PICKLES

Lucy Kovalova W

womens 145–108 · mixed 92–86

+4.9 (+3.6…+5.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#36
of 204 active women (within gender only)
237–194
career record · 55% wins, 53% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.4 to +5.9)2024-02 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.9)2024-03 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.9)2024-04 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.9)2024-05 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.8 to +6.0)2024-06 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.0)2024-07 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.0)2024-08 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.1)2024-09 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.1)2024-10 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.1)2024-11 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.1)2024-12 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.1)2025-01 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.1)2025-02 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.0)2025-03 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.8 to +6.0)2025-04 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.8 to +6.0)2025-05 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.8 to +6.0)2025-06 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.9)2025-07 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.9)2025-08 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.5 to +5.8)2025-09 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.4 to +5.7)2025-10 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.4 to +5.7)2025-11 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.3 to +5.7)2025-12 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.3 to +5.8)2026-01 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.3 to +5.8)2026-02 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.2 to +5.8)2026-03 · +5.0 pts (90% band +4.1 to +5.8)2026-04 · +5.0 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.8)2026-05 · +5.0 pts (90% band +4.0 to +5.8)2026-06 · +4.9 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.8)2026-07 · +4.9 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.9)2026-08 · +4.9 pts (90% band +3.7 to +5.9)2026-09 · +4.9 pts (90% band +3.7 to +5.9)2026-10 · +4.9 pts (90% band +3.6 to +5.9)+4+5+6202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2025-01-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ruhl/Funemizu · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 70% of points2025-01-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ruhl/Funemizu · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 70% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Esquivel/Brown · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 55% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Esquivel/Brown · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 55% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Conard/Ignatowich · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 79% of points2025-01-08 PPA · 11-1 · vs Conard/Ignatowich · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 79% of points2025-01-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 35% of points2025-01-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 35% of points2025-01-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Stratman/Padegimaite · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 59% of points2025-01-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Stratman/Padegimaite · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 59% of points2025-01-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Parenteau/Waters · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 30% of points2025-01-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Parenteau/Waters · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 30% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bright/Bar · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 36% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bright/Bar · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 36% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Arnold/Stratman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 50% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Arnold/Stratman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 50% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Blatt/Campbell · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 69% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Blatt/Campbell · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 69% of points2025-02-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Parker/Erokhina · w/ Olivia McMillan · model expected 46% of points2025-02-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Parker/Erokhina · w/ Olivia McMillan · model expected 46% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Ignatowich/Loyd · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 68% of points2025-02-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ignatowich/Loyd · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 68% of points2025-02-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs David/Navratil · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 49% of points2025-02-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs David/Navratil · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 49% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Brascia/Brascia · w/ Etta Tuionetoa · model expected 57% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 2-11 · vs Brascia/Brascia · w/ Etta Tuionetoa · model expected 57% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 11-5 · vs Brascia/Brascia · w/ Etta Tuionetoa · model expected 57% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 11-0 · vs Brown/Dimuzio · w/ Etta Tuionetoa · model expected 81% of points2025-02-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs Brown/Dimuzio · w/ Etta Tuionetoa · model expected 81% of points2025-02-22 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bright/Rohrabacher · w/ Etta Tuionetoa · model expected 38% of points2025-02-22 PPA · 9-11 · vs Bright/Rohrabacher · w/ Etta Tuionetoa · model expected 38% of points2025-03-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rettger/Roddy · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 68% of points2025-03-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Rettger/Roddy · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 68% of points2025-03-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kawamoto/Ignatowich · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 44% of points2025-03-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kawamoto/Ignatowich · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 44% of points2025-03-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Kawamoto/Ignatowich · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 44% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Dimuzio/Smith · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 62% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dimuzio/Smith · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 62% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dimuzio/Smith · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 62% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Black/Jones · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 42% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Black/Jones · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 42% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-0 · vs Hidalgo-Smith/Ruhl · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 82% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Hidalgo-Smith/Ruhl · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 82% of points2025-03-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Jones · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 49% of points2025-03-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Jones · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 49% of points2025-03-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Summers/Campbell · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 68% of points2025-03-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Summers/Campbell · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 68% of points2025-03-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Irvine/Truong · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 51% of points2025-03-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Irvine/Truong · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 51% of points2025-03-15 PPA · 11-0 · vs Irvine/Truong · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 51% of points2025-03-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Dizon/Jones · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 49% of points2025-03-15 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dizon/Jones · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 49% of points2025-03-15 PPA · 11-7 · vs Laura/Funaro · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 72% of points2025-03-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Laura/Funaro · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 72% of points2025-03-15 PPA · 11-7 · vs Laura/Funaro · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 72% of points2025-03-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Smith/Tuionetoa · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 48% of points2025-03-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Smith/Tuionetoa · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 48% of points2025-03-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bright/Rohrabacher · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 35% of points2025-03-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bright/Rohrabacher · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 35% of points2025-03-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Padegimaite/Tellez · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 53% of points2025-03-27 PPA · 11-1 · vs Padegimaite/Tellez · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 53% of points2025-03-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 31% of points2025-03-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 31% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 62% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 11-7 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 62% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Todd/Rohrabacher · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 39% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Todd/Rohrabacher · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 39% of points2025-04-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 51% of points2025-04-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Rosa/Koop · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 51% of points2025-04-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs McGuffin/Schneemann · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 45% of points2025-04-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs McGuffin/Schneemann · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 45% of points2025-04-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Christian/Gecheva · w/ Mehvish Safdar · model expected 44% of points2025-04-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Christian/Gecheva · w/ Mehvish Safdar · model expected 44% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Cincola/Rettger · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 69% of points2025-05-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Cincola/Rettger · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 69% of points2025-05-14 PPA · 11-7 · vs Igleski/Rives · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 70% of points2025-05-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Igleski/Rives · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 70% of points2025-05-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Khlif/Jansen · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 45% of points2025-05-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Khlif/Jansen · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 45% of points2025-05-14 PPA · 9-11 · vs Khlif/Jansen · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 45% of points2025-05-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fahey/Pisnik · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 39% of points2025-05-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fahey/Pisnik · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 39% of points2025-05-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fahey/Pisnik · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 39% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-1 · vs Trifunovic/Taylor · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 79% of points2025-06-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Trifunovic/Taylor · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 79% of points2025-06-18 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 44% of points2025-06-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 44% of points2025-06-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 44% of points2025-06-19 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ingram/Igleski · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 67% of points2025-06-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ingram/Igleski · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 67% of points2025-06-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Kawamoto/Irvine · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 42% of points2025-06-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Kawamoto/Irvine · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 42% of points2025-06-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kawamoto/Irvine · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 42% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Khlif · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 38% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Khlif · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 38% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs French/Newman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 54% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs French/Newman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 54% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs French/Newman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 54% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Imparato/Ansboury · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 75% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 11-0 · vs Imparato/Ansboury · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 75% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 35% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 35% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang/Buckner · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 51% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/Buckner · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 51% of points2025-08-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang/Buckner · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 51% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Smith/Devilliers · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 43% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Smith/Devilliers · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 43% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 62% of points2025-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Alhouni/Newman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 62% of points2025-09-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radzikowska/Johnson · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 51% of points2025-09-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Radzikowska/Johnson · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 51% of points2025-09-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kong/Gecheva · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 65% of points2025-09-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kong/Gecheva · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 65% of points2025-09-11 PPA · 5-11 · vs Fahey/Pisnik · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 41% of points2025-09-11 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Fahey/Pisnik · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 41% of points2025-09-26 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Khlif/Brascia · w/ Travis Rettenmaier · model expected 41% of points2025-09-26 PPA · 1-11 · vs Khlif/Brascia · w/ Travis Rettenmaier · model expected 41% of points2025-09-27 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Tuionetoa/Schneemann · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 48% of points2025-09-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Schneemann · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 48% of points2025-09-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Tuionetoa/Schneemann · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 48% of points2025-09-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Stratman/Parker · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 58% of points2025-09-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Stratman/Parker · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 58% of points2025-09-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Stratman/Parker · w/ Meghan Dizon · model expected 58% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Parker/Brown · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 50% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Parker/Brown · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 50% of points2025-10-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Parker/Brown · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 50% of points2025-10-08 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ansboury/McMillan · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 79% of points2025-10-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ansboury/McMillan · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 79% of points2025-10-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 36% of points2025-10-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 36% of points2025-10-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Irvine/Rane · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 55% of points2025-10-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Irvine/Rane · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 55% of points2025-10-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kawamoto/Parenteau · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 41% of points2025-10-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kawamoto/Parenteau · w/ Jackie Kawamoto · model expected 41% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Deakin/Newman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 61% of points2025-10-21 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Deakin/Newman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 61% of points2025-10-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ampon/Bouchard · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 75% of points2025-10-22 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ampon/Bouchard · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 75% of points2025-10-23 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Humberg/Jones · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 44% of points2025-10-23 PPA · 4-11 · vs Humberg/Jones · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 44% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Young/Stratman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 53% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Young/Stratman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 53% of points2025-11-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Young/Stratman · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 53% of points2025-11-05 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Kong/Gecheva · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 53% of points2025-11-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kong/Gecheva · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 53% of points2025-11-06 PPA · 0-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 25% of points2025-11-06 PPA · 1-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Mya Bui · model expected 25% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Loong/Kunimoto · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 53% of points2026-01-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Loong/Kunimoto · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 53% of points2026-01-14 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 20% of points2026-01-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 20% of points2026-01-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Imparato/Ingram · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 62% of points2026-01-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Imparato/Ingram · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 62% of points2026-01-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Imparato/Ingram · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 62% of points2026-01-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 49% of points2026-01-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 49% of points2026-01-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 49% of points2026-01-20 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mackinnon/Ignatowich · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 66% of points2026-01-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mackinnon/Ignatowich · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 66% of points2026-01-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mackinnon/Ignatowich · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 66% of points2026-01-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 76% of points2026-01-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 76% of points2026-01-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Garnett/Rane · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 43% of points2026-01-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Garnett/Rane · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 43% of points2026-01-21 PPA · 11-8 · vs Garnett/Rane · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 43% of points2026-01-22 PPA · 11-9 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 40% of points2026-01-22 PPA · 11-8 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 40% of points2026-01-22 PPA · 11-9 · vs Jones/Humberg · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 43% of points2026-01-22 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jones/Humberg · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 43% of points2026-01-23 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 26% of points2026-01-23 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 26% of points2026-01-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 31% of points2026-01-23 PPA · 3-11 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 31% of points2026-02-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Roddy/Kong · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 58% of points2026-02-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Roddy/Kong · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 58% of points2026-02-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Roddy/Kong · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 58% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Tardio/Parenteau · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 32% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Tardio/Parenteau · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 32% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tardio/Parenteau · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 32% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jensen/Leonard · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 81% of points2026-02-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jensen/Leonard · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 81% of points2026-02-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 31% of points2026-02-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 31% of points2026-04-28 PPA · 11-2 · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 72% of points2026-04-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Simson/Ganesh · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 72% of points2026-04-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walker/Young · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 51% of points2026-04-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walker/Young · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 51% of points2026-04-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kwon/Tang · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 65% of points2026-04-29 PPA · 11-0 · vs Kwon/Tang · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 65% of points2026-04-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kwon/Tang · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 65% of points2026-09-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Schneemann/Powell · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 42% of points2026-09-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Schneemann/Powell · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 42% of points2026-10-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Stratman/Widdershoven · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 59% of points2026-10-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Stratman/Widdershoven · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 59% of points2026-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Stratman/Widdershoven · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 59% of points2026-10-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Sleeth/Truong · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 51% of points2026-10-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sleeth/Truong · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 51% of points2026-10-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Sleeth/Truong · w/ Mari Humberg · model expected 51% of points2026-10-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Goins/Dimuzio · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 44% of points2026-10-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Goins/Dimuzio · w/ Matt Wright · model expected 44% of points0%25%50%75%100%20252026winlossmodel expectationlast 200 gamesshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA136–9559%8.8–7.6
2025PPA75–7251%8.5–7.9
2026PPA26–2749%8.6–8.5
24–25
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
15–18
overtime games (past the target)
129
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
10
longest win streak
-3
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-0.5 (-4.7…+4.0)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (4 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
2–2
singles record · last 2025-08

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Matt Wright17692–8451%-0.00 ±0.43 (noise)
Callie Smith8446–3852%+0.20 ±0.47 (noise)
Lea Jansen6239–2357%+0.20 ±0.47 (noise)
Jackie Kawamoto4127–1458%-0.06 ±0.51 (noise)
Milan Rane169–753%-0.03 ±0.50 (noise)
Meghan Dizon137–652%+0.02 ±0.48 (noise)
Mari Humberg105–554%+0.01 ±0.49 (noise)
Etta Tuionetoa74–358%+0.06 ±0.51 (noise)
Parris Todd53–253%-0.07 ±0.49 (noise)
Lacy Schneemann42–253%-0.03 ±0.50 (noise)
Mya Bui42–240%-0.08 ±0.52 (noise)
Kaitlyn Christian31–255%-0.06 ±0.49 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-10-13PPA · mixedMatt WrightGoins/Dimuzio5-11-12%
2026-10-13PPA · mixedMatt WrightGoins/Dimuzio1-11-35%
2026-10-02PPA · womensMari HumbergSleeth/Truong9-11-6%
2026-10-02PPA · womensMari HumbergSleeth/Truong11-7+10%
2026-10-02PPA · womensMari HumbergSleeth/Truong7-11-12%
2026-10-01PPA · womensMari HumbergStratman/Widdershoven11-6+6%
2026-10-01PPA · womensMari HumbergStratman/Widdershoven10-12 OT-13%
2026-10-01PPA · womensMari HumbergStratman/Widdershoven11-4+14%
2026-09-30PPA · mixedMatt WrightSchneemann/Powell4-11-16%
2026-09-30PPA · mixedMatt WrightSchneemann/Powell6-11-7%
2026-04-29PPA · womensKaitlyn ChristianKwon/Tang8-11-23%
2026-04-29PPA · womensKaitlyn ChristianKwon/Tang11-0+35%

Put Lucy in the simulator →