Callan Dawson M
mens 74–63 · mixed 33–43
+4.0 (+2.1…+5.5)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#77
of 286 active men (within gender only)
107–106
career record · 50% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.6 to +4.5) 2024-02 · +3.6 pts (90% band +2.7 to +4.5) 2024-03 · +3.7 pts (90% band +2.9 to +4.5) 2024-04 · +3.8 pts (90% band +3.0 to +4.5) 2024-05 · +3.9 pts (90% band +3.1 to +4.6) 2024-06 · +3.9 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.6) 2024-07 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.7) 2024-08 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.7) 2024-09 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.8) 2024-10 · +4.0 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.8) 2024-11 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.9) 2024-12 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.9) 2025-01 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.2 to +4.9) 2025-02 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.2 to +5.0) 2025-03 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.2 to +5.0) 2025-04 · +4.1 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.0) 2025-05 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.0) 2025-06 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.1) 2025-07 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.1) 2025-08 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.1) 2025-09 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.1) 2025-10 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.2) 2025-11 · +4.2 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.2) 2025-12 · +4.1 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.2) 2026-01 · +4.1 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.2) 2026-02 · +4.1 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.2) 2026-03 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.6 to +5.2) 2026-04 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.2) 2026-05 · +3.9 pts (90% band +2.4 to +5.2) 2026-06 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.4 to +5.3) 2026-07 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.3 to +5.3) 2026-08 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.2 to +5.4) 2026-09 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.2 to +5.4) 2026-10 · +4.0 pts (90% band +2.1 to +5.5) +2 +3 +4 +5 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-02-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lange/Navratil · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 50% of points 2024-02-03 PPA · 11-0 · vs Pailet/Grollman · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 59% of points 2024-02-03 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Pailet/Grollman · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 59% of points 2024-02-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Joseph/Zilveti · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 57% of points 2024-02-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Joseph/Zilveti · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 57% of points 2024-02-22 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Klinger/Vich · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 44% of points 2024-02-22 PPA · 9-11 · vs Klinger/Vich · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 44% of points 2024-02-22 PPA · 6-11 · vs Klinger/Vich · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 44% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hewett/Todd · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 37% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hewett/Todd · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 37% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Fagan/Sanchez · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 60% of points 2024-03-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Fagan/Sanchez · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 60% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Yi/Yeh · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 67% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Yi/Yeh · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 67% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Young/Bar · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 53% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Young/Bar · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 53% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hewett/Brown · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 55% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hewett/Brown · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 55% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hewett/Brown · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 55% of points 2024-03-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 51% of points 2024-03-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 51% of points 2024-03-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Johns/Wright · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 49% of points 2024-03-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Johns/Wright · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 49% of points 2024-04-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Dow/Ignatowich · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 61% of points 2024-04-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Dow/Ignatowich · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 61% of points 2024-04-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs McGuffin/Dizon · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 33% of points 2024-04-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs McGuffin/Dizon · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 33% of points 2024-04-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Nemoff/Cassidy · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 67% of points 2024-04-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Nemoff/Cassidy · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 67% of points 2024-04-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Smith/Devilliers · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 51% of points 2024-04-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Smith/Devilliers · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 51% of points 2024-04-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ge/Vich · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 45% of points 2024-04-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ge/Vich · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 45% of points 2024-04-05 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Ge/Vich · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 45% of points 2024-04-12 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Irvine/Tellez · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 41% of points 2024-04-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Irvine/Tellez · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 41% of points 2024-04-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Irvine/Tellez · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 41% of points 2024-04-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Burrows/Imparato · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 58% of points 2024-04-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Burrows/Imparato · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 58% of points 2024-04-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Burrows/Imparato · w/ Kaitlyn Christian · model expected 58% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Loyd/Loyd · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 66% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 11-6 · vs Loyd/Loyd · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 66% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Wilson/Bar · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 43% of points 2024-04-13 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wilson/Bar · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 43% of points 2024-04-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Schneemann · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 35% of points 2024-04-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Schneemann · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 35% of points 2024-04-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Estareja/Elpusan · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 48% of points 2024-04-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Estareja/Elpusan · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 48% of points 2024-04-19 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Estareja/Elpusan · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 48% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Newcombe/Ayotte · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 63% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 11-4 · vs Newcombe/Ayotte · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 63% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Navratil · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 50% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Navratil · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 50% of points 2024-04-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Riley Bohnert · model expected 56% of points 2024-04-26 PPA · 9-11 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Riley Bohnert · model expected 56% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 11-1 · vs Andrews/Read · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 74% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Andrews/Read · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 74% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 46% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 46% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs McGuffin/Bar · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 46% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Klinger/Young · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 53% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Klinger/Young · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 53% of points 2024-04-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Klinger/Young · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 53% of points 2024-05-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Young/Christian · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 45% of points 2024-05-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Young/Christian · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 45% of points 2024-05-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Rettenmaier/Bellamy · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 53% of points 2024-05-15 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Rettenmaier/Bellamy · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 53% of points 2024-05-15 PPA · 11-7 · vs Rettenmaier/Bellamy · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 53% of points 2024-05-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Garnett/Alshon · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 44% of points 2024-05-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Garnett/Alshon · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 44% of points 2024-05-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Walker/Dow · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 53% of points 2024-05-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Walker/Dow · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 53% of points 2024-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bright/McGuffin · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 28% of points 2024-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bright/McGuffin · w/ Rachel Summers · model expected 28% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Teoni/Blaszkewycz · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 59% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Teoni/Blaszkewycz · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 59% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Teoni/Blaszkewycz · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 59% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Frazier/Johnson · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 39% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Frazier/Johnson · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 39% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Cassidy/Oncins · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 55% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Cassidy/Oncins · w/ Hayden Patriquin · model expected 55% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Khlif/Duong · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 38% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Khlif/Duong · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 38% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Khlif/Duong · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 38% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hewett/Humberg · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 38% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hewett/Humberg · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 38% of points 2024-06-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Haworth/Goldin · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 43% of points 2024-06-27 PPA · 9-11 · vs Haworth/Goldin · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Fought/Erokhina · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 47% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Fought/Erokhina · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 47% of points 2024-08-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Fought/Erokhina · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 47% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Navratil/Rettenmaier · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Navratil/Rettenmaier · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Whittaker/Beasley · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 59% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Whittaker/Beasley · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 59% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Whittaker/Beasley · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 59% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 41% of points 2024-08-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Pablo Tellez · model expected 41% of points 2024-08-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Taylor/McMillan · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 55% of points 2024-08-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Taylor/McMillan · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 55% of points 2024-08-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 24% of points 2024-08-16 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 24% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Roddy/Jakovljevic · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Roddy/Jakovljevic · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Roddy/Jakovljevic · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 48% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tardio/Staksrud · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 32% of points 2024-08-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tardio/Staksrud · w/ Wyatt Stone · model expected 32% of points 2024-08-23 PPA · 11-8 · vs McMillan/Burrows · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 56% of points 2024-08-23 PPA · 4-11 · vs McMillan/Burrows · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 56% of points 2024-08-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs McMillan/Burrows · w/ Dominique Schaefer · model expected 56% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Johns/Bar · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 33% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 11-8 · vs Johns/Bar · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 33% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johns/Bar · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 33% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Jensen/Burrows · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Jensen/Burrows · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Jensen/Burrows · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs French/Smith · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 50% of points 2024-08-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs French/Smith · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 50% of points 2024-09-11 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bellamy/Koller · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 47% of points 2024-09-11 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bellamy/Koller · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 47% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jr/Wild · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Jr/Wild · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Jr/Wild · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 57% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Johns/Wang · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 42% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Johns/Wang · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 42% of points 2024-10-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Wang · w/ Regina Goldberg · model expected 42% of points 2024-10-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Cincola/Navratil · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 40% of points 2024-10-02 PPA · 2-11 · vs Cincola/Navratil · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 40% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Smith · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 51% of points 2024-10-12 PPA · 9-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Smith · w/ AJ Koller · model expected 51% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Jones · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 39% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Johns/Jones · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 39% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Jones · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 39% of points 2024-11-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Garcia/Benitez · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 59% of points 2024-11-06 PPA · 11-5 · vs Garcia/Benitez · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 59% of points 2024-11-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ignatowich/Alshon · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 38% of points 2024-11-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ignatowich/Alshon · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 38% of points 2024-11-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ignatowich/Alshon · w/ Darrian Young · model expected 38% of points 2024-11-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Alhouni/Erokhina · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 48% of points 2024-11-15 PPA · 7-11 · vs Alhouni/Erokhina · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 48% of points 2024-11-16 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Freeman/Fu · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Freeman/Fu · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Freeman/Fu · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 44% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ayon/Poland · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 48% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ayon/Poland · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 48% of points 2025-01-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ayon/Poland · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 48% of points 2025-01-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Newman · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 34% of points 2025-01-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Jakovljevic/Newman · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 34% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Smith/Jacobson · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 68% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Smith/Jacobson · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 68% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kates/Worsham · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 78% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Kates/Worsham · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 78% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fu/Freeman · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 49% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Fu/Freeman · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 49% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Fu/Freeman · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 49% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Goldberg/Shearer · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 69% of points 2025-06-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Goldberg/Shearer · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 69% of points 2025-06-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Garnett · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 44% of points 2025-06-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Garnett · w/ Etienne Blaszkewycz · model expected 44% of points 2025-09-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Chankasem/Pisiviroj · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 75% of points 2025-09-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Chankasem/Pisiviroj · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 75% of points 2025-09-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lim/Taylor · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 71% of points 2025-09-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lim/Taylor · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 71% of points 2025-09-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Yan/Yong · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 77% of points 2025-09-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Yan/Yong · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 77% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 2-11 · vs Leung/Chang · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 60% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Leung/Chang · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 60% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Leung/Chang · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 60% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Truong/Truong · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wang-Beckvall/Kapadia · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wang-Beckvall/Kapadia · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 11-8 · vs Wang-Beckvall/Kapadia · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Nguyen/Trần · w/ Jai Grewal · model expected 64% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nguyen/Trần · w/ Jai Grewal · model expected 64% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 11-0 · vs Phoenix/Xie · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 77% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Phoenix/Xie · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 77% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ito/Tamaki · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 73% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ito/Tamaki · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 73% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Luan/Khanh · w/ Jai Grewal · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Luan/Khanh · w/ Jai Grewal · model expected 58% of points 2025-09-30 PPA · 11-3 · vs Luan/Khanh · w/ Jai Grewal · model expected 58% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kapadia/Tran · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 54% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kapadia/Tran · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 54% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kapadia/Tran · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 54% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Truong/Do · w/ Jai Grewal · model expected 35% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Truong/Do · w/ Jai Grewal · model expected 35% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Truong/Do · w/ Jai Grewal · model expected 35% of points 2025-12-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Townsend/Navratil · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 36% of points 2025-12-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Townsend/Navratil · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 36% of points 2025-12-01 PPA · 1-11 · vs Townsend/Navratil · w/ Leah Tauber · model expected 36% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tsai/Traya · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Tsai/Traya · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Diaz/Panno · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-04 PPA · 11-2 · vs Diaz/Panno · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 73% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Nemoff/Johnson · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 11-0 · vs Nemoff/Johnson · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Loong/Lenhard · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 52% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Loong/Lenhard · w/ Alex Emery · model expected 52% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 69–87 44% 8.6–8.9 2025 PPA 32–17 65% 9.1–6.9 2026 PPA 6–2 75% 9.5–6.5
16–17
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
11–9
overtime games (past the target)
53
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-3.9 (-7.2…+1.5)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (4 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
0–4
singles record · last 2024-06
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-05-07 PPA · mens Alex Emery Loong/Lenhard 3-11 -30% 2026-05-07 PPA · mens Alex Emery Loong/Lenhard 5-11 -20% 2026-05-06 PPA · mens Alex Emery Nemoff/Johnson 11-0 +32% 2026-05-06 PPA · mens Alex Emery Nemoff/Johnson 13-11 OT-14% 2026-05-04 PPA · mens Alex Emery Diaz/Panno 11-2 +12% 2026-05-04 PPA · mens Alex Emery Diaz/Panno 11-6 -8% 2026-05-04 PPA · mens Alex Emery Tsai/Traya 11-8 -11% 2026-05-04 PPA · mens Alex Emery Tsai/Traya 11-3 +10% 2025-12-01 PPA · mixed Leah Tauber Townsend/Navratil 1-11 -28% 2025-12-01 PPA · mixed Leah Tauber Townsend/Navratil 5-11 -5% 2025-12-01 PPA · mixed Leah Tauber Townsend/Navratil 11-8 +22% 2025-10-01 PPA · mens Jai Grewal Truong/Do 4-11 -9%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.