Tobias Moreno M
mens 46–47 · mixed 5–10
+2.0 (+0.5…+3.4)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#218
of 286 active men (within gender only)
51–57
career record · 47% wins, 48% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.1) 2024-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.1) 2024-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +3.0) 2024-04 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.5 to +3.0) 2024-05 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.4 to +3.0) 2024-06 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.9) 2024-07 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.9) 2024-08 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.9) 2024-09 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.8) 2024-10 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.8) 2024-11 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.8) 2024-12 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.8) 2025-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.8) 2025-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.8) 2025-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.8) 2025-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.7) 2025-05 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.7) 2025-06 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.7) 2025-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.7) 2025-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.7) 2025-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.7) 2025-10 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.8) 2025-11 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.8) 2025-12 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.8) 2026-01 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.8) 2026-02 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.8) 2026-03 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.6 to +2.9) 2026-04 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.0) 2026-05 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.0) 2026-06 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.1) 2026-07 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.2) 2026-08 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.2) 2026-09 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.3) 2026-10 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.4) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-09-09 PPA · 0-11 · vs Geut/Fritze · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 45% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Geut/Fritze · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 45% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ma/Hirschler · w/ Heath Griffin · model expected 41% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ma/Hirschler · w/ Heath Griffin · model expected 41% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Chrysostom/Broker · w/ Richard Bayne · model expected 38% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Chrysostom/Broker · w/ Richard Bayne · model expected 38% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Andrews/Vanetten · w/ Richard Bayne · model expected 50% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Andrews/Vanetten · w/ Richard Bayne · model expected 50% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cohen/Nilsson · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 64% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cohen/Nilsson · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 64% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Reason/Nani · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Reason/Nani · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Reason/Nani · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 53% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Marceau/Lamacchio · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 40% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Marceau/Lamacchio · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 40% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Marceau/Lamacchio · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 40% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wasson/Campbell · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 50% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wasson/Campbell · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 50% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Marceau/Camron · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Marceau/Camron · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Nama/Witten · w/ Federico Nani · model expected 68% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Nama/Witten · w/ Federico Nani · model expected 68% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Serra/Jagtiani · w/ Federico Nani · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Serra/Jagtiani · w/ Federico Nani · model expected 37% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-4 · vs Navarrete/Benjamin · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 64% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-10 · vs Bargen/Singhal · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 60% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 6-15 · vs Altet/Jr · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 36% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Dagnall/Ganesh · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 44% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Dagnall/Ganesh · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 44% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Dagnall/Ganesh · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 44% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 4-15 · vs Powell/Card · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 46% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Duvally/Laidlaw · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 35% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Duvally/Laidlaw · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 35% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 15-9 · vs Pratt/Woog · w/ Ernesto Fajardo · model expected 54% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-9 · vs Williams/Mody · w/ Ali Quintero · model expected 34% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Williams/Mody · w/ Ali Quintero · model expected 34% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 0-11 · vs Williams/Mody · w/ Ali Quintero · model expected 34% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-6 · vs Johnson/Johnson · w/ Ali Quintero · model expected 63% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 5-15 · vs Loftin/Tonnessen · w/ Ali Quintero · model expected 50% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Fajardo/Anderson · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Fajardo/Anderson · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lewis/Marquez · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lewis/Marquez · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 48% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lewis/Marquez · w/ Ahmad El-Zarif · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 15-12 · vs Romano/Eaby · w/ Cole Whitaker · model expected 46% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 15-10 · vs Torres/Dages · w/ Cole Whitaker · model expected 69% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 9-15 · vs Rangelov/Perez · w/ Cole Whitaker · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Scarpa/Hewett · w/ Cole Whitaker · model expected 31% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Scarpa/Hewett · w/ Cole Whitaker · model expected 31% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Depetro/Rudden · w/ Cole Whitaker · model expected 71% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Depetro/Rudden · w/ Cole Whitaker · model expected 71% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 15-6 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Cole Whitaker · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 15-8 · vs Cook/Bass · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Bui/Braham · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 25% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bui/Braham · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 25% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 12-15 · vs Warren/Clark · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 47% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 11-7 · vs Hunt/Garretson · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hunt/Garretson · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 50% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Harper/Pepion · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 69% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-0 · vs Harper/Pepion · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 69% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Berryman/McCartney · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-7 · vs Berryman/McCartney · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 53% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hanson/Hart · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Hanson/Hart · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Hanson/Hart · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 49% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Nelson/Wade · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Nelson/Wade · w/ Andi Godwin · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 0-11 · vs Vich/Truong · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 30% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 6-11 · vs Vich/Truong · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 30% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-4 · vs Simpson/Bradley · w/ David Yahng · model expected 66% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 1-15 · vs Gordon/Eaby · w/ David Yahng · model expected 38% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hall/Gallagher · w/ David Yahng · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hall/Gallagher · w/ David Yahng · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Hall/Gallagher · w/ David Yahng · model expected 48% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-7 · vs Ohrel/Suard · w/ David Yahng · model expected 46% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Scarpa/Schupp · w/ David Yahng · model expected 26% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Scarpa/Schupp · w/ David Yahng · model expected 26% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Markulike/Rojas · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 82% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Markulike/Rojas · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 82% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 7-15 · vs Dancuart/Torresin · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 35% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Anderson/Whitaker · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Anderson/Whitaker · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Anderson/Whitaker · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 51% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Arnold · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 35% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Arnold · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 35% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Ramchandani/Bhasin · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ramchandani/Bhasin · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ramchandani/Bhasin · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 6-15 · vs El-Zarif/Preissler · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 45% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-3 · vs Evans/Hsieh · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 75% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-8 · vs Ivey/Ivey · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Scarpa/Giannelli · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 39% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Giannelli · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 39% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ramchandani/Bhasin · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ramchandani/Bhasin · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-6 · vs Berryman/Anderson · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 6-11 · vs Berryman/Anderson · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 54% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 11-8 · vs Berryman/Anderson · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 54% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Mackinnon/French · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Mackinnon/French · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 34% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs ?/? · w/ Jake Anderson 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs ?/? · w/ Jake Anderson 2026-10-12 PPA · 1-11 · vs Giannelli/Ohrel · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 41% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 5-11 · vs Giannelli/Ohrel · w/ Jake Anderson · model expected 41% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 2–6 25% 7.6–11.0 2025 PPA 11–14 44% 8.5–9.0 2026 PPA 38–37 51% 9.0–9.3
7–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–4
overtime games (past the target)
12
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-3.3 (-4.5…-2.0)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
39 pro singles games
15–24
singles record · last 2026-08
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Michael Shaw 33 19–14 53% +0.07 ±0.48 (noise) Andi Godwin 10 3–7 41% -0.08 ±0.52 (noise) Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon 10 5–5 53% +0.06 ±0.51 (noise) Joshua Reason 8 3–5 43% -0.08 ±0.52 (noise) Cole Whitaker 8 5–3 54% +0.06 ±0.51 (noise) David Yahng 8 4–4 48% +0.04 ±0.51 (noise) Ernesto Fajardo 7 2–5 44% -0.03 ±0.47 (noise) Ali Quintero 5 2–3 43% -0.02 ±0.51 (noise) Ahmad El-Zarif 5 2–3 48% -0.02 ±0.50 (noise) Richard Bayne 4 2–2 48% +0.03 ±0.48 (noise) Federico Nani 4 2–2 49% -0.03 ±0.48 (noise) Jake Anderson 4 2–2 42% —
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-12 PPA · mens Jake Anderson Giannelli/Ohrel 5-11 -10% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Jake Anderson Giannelli/Ohrel 1-11 -33% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Jake Anderson ?/? 11-7 — 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Jake Anderson ?/? 11-9 — 2026-09-02 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Mackinnon/French 6-11 +2% 2026-09-02 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Mackinnon/French 7-11 +5% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Berryman/Anderson 11-8 +3% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Berryman/Anderson 6-11 -19% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Berryman/Anderson 11-6 +10% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Ramchandani/Bhasin 11-9 -2% 2026-08-31 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Ramchandani/Bhasin 11-7 +4% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Scarpa/Giannelli 10-12 OT +6%
Put Tobias in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.