Lea Jansen W
womens 237–165 · mixed 248–163
+5.3 (+4.6…+5.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#26
of 204 active women (within gender only)
485–328
career record · 60% wins, 54% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.2) 2024-02 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.1 to +6.2) 2024-03 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.3) 2024-04 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.3) 2024-05 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.3) 2024-06 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.3) 2024-07 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.3) 2024-08 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.4 to +6.3) 2024-09 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.3) 2024-10 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.2) 2024-11 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.2) 2024-12 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.2) 2025-01 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.2) 2025-02 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.1) 2025-03 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.1 to +6.0) 2025-04 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.1 to +5.9) 2025-05 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +5.9) 2025-06 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.9 to +5.8) 2025-07 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.9 to +5.8) 2025-08 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.7) 2025-09 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.7) 2025-10 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.7) 2025-11 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.8) 2025-12 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.8) 2026-01 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.8 to +5.8) 2026-02 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.8) 2026-03 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.7 to +5.7) 2026-04 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.7) 2026-05 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.7) 2026-06 · +5.1 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.7) 2026-07 · +5.2 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.7) 2026-08 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.8) 2026-09 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.9) 2026-10 · +5.3 pts (90% band +4.6 to +5.9) +5 +6 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2026-01-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs McMillan/Newman · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 65% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 11-8 · vs McMillan/Newman · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 65% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 31% of points 2026-01-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 31% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Fahey/Pisnik · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fahey/Pisnik · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs Fahey/Pisnik · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 37% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hatton/Mogle · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 63% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-0 · vs Hatton/Mogle · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 63% of points 2026-01-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hatton/Mogle · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 63% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Voelker/Hayden · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 81% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-1 · vs Voelker/Hayden · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 81% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-5 · vs Stratman/Stone · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 57% of points 2026-01-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Stratman/Stone · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 57% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 8-11 · vs Pisnik/Khlif · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pisnik/Khlif · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 42% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-4 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-22 PPA · 11-6 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 62% of points 2026-01-23 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-23 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-23 PPA · 8-11 · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 44% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs III/Emmrich · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs III/Emmrich · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 65% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bouchard/Imparato · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 70% of points 2026-02-11 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bouchard/Imparato · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 70% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 51% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 51% of points 2026-02-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 51% of points 2026-02-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 31% of points 2026-02-13 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 31% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Teoni/Conard · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Teoni/Conard · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Johnson/Smith · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Johnson/Smith · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Yeh/Khan · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 11-0 · vs Yeh/Khan · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 68% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tuionetoa/Dizon · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Dizon · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Dizon · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 43% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 30% of points 2026-02-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 30% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Walczak/Protzek · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Walczak/Protzek · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Walczak/Protzek · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Truluck/Delgado · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Truluck/Delgado · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Walker/Truong · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Walker/Truong · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Walker/Truong · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 23% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 23% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Stanciu/Cosma · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 79% of points 2026-03-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Stanciu/Cosma · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 79% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Heerboth/Pretorius · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Heerboth/Pretorius · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Truluck/Delgado · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Truluck/Delgado · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 56% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Caruso/Morelli · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-7 · vs Caruso/Morelli · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Black/Khlif · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Black/Khlif · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 11-3 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 18% of points 2026-03-13 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 18% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mackinnon/Conard · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mackinnon/Conard · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mackinnon/Conard · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 65% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-6 · vs Padegimaite/Nguyen · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 2-11 · vs Padegimaite/Nguyen · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-1 · vs Padegimaite/Nguyen · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 63% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-0 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 51% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Todd/Fahey · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Todd/Fahey · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 33% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Bond/Ford · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 78% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bond/Ford · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 78% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Newman/Loong · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs Newman/Loong · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Xie/Karina · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 79% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-6 · vs Xie/Karina · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 79% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kong/Padegimaite · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kong/Padegimaite · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Todd · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 29% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Todd · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 29% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-8 · vs Stone/Parker · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Stone/Parker · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Erokhina/Hendershot · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Erokhina/Hendershot · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Erokhina/Hendershot · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kawamoto/Kawamoto · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 32% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kawamoto/Kawamoto · w/ Callie Smith · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-1 · vs Bui/Yang · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-5 · vs Erokhina/Bui · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 4-11 · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 29% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 5-11 · vs Fahey/Tardio · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 34% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 7-11 · vs Parenteau/Kawamoto · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 37% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-1 · vs Parenteau/Freeman · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 46% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 9-11 · vs Phillips/Parker · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 56% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 1-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Shimabukuro · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-9 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 13-11 (OT) · vs Parker/Phillips · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 2-11 · vs Buckner/Black · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 40% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 6-11 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Dylan Frazier · model expected 39% of points 2026-06-11 MLP · 11-4 · vs Ulery/Irvine · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 67% of points 2026-06-11 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 50% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 3-11 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 42% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 11-1 · vs Huang/Buckner · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 13-11 (OT) · vs Rives/Crouch · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 65% of points 2026-06-12 MLP · 11-5 · vs Frantova/Weil · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 56% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Howells · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 11-4 · vs Bui/Erokhina · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 3-11 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 21% of points 2026-06-13 MLP · 11-1 · vs Erokhina/Yang · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-14 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Dizon/Campbell · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-14 MLP · 11-1 · vs Campbell/Mackinnon · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 4-11 · vs Pisnik/Sewing · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 0-11 · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 27% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 2-11 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 46% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 1-11 · vs Fahey/Tardio · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 37% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 5-11 · vs Schneemann/Rane · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 47% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 11-8 · vs Rane/Staksrud · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 49% of points 2026-06-19 MLP · 11-9 · vs Widdershoven/Powell · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-19 MLP · 11-6 · vs Widdershoven/Dunlap · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 52% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 4-11 · vs Black/Klinger · w/ Nicolas Acevedo · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 5-11 · vs Black/Todd · w/ Layne Sleeth · model expected 31% of points 2026-06-21 MLP · 4-11 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Marcela Aguila Ampon · model expected 32% of points 2026-06-21 MLP · 2-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Shimabukuro · w/ Matthew Barlow · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-25 MLP · 11-6 · vs Truluck/Powell · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 59% of points 2026-06-25 MLP · 11-8 · vs Truluck/Smith · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-26 MLP · 11-6 · vs Ingram/Goins · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-26 MLP · 9-11 · vs Wei/Ingram · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-27 MLP · 5-11 · vs Campbell/Nguyen · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 56% of points 2026-06-27 MLP · 11-8 · vs Campbell/Mackinnon · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-28 MLP · 11-6 · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 41% of points 2026-06-28 MLP · 6-11 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 18% of points 2026-06-28 MLP · 2-11 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 32% of points 2026-06-28 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-09 MLP · 11-4 · vs Dizon/Bhatia · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 52% of points 2026-07-09 MLP · 7-11 · vs Campbell/Dizon · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 47% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 8-11 · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 23% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 3-11 · vs Schull/Walczak · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 52% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 2-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 32% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 11-9 · vs Walczak/Truong · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 3-11 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 39% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 6-11 · vs Todd/Black · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 27% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 7-11 · vs Sewing/Pisnik · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 35% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 13-11 (OT) · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 47% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 4-11 · vs Dunlap/Delgado · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 52% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 11-9 · vs Schull/Walczak · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 52% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 11-7 · vs Widdershoven/Dunlap · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 48% of points 2026-07-24 MLP · 11-9 · vs Walczak/Loyd · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 11-2 · vs Blatt/Auvergne · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 69% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 5-11 · vs Dennehy/Frazier · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 5-11 · vs Dennehy/Weil · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 46% of points 2026-07-25 MLP · 1-11 · vs Blatt/Kawamoto · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-26 MLP · 11-6 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-26 MLP · 11-6 · vs Smith/Wang · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-07 MLP · 8-11 · vs Irvine/Humberg · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-07 MLP · 11-1 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-09 MLP · 11-4 · vs Humberg/Vich · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-09 MLP · 5-11 · vs Irvine/Humberg · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 44% of points 2026-08-14 MLP · 4-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 32% of points 2026-08-14 MLP · 3-11 · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 23% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 5-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 32% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 2-11 · vs Bright/Fahey · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 23% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Schneemann/Sock · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Schneemann/Sock · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Schneemann/Sock · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ampon/Ignatowich · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 85% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ampon/Ignatowich · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 85% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang/Dimuzio · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wang/Dimuzio · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Diamond/Sewing · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 47% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Diamond/Sewing · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Koller/Widdershoven · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Koller/Widdershoven · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 0-11 · vs Kunimoto/Castillo · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Kunimoto/Castillo · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 23% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Jack Sock · model expected 23% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 56% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 11-0 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 56% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bar/Irvine · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 45% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bar/Irvine · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 45% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hendershot/Goodnow · w/ Chao Yi Wang · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Hendershot/Goodnow · w/ Chao Yi Wang · model expected 62% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 44% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 44% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Fahey/Rane · w/ Chao Yi Wang · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Fahey/Rane · w/ Chao Yi Wang · model expected 39% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Fahey/Rane · w/ Chao Yi Wang · model expected 39% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 204–106 66% 9.4–7.1 2025 MLP 42–35 55% 8.7–8.2 2025 PPA 130–90 59% 9.0–7.6 2026 MLP 32–42 43% 7.4–8.8 2026 PPA 77–55 58% 8.5–7.5
39–34
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
31–26
overtime games (past the target)
267
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+7.3 (+7.1…+7.5)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
430 pro singles games
288–142
singles record · last 2026-10
69–58
DreamBreaker rallies · 16 DBs, team 10–6
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-09 PPA · womens Chao Yi Wang Fahey/Rane 2-11 -23% 2026-10-09 PPA · womens Chao Yi Wang Fahey/Rane 1-11 -30% 2026-10-09 PPA · womens Chao Yi Wang Fahey/Rane 11-9 +16% 2026-10-08 PPA · mixed AJ Koller Truong/Dizon 2-11 -29% 2026-10-08 PPA · mixed AJ Koller Truong/Dizon 5-11 -13% 2026-10-08 PPA · womens Chao Yi Wang Hendershot/Goodnow 11-2 +22% 2026-10-08 PPA · womens Chao Yi Wang Hendershot/Goodnow 11-8 -5% 2026-10-07 PPA · mixed AJ Koller Bar/Irvine 11-5 +24% 2026-10-07 PPA · mixed AJ Koller Bar/Irvine 11-9 +10% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed AJ Koller Gecheva/Lenhard 11-0 +44% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed AJ Koller Gecheva/Lenhard 11-8 +2% 2026-10-02 PPA · mixed Jack Sock Waters/Johns 5-11 +8%
Put Lea in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.