Kate Fahey W
womens 209–116 · mixed 239–112
+7.0 (+6.5…+7.5)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#5
of 204 active women (within gender only)
448–228
career record · 66% wins, 58% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +5.8 pts (90% band +4.9 to +6.5) 2024-02 · +5.8 pts (90% band +5.0 to +6.5) 2024-03 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.1 to +6.5) 2024-04 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.2 to +6.5) 2024-05 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.5) 2024-06 · +5.9 pts (90% band +5.3 to +6.5) 2024-07 · +6.0 pts (90% band +5.5 to +6.5) 2024-08 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.6 to +6.6) 2024-09 · +6.1 pts (90% band +5.6 to +6.6) 2024-10 · +6.2 pts (90% band +5.6 to +6.6) 2024-11 · +6.2 pts (90% band +5.7 to +6.6) 2024-12 · +6.2 pts (90% band +5.7 to +6.7) 2025-01 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.8 to +6.7) 2025-02 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.8) 2025-03 · +6.4 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.8) 2025-04 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.8) 2025-05 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.8) 2025-06 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.7) 2025-07 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.8 to +6.6) 2025-08 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.8 to +6.6) 2025-09 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.7) 2025-10 · +6.3 pts (90% band +5.9 to +6.7) 2025-11 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.8) 2025-12 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.8) 2026-01 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.8) 2026-02 · +6.4 pts (90% band +6.0 to +6.8) 2026-03 · +6.5 pts (90% band +6.1 to +6.9) 2026-04 · +6.6 pts (90% band +6.2 to +7.0) 2026-05 · +6.7 pts (90% band +6.3 to +7.1) 2026-06 · +6.9 pts (90% band +6.5 to +7.2) 2026-07 · +6.9 pts (90% band +6.5 to +7.3) 2026-08 · +7.0 pts (90% band +6.6 to +7.4) 2026-09 · +7.0 pts (90% band +6.6 to +7.5) 2026-10 · +7.0 pts (90% band +6.5 to +7.5) +5 +6 +7 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2026-03-11 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hur/Choo · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 71% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Scarpa/Walker · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 69% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 11-6 · vs Scarpa/Walker · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 69% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 11-5 · vs Freeman/Humberg · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Freeman/Humberg · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Freeman/Humberg · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Humberg/Rane · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Humberg/Rane · w/ Brooke Buckner · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-13 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bright/Patriquin · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 41% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rau/Crouch · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 78% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rau/Crouch · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 78% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Sock/Jansen · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Sock/Jansen · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-1 · vs Tang/Kwon · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 81% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 11-2 · vs Tang/Kwon · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 81% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-0 · vs Minniefield/Phillips · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 81% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-1 · vs Minniefield/Phillips · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 81% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 4-11 · vs Pisnik/Oncins · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 11-7 · vs Pisnik/Oncins · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-26 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Pisnik/Oncins · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Smith/Jansen · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 67% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Smith/Jansen · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 67% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 32% of points 2026-03-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 32% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 60% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-29 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bright/Waters · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 31% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hitzeman/Litvinov · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 85% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hitzeman/Litvinov · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 85% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Stone/Parker · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Stone/Parker · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang-Beckvall/Kunimoto · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Wang-Beckvall/Kunimoto · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang-Beckvall/Kunimoto · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 67% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Christian/Vich · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Christian/Vich · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 65% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rohrabacher/Tardio · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rohrabacher/Tardio · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Pisnik/Campbell · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 57% of points 2026-04-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pisnik/Campbell · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 57% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Daescu/Todd · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Daescu/Todd · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-4 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 11-3 · vs Widdershoven/Mack · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 66% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Sleeth/Dimuzio · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 73% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Sleeth/Dimuzio · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 73% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kawamoto/Bar · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kawamoto/Bar · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 56% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-0 · vs Walker/Stratman · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 77% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Walker/Stratman · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 77% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Oncins/Pisnik · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Oncins/Pisnik · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Humberg/Truluck · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 11-7 · vs Humberg/Truluck · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 32% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-02 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Johnson/Black · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Rohrabacher/Parenteau · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rohrabacher/Parenteau · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Parenteau · w/ Parris Todd · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Parenteau/Kawamoto · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 43% of points 2026-05-06 PPA · 4-11 · vs Parenteau/Kawamoto · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 43% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dizon/Truong · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Dizon/Truong · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 22% of points 2026-05-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Waters/Bright · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 22% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-7 · vs Phillips/Parker · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-05-22 MLP · 11-1 · vs Parker/Phillips · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 79% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-4 · vs Sleeth/Jansen · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 71% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-5 · vs Jansen/Frazier · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 66% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-9 · vs Tuionetoa/Shimabukuro · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 65% of points 2026-05-23 MLP · 11-6 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-7 · vs Erokhina/Yeh · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 80% of points 2026-05-24 MLP · 11-5 · vs Parenteau/Kawamoto · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 60% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 11-2 · vs Johnson/Howells · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 55% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 7-11 · vs Parenteau/Freeman · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-25 MLP · 4-11 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-8 · vs Hatton/Young · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 77% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-7 · vs Phillips/Parker · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-4 · vs Rives/Rettenmaier · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 74% of points 2026-05-29 MLP · 11-6 · vs Weil/Frantova · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 11-4 · vs Pisnik/Sewing · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 61% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 11-3 · vs Truluck/Hovenier · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 68% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 11-1 · vs Smith/Truluck · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 75% of points 2026-05-30 MLP · 11-7 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-05-31 MLP · 3-11 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 39% of points 2026-06-04 MLP · 11-0 · vs Erokhina/Bui · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 79% of points 2026-06-04 MLP · 11-5 · vs Bui/Pham · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 75% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 11-0 · vs Irvine/Christian · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 76% of points 2026-06-05 MLP · 7-11 · vs Irvine/Devilliers · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 63% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-5 · vs Schneemann/Rane · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-5 · vs Schneemann/Sock · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 11-4 · vs Pisnik/Sewing · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-06 MLP · 2-11 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ John Lucian Goins · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-07 MLP · 11-1 · vs Parenteau/Kawamoto · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 11-0 · vs Sleeth/Jansen · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 73% of points 2026-06-17 MLP · 11-1 · vs Jansen/Acevedo · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 63% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 2-11 · vs Pisnik/Sewing · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-18 MLP · 11-3 · vs Pisnik/Goldin · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 65% of points 2026-06-19 MLP · 11-3 · vs Rane/Schneemann · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-3 · vs Dunlap/Frazier · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 67% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Black/Todd · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 54% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-4 · vs Fujiwara/Widdershoven · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 84% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-9 · vs Todd/Daescu · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-20 MLP · 11-1 · vs Schneemann/Sock · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 62% of points 2026-06-21 MLP · 11-6 · vs Parenteau/Freeman · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 63% of points 2026-06-21 MLP · 11-5 · vs Parenteau/Kawamoto · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 62% of points 2026-07-09 MLP · 11-0 · vs Frantova/Weil · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 78% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 11-8 · vs Christian/Jansen · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 77% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 11-7 · vs Parenteau/Freeman · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 63% of points 2026-07-11 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Kawamoto/Parenteau · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 63% of points 2026-07-12 MLP · 11-6 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 42% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 12-10 (OT) · vs Widdershoven/Braham · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 66% of points 2026-07-30 MLP · 11-2 · vs Widdershoven/Dunlap · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 75% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-2 · vs Phillips/Chaffin · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 72% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-4 · vs Blatt/Kawamoto · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 81% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-0 · vs Kawamoto/Newman · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 58% of points 2026-07-31 MLP · 11-2 · vs Phillips/Walczak · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 79% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 11-3 · vs Smith/Wang · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 77% of points 2026-08-01 MLP · 7-11 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 66% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-0 · vs Padegimaite/Dow · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 81% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Staksrud · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 5-11 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-02 MLP · 11-4 · vs Walker/Schneemann · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 79% of points 2026-08-14 MLP · 11-3 · vs Christian/Jansen · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 77% of points 2026-08-15 MLP · 11-2 · vs Christian/Jansen · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 77% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 11-1 · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 11-6 · vs Townsend/Ge · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 11-8 · vs Townsend/Ge · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-28 MLP · 11-2 · vs Truong/Townsend · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 70% of points 2026-08-29 MLP · 11-2 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-29 MLP · 8-11 · vs Johnson/Staksrud · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-30 MLP · 9-11 · vs Waters/Johnson · w/ Anna Bright · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-30 MLP · 11-9 · vs Johnson/Staksrud · w/ Gabriel Tardio · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Safdar/Burrows · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 83% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Safdar/Burrows · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 83% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Weil/Haworth · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 68% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Weil/Haworth · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 68% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Ampon/Ignatowich · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 85% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-0 · vs Ampon/Ignatowich · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 85% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang/Dimuzio · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wang/Dimuzio · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 66% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 74% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 74% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Black/Johnson · w/ Lea Jansen · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 65% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Truluck/Campbell · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Truluck/Campbell · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 60% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Sewing/Diamond · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 62% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Sewing/Diamond · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 62% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Sewing/Parenteau · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Sewing/Parenteau · w/ Ting Chieh Wei · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Garnett/Christian · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-1 · vs Garnett/Christian · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Garnett/Christian · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Campbell/Schull · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 68% of points 2026-10-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Campbell/Schull · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 68% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Kunimoto/Castillo · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kunimoto/Castillo · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs Kunimoto/Castillo · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 6-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Patriquin/Bright · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 42% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Black/Parenteau · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 45% of points 2026-10-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Black/Parenteau · w/ Lacy Schneemann · model expected 45% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Pham/Erokhina · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Pham/Erokhina · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 73% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Howells/Truong · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 65% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs Howells/Truong · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 65% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Widdershoven/Kunimoto · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Widdershoven/Kunimoto · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Widdershoven/Kunimoto · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 57% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wang/Jansen · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Wang/Jansen · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Wang/Jansen · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Federico Staksrud · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Parenteau/Black · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Parenteau/Black · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 43% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Sewing/Johnson · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 46% of points 2026-10-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Sewing/Johnson · w/ Milan Rane · model expected 46% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 92–59 61% 9.2–7.1 2025 MLP 55–21 72% 10.0–6.9 2025 PPA 120–64 65% 9.4–7.0 2026 MLP 57–11 84% 10.1–5.3 2026 PPA 124–73 63% 9.2–7.1
26–19
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
37–25
overtime games (past the target)
283
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+8.5 (+8.3…+8.6)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
374 pro singles games
282–92
singles record · last 2026-10
36–37
DreamBreaker rallies · 9 DBs, team 5–4
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-10 PPA · womens Milan Rane Sewing/Johnson 11-9 +9% 2026-10-10 PPA · womens Milan Rane Sewing/Johnson 11-9 +9% 2026-10-10 PPA · womens Milan Rane Parenteau/Black 3-11 -21% 2026-10-10 PPA · womens Milan Rane Parenteau/Black 5-11 -11% 2026-10-09 PPA · mixed Federico Staksrud Johns/Waters 6-11 -0% 2026-10-09 PPA · mixed Federico Staksrud Johns/Waters 3-11 -14% 2026-10-09 PPA · womens Milan Rane Wang/Jansen 11-2 +23% 2026-10-09 PPA · womens Milan Rane Wang/Jansen 11-1 +30% 2026-10-09 PPA · womens Milan Rane Wang/Jansen 9-11 -16% 2026-10-08 PPA · womens Milan Rane Widdershoven/Kunimoto 11-9 -2% 2026-10-08 PPA · womens Milan Rane Widdershoven/Kunimoto 10-12 OT -12% 2026-10-08 PPA · womens Milan Rane Widdershoven/Kunimoto 11-5 +11%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.