-11 -7%
Put Matt in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.