Stephen Preissler M
mens 37–25 · mixed 2–6
+2.7 (+1.1…+4.1)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#168
of 286 active men (within gender only)
39–31
career record · 56% wins, 54% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +4.4) 2024-02 · +2.4 pts (90% band -0.0 to +4.4) 2024-03 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +4.4) 2024-04 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.4) 2024-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.4) 2024-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.4) 2024-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.4) 2024-08 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.4) 2024-09 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.4) 2024-10 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.4) 2024-11 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.4) 2024-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.4) 2025-01 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.4) 2025-02 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.4) 2025-03 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.4) 2025-04 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.3) 2025-05 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.3) 2025-06 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.3) 2025-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.2) 2025-08 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.2) 2025-09 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.2) 2025-10 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.2) 2025-11 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1) 2025-12 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1) 2026-01 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1) 2026-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1) 2026-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1) 2026-04 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1) 2026-05 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1) 2026-06 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0) 2026-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0) 2026-08 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0) 2026-09 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.1) 2026-10 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.1) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-09-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mody/Ruff · w/ Sebastian Stam · model expected 46% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Mody/Ruff · w/ Sebastian Stam · model expected 46% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-3 · vs Slattery/Rastorgouev · w/ Sebastian Stam · model expected 54% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-9 · vs Pokorny/Bielinskyi · w/ Sebastian Stam · model expected 56% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-10 · vs Ciampini/Weber · w/ Sebastian Stam · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Torre/Nguyen · w/ Mateusz Matysik · model expected 67% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Torre/Nguyen · w/ Mateusz Matysik · model expected 67% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Dussault/Horricks · w/ Mateusz Matysik · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Dussault/Horricks · w/ Mateusz Matysik · model expected 48% of points 2025-11-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dussault/Horricks · w/ Mateusz Matysik · model expected 48% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lieberman/Silvio · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 54% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Lieberman/Silvio · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 54% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Lieberman/Silvio · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 54% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Shaw/Nilsson · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 55% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Shaw/Nilsson · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 55% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Shaw/Nilsson · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 55% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Perez/Wasson · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 51% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Perez/Wasson · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 51% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Perez/Wasson · w/ Louis Laville · model expected 51% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Waddell/Engel · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 49% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 36% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 15-0 · vs Pepion/Correia · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 74% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bramblett/Bulger · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 74% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bramblett/Bulger · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 74% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jr./Zambrano · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 75% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jr./Zambrano · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 75% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Dussault/Romano · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dussault/Romano · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dussault/Romano · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Martinez/Anderson · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Martinez/Anderson · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Martinez/Anderson · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Solana/Cottrell · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 69% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Solana/Cottrell · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 69% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 15-10 · vs Camras/Garretson · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 50% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 15-11 · vs Perez/Woog · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 6-15 · vs Scarpa/Hewett · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 38% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Vallejo/Wells · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 69% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Vallejo/Wells · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 69% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Dussault/Centonze · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 43% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dussault/Centonze · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 43% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 15-10 · vs Hanson/Hart · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bricker/Varon · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 44% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Bricker/Varon · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 44% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 10-15 · vs Smith/Radionov · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 55% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-6 · vs Yoo/Thompson · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 67% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-12 · vs Aldridge/Anderson · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Tezduyar/Metor · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 9-11 · vs Tezduyar/Metor · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-6 · vs Shaw/Moreno · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 55% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 7-15 · vs Jacobson/French · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 43% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Lewis/Loftin · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lewis/Loftin · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lewis/Loftin · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-5 · vs Sethi/Yun · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 67% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 10-15 · vs Okelley/Wimbish · w/ Mikaela Smith · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs McMillan/Johnson · w/ Mikaela Smith · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs McMillan/Johnson · w/ Mikaela Smith · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Garcia/Copetti · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 71% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Garcia/Copetti · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 71% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Steiner/Varon · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Steiner/Varon · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Steiner/Varon · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 53% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 53% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 11–8 58% 9.8–8.7 2026 PPA 28–23 55% 10.1–8.7
4–6
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–6
overtime games (past the target)
16
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-1
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-1.8 (-5.9…+3.5)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Ahmad El-Zarif 43 26–17 56% +0.16 ±0.47 (noise) Louis Laville 9 5–4 49% -0.08 ±0.51 (noise) Sebastian Stam 5 3–2 55% +0.07 ±0.52 (noise) Mateusz Matysik 5 3–2 59% +0.05 ±0.52 (noise) Haley Ferguson 5 2–3 51% -0.10 ±0.51 (noise) Mikaela Smith 3 0–3 35% -0.10 ±0.47 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-09-01 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Chi/Messinger 8-11 -11% 2026-09-01 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Chi/Messinger 11-3 +25% 2026-09-01 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Chi/Messinger 6-11 -18% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Steiner/Varon 11-5 +23% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Steiner/Varon 11-4 +28% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Steiner/Varon 7-11 -7% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Garcia/Copetti 11-4 +2% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Garcia/Copetti 11-6 -6% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Mikaela Smith McMillan/Johnson 5-11 -9% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Mikaela Smith McMillan/Johnson 5-11 -9% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Mikaela Smith Okelley/Wimbish 10-15 -14% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Ahmad El-Zarif Sethi/Yun 15-5 +8%
Put Stephen in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.