Hayden Patriquin M
mens 405–157 · mixed 397–152
+6.5 (+5.9…+7.0)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#4
of 286 active men (within gender only)
802–309
career record · 72% wins, 59% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.7 to +6.0) 2024-02 · +5.4 pts (90% band +4.8 to +6.0) 2024-03 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.0) 2024-04 · +5.5 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.0) 2024-05 · +5.5 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.0) 2024-06 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.1 to +6.1) 2024-07 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.1 to +6.1) 2024-08 · +5.6 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.0) 2024-09 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.1) 2024-10 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.1) 2024-11 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2024-12 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2025-01 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2025-02 · +5.7 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2025-03 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.1) 2025-04 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.2) 2025-05 · +6.0 pts (90% band +5.6 to +6.3) 2025-06 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.7 to +6.4) 2025-07 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.7 to +6.5) 2025-08 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.7 to +6.5) 2025-09 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.7 to +6.5) 2025-10 · +6.2 pts (90% band +5.8 to +6.6) 2025-11 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.7) 2025-12 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.7) 2026-01 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.8) 2026-02 · +6.5 pts (90% band +6.1 to +6.8) 2026-03 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.7) 2026-04 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.7) 2026-05 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.8) 2026-06 · +6.5 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.9) 2026-07 · +6.5 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.9) 2026-08 · +6.5 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.9) 2026-09 · +6.5 pts (90% band +6.0 to +7.0) 2026-10 · +6.5 pts (90% band +5.9 to +7.0) +5 +6 +7 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2026-03-25 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Castillo/Jakovljevic · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 74% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Castillo/Jakovljevic · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 74% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Lenhard/Haworth · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lenhard/Haworth · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lenhard/Haworth · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Shimabukuro/Funemizu · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 67% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-3 · vs Shimabukuro/Funemizu · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 67% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 67% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 67% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 11-0 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 61% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 54% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Johnson/Klinger · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 54% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dimuzio/Powell · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 77% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Dimuzio/Powell · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 77% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Walker/Young · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 77% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Walker/Young · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 77% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Jakovljevic/Barlow · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 74% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jakovljevic/Barlow · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 74% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dennehy/Shimabukuro · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dennehy/Shimabukuro · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Funemizu/Shimabukuro · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 67% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 11-0 · vs Black/Howells · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Black/Howells · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 59% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Irvine/Oncins · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 67% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Irvine/Oncins · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 67% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 11-5 · vs Irvine/Oncins · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 67% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Vich/Devilliers · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 51% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 51% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Black/Daescu · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Black/Daescu · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-1 · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Staksrud/Daescu · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Khlif/McGuffin · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Khlif/McGuffin · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 0-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Christian Alshon · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-2 · vs French/Phillips · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 79% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-5 · vs Hatton/French · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 80% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-3 · vs Frazier/Oncins · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 4-11 · vs Shimabukuro/Garnett · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 64% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-0 · vs Sleeth/Oncins · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Jones/Garnett · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 69% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-4 · vs Erokhina/Tellez · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-2 · vs Yang/Tellez · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 6-11 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 11-9 · vs Khlif/Howells · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 11-6 · vs Johns/Freeman · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 6-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 53% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-3 · vs Weil/Crouch · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-2 · vs Rettenmaier/Crouch · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-7 · vs Parker/Mogle · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 72% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-4 · vs Mogle/Young · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 70% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 8-11 · vs Sewing/McGuffin · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 69% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 11-1 · vs Smith/Bellamy · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 11-8 · vs Bellamy/Jacobson · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 11-2 · vs Bar/McGuffin · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-31 MLP · 9-11 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 49% of points 2026-05-31 MLP · 8-11 · vs Howells/Khlif · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 61% of points 2026-06-04 MLP · 11-8 · vs Erokhina/Yang · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-06-04 MLP · 11-4 · vs Pham/Yang · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 72% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-7 · vs Devilliers/Vich · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-2 · vs Christian/Vich · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 74% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-6 · vs Rane/Staksrud · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 67% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-0 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 66% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-4 · vs Sewing/McGuffin · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-2 · vs Sock/Staksrud · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 11-3 · vs Freeman/Johns · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 11-5 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Acevedo/Oncins · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 11-5 · vs Sleeth/Oncins · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 66% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 11-3 · vs Goldin/McGuffin · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 72% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 11-8 · vs Sewing/McGuffin · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-8 · vs Rane/Staksrud · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 67% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-0 · vs Fujiwara/Powell · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 68% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-1 · vs Klinger/Daescu · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-8 · vs Staksrud/Sock · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 60% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-1 · vs Black/Klinger · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-7 · vs Frazier/Powell · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 68% of points 2026-06-21 MLP · 11-4 · vs Freeman/Johns · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-09 MLP · 11-1 · vs Mogle/Crouch · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 71% of points 2026-07-09 MLP · 11-4 · vs Weil/Mogle · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 74% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 11-5 · vs Oncins/Acevedo · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 8-11 · vs Kawamoto/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 56% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 11-2 · vs Jansen/Oncins · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 68% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Johns/Freeman · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 11-3 · vs Khlif/Howells · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 11-8 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-6 · vs Scarpa/Braham · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 67% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-2 · vs Dunlap/Delgado · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 8-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 55% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 3-11 · vs Newman/Alshon · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-5 · vs Chaffin/Truong · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 69% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-2 · vs Walczak/Truong · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Powell/Bellamy · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 11-1 · vs Truluck/Powell · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-8 · vs Schneemann/Sock · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-1 · vs Sock/Johnson · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 73% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-5 · vs Staksrud/Howells · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 13-15 (OT) · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-14 MLP · 11-2 · vs Oncins/Acevedo · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-14 MLP · 11-4 · vs Jansen/Oncins · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 68% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 11-4 · vs Oncins/Acevedo · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 11-5 · vs Jansen/Oncins · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 68% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 9-11 · vs Ge/Johnson · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 11-9 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 5-11 · vs Ge/Johnson · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 11-2 · vs Buckner/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-29 MLP · 11-8 · vs Howells/Staksrud · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-29 MLP · 4-11 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-30 MLP · 10-12 (OT) · vs Staksrud/Howells · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-08-30 MLP · 11-6 · vs Waters/Khlif · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 52% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Barlow/Nguyen · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 80% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-0 · vs Barlow/Nguyen · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 80% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Trinh/Cincola · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 76% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Trinh/Cincola · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 76% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Braham/Bui · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 74% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Braham/Bui · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 74% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Truong/Stone · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 68% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Truong/Stone · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 68% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Schneemann/Sock · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Schneemann/Sock · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Parenteau/Newman · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Parenteau/Newman · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 55% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Oncins/Khlif · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Oncins/Khlif · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Oncins/Khlif · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 57% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Tardio · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs El-Zarif/Varon · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-8 · vs El-Zarif/Varon · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Castillo/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Castillo/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Castillo/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 58% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 58% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 58% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Schupp/Goins · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Schupp/Goins · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Alshon/Daescu · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Pisnik/Alshon · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pisnik/Alshon · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Pisnik/Alshon · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 11-9 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 11-7 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Navratil/Hendershot · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 78% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Navratil/Hendershot · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 78% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Vich/Rane · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Vich/Rane · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Steiner/Yates · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-1 · vs Steiner/Yates · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Tellez/Young · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 69% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Tellez/Young · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 69% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Klinger/Oncins · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 55% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-11 PPA · 11-1 · vs Vich/Acevedo · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 58% of points 2026-10-11 PPA · 11-6 · vs Vich/Acevedo · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 58% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Maleganeas/Townsend · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 88% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Maleganeas/Townsend · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 88% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-0 · vs Donnelly/Shima · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 89% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Donnelly/Shima · w/ Jessie Irvine · model expected 89% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 253–122 67% 9.7–7.4 2025 MLP 65–9 88% 10.4–5.7 2025 PPA 223–94 70% 9.8–7.1 2026 MLP 60–15 80% 10.3–5.8 2026 PPA 201–69 74% 9.9–6.3
64–50
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
55–50
overtime games (past the target)
456
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+6
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+6.2 (+5.0…+7.1)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
63 pro singles games
35–28
singles record · last 2024-08
32–32
DreamBreaker rallies · 8 DBs, team 5–3
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Jessie Irvine Donnelly/Shima 11-3 -10% 2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Jessie Irvine Donnelly/Shima 11-0 +11% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Gabriel Tardio Maleganeas/Townsend 11-2 -3% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Gabriel Tardio Maleganeas/Townsend 11-2 -3% 2026-10-11 PPA · mens Federico Staksrud Vich/Acevedo 11-6 +7% 2026-10-11 PPA · mens Federico Staksrud Vich/Acevedo 11-1 +34% 2026-10-10 PPA · mixed Anna Bright Johnson/Johnson 5-11 -18% 2026-10-10 PPA · mixed Anna Bright Johnson/Johnson 1-11 -41% 2026-10-10 PPA · mens Federico Staksrud Klinger/Oncins 11-3 +23% 2026-10-10 PPA · mens Federico Staksrud Klinger/Oncins 7-11 -17% 2026-10-10 PPA · mens Federico Staksrud Klinger/Oncins 11-8 +2% 2026-10-09 PPA · mens Federico Staksrud Tellez/Young 11-2 +16%
Put Hayden in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.