PICKLES

Ahmad El-Zarif M

mens 42–29 · mixed 11–17

+3.5 (+2.1…+4.6)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#114
of 286 active men (within gender only)
53–46
career record · 54% wins, 52% of points
▲
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.9 to +4.0)2024-02 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.9)2024-03 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.9)2024-04 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.9)2024-05 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.9)2024-06 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.9)2024-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.3 to +3.8)2024-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.8)2024-09 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.8)2024-10 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.1 to +3.8)2024-11 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.8)2024-12 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.8)2025-01 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.8)2025-02 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.7)2025-03 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.7)2025-04 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.7)2025-05 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.7)2025-06 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.7)2025-07 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.7)2025-08 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.7)2025-09 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.7)2025-10 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.8)2025-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9)2025-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9)2026-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0)2026-02 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.1)2026-03 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2)2026-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.2)2026-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.3)2026-06 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.3)2026-07 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.0 to +4.4)2026-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.4)2026-09 · +3.4 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.5)2026-10 · +3.5 pts (90% band +2.1 to +4.6)+0+2+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-08-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Funemizu/Lim · w/ Gianna Southwick · model expected 37% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Funemizu/Lim · w/ Gianna Southwick · model expected 37% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Funemizu/Lim · w/ Gianna Southwick · model expected 37% of points2024-09-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Douglas/Rubinger · w/ Jared Cohen · model expected 56% of points2024-09-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Douglas/Rubinger · w/ Jared Cohen · model expected 56% of points2024-09-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Blocker/Acob · w/ Jared Cohen · model expected 45% of points2024-09-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Blocker/Acob · w/ Jared Cohen · model expected 45% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bulger/Coleman · w/ Adair Garcia · model expected 63% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bulger/Coleman · w/ Adair Garcia · model expected 63% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bulger/Coleman · w/ Adair Garcia · model expected 63% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Tomassi/Schull · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 30% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tomassi/Schull · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 30% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Klokotzky · w/ Caraline Cox · model expected 33% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 1-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Klokotzky · w/ Caraline Cox · model expected 33% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Zigliara/Radermacher · w/ Caraline Cox · model expected 52% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Zigliara/Radermacher · w/ Caraline Cox · model expected 52% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waiwaiole/Werbeck · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 54% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Waiwaiole/Werbeck · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 54% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Waiwaiole/Werbeck · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 54% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-15 · vs Franke/Ruyle · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 51% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 15-10 · vs Lewis/Chassang · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 57% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 15-9 · vs Gutierrez/Kurki · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 62% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Leon/Jeon · w/ Caraline Cox · model expected 52% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 0-15 · vs Walker/Fu · w/ Caraline Cox · model expected 26% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 15-11 · vs Liang/Jagtiani · w/ Caraline Cox · model expected 42% of points2026-01-10 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs Waddell/Engel · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 49% of points2026-01-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 36% of points2026-01-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Benitez/Chaffin · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 36% of points2026-01-10 PPA · 15-0 · vs Pepion/Correia · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 74% of points2026-01-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bramblett/Bulger · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 74% of points2026-01-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Bramblett/Bulger · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 74% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Fajardo/Anderson · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 52% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Fajardo/Anderson · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 52% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lewis/Marquez · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 48% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lewis/Marquez · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 48% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lewis/Marquez · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 48% of points2026-03-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Jr./Zambrano · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 75% of points2026-03-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Jr./Zambrano · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 75% of points2026-03-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Dussault/Romano · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 46% of points2026-03-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dussault/Romano · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 46% of points2026-03-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dussault/Romano · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 46% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Cavataio/Powell · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 35% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Cavataio/Powell · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 35% of points2026-03-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Cavataio/Powell · w/ Haley Ferguson · model expected 35% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Martinez/Anderson · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 53% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 11-5 · vs Martinez/Anderson · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 53% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Martinez/Anderson · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 53% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 11-3 · vs Solana/Cottrell · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 69% of points2026-04-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Solana/Cottrell · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 69% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 15-10 · vs Camras/Garretson · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 50% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 15-11 · vs Perez/Woog · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 53% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 6-15 · vs Scarpa/Hewett · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 38% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Vallejo/Wells · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 69% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Vallejo/Wells · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 69% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Dussault/Centonze · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 43% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dussault/Centonze · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 43% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 15-10 · vs Hanson/Hart · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 54% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Bricker/Varon · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 44% of points2026-07-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Bricker/Varon · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 44% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 15-11 · vs Lopez/Regalado · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 57% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Maguire/Chi · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 63% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Maguire/Chi · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 63% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 42% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 42% of points2026-07-19 PPA · 13-15 · vs Godwin/Ohrel · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 66% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 15-6 · vs Shaw/Moreno · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 55% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 7-15 · vs Jacobson/French · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 43% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 9-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 52% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 52% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 52% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Lewis/Loftin · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 59% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lewis/Loftin · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 59% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lewis/Loftin · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 59% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 15-5 · vs Sethi/Yun · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 67% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Centonze/Ruiz · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 51% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Centonze/Ruiz · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 51% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 11-4 · vs Centonze/Ruiz · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 51% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 9-15 · vs Jacobson/Hatton · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 54% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 15-7 · vs Ferguson/Kim · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 69% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Goins/Gecheva · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 42% of points2026-08-30 PPA · 9-11 · vs Goins/Gecheva · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 42% of points2026-08-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Garcia/Copetti · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 71% of points2026-08-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Garcia/Copetti · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 71% of points2026-08-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Steiner/Varon · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 45% of points2026-08-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Steiner/Varon · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 45% of points2026-08-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Steiner/Varon · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 45% of points2026-09-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 53% of points2026-09-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 53% of points2026-09-01 PPA · 8-11 · vs Chi/Messinger · w/ Stephen Preissler · model expected 53% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Akin/Tsati-Onla · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 66% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Akin/Tsati-Onla · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 66% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Bishop/Sikora · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 80% of points2026-09-29 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bishop/Sikora · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 80% of points2026-09-30 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pascoe/Goldin · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 56% of points2026-09-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Pascoe/Goldin · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 56% of points2026-10-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Luhring/Inn · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 48% of points2026-10-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Luhring/Inn · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 48% of points2026-10-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 27% of points2026-10-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Juan Varon · model expected 27% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA3–443%7.1–8.7
2025PPA7–1139%7.8–10.2
2026PPA43–3158%10.0–8.4
4–8
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–7
overtime games (past the target)
23
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
8
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-1.3 (-3.1…+0.7)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
34 pro singles games
14–20
singles record · last 2026-01

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Stephen Preissler4326–1756%+0.16 ±0.47 (noise)
Madalina Grigoriu136–751%-0.10 ±0.51 (noise)
Juan Varon108–261%+0.19 ±0.52 (noise)
Caraline Cox73–439%-0.08 ±0.48 (noise)
Michael Shaw63–348%-0.09 ±0.53 (noise)
Tobias Moreno52–348%-0.02 ±0.50 (noise)
Jared Cohen42–248%-0.00 ±0.48 (noise)
Gianna Southwick31–240%+0.03 ±0.51 (noise)
Adair Garcia31–248%-0.07 ±0.52 (noise)
Haley Ferguson31–243%+0.05 ±0.49 (noise)
Stevie Petropouleas20–229%+0.00 ±0.52 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-10-02PPA · mensJuan VaronPatriquin/Staksrud8-11+16%
2026-10-02PPA · mensJuan VaronPatriquin/Staksrud6-11+9%
2026-10-01PPA · mensJuan VaronLuhring/Inn12-10 OT+7%
2026-10-01PPA · mensJuan VaronLuhring/Inn11-5+21%
2026-09-30PPA · mensJuan VaronPascoe/Goldin11-9-1%
2026-09-30PPA · mensJuan VaronPascoe/Goldin11-5+12%
2026-09-29PPA · mensJuan VaronBishop/Sikora11-3-2%
2026-09-29PPA · mensJuan VaronBishop/Sikora11-1+11%
2026-09-29PPA · mensJuan VaronAkin/Tsati-Onla11-8-8%
2026-09-29PPA · mensJuan VaronAkin/Tsati-Onla11-2+19%
2026-09-01PPA · mensStephen PreisslerChi/Messinger8-11-11%
2026-09-01PPA · mensStephen PreisslerChi/Messinger11-3+25%

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