PICKLES

Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon M

mens 30–15 · mixed 5–10

+3.4 (+1.2…+5.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#118
of 286 active men (within gender only)
35–25
career record · 58% wins, 54% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.8)2024-02 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.8)2024-03 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.8)2024-04 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.8)2024-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.8)2024-06 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.8)2024-07 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.7)2024-08 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.7)2024-09 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.8)2024-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.7)2024-11 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.7)2024-12 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2025-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2025-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2025-03 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2025-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2025-05 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2025-06 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.7)2025-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.7)2025-08 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.7)2025-09 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.7)2025-10 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.7)2025-11 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2025-12 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8)2026-01 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8)2026-02 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.8)2026-03 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9)2026-04 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.9)2026-05 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.9)2026-06 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.4 to +5.0)2026-07 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.4 to +5.0)2026-08 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.3 to +5.1)2026-09 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.3 to +5.1)2026-10 · +3.4 pts (90% band +1.2 to +5.2)+2+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-12-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Vitale/Brown · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 47% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Vitale/Brown · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 47% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Vitale/Brown · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 47% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Castillo/Svicevic · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 75% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Castillo/Svicevic · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 75% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hendry/Oncins · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 40% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hendry/Oncins · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 40% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 67% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ricardo/Plummer · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 67% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Sitar/Simon · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 59% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Sitar/Simon · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 59% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Sitar/Simon · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 59% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cohen/Nilsson · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 64% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cohen/Nilsson · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 64% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Reason/Nani · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 53% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Reason/Nani · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 53% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Reason/Nani · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 53% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Marceau/Lamacchio · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 40% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Marceau/Lamacchio · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 40% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Marceau/Lamacchio · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 40% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wasson/Campbell · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 50% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wasson/Campbell · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 50% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 64% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 64% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-5 · vs Navarrete/Benjamin · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 78% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Navarrete/Benjamin · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 78% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Crum/Benitez · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 53% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Crum/Benitez · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 53% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 7-11 · vs Crum/Benitez · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 53% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Aiello/Benjamin · w/ Hanna Duncan · model expected 55% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Garcia/Addington · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 62% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 9-15 · vs Ruiz/Slive · w/ Hanna Duncan · model expected 31% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Romano/Mogle · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 52% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Nani/Grollman · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 55% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Nani/Grollman · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 55% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rangelov/Hamaguchi · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 57% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mody/Ruff · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 62% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Yeh/Shaffer · w/ Hanna Duncan · model expected 36% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Yeh/Shaffer · w/ Hanna Duncan · model expected 36% of points2025-10-05 PPA · 5-15 · vs Conard/Chaffin · w/ Hanna Duncan · model expected 27% of points2025-11-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nilsson/Shaw · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 65% of points2025-11-18 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Nilsson/Shaw · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 65% of points2025-11-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Nilsson/Shaw · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 65% of points2025-12-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Gonnering/Wade · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 64% of points2025-12-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gonnering/Wade · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 64% of points2025-12-16 PPA · 11-6 · vs Herrick/Herrick · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 62% of points2025-12-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Herrick/Herrick · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 62% of points2025-12-19 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Pham/Shaffer · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 59% of points2025-12-19 PPA · 3-11 · vs Pham/Shaffer · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 59% of points2025-12-19 PPA · 11-3 · vs Pham/Shaffer · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 59% of points2025-12-19 PPA · 11-8 · vs Newman/Khlif · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 32% of points2025-12-19 PPA · 6-11 · vs Newman/Khlif · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 32% of points2025-12-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Newman/Khlif · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 32% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Coleman/Rodriguez · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 74% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Coleman/Rodriguez · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 74% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Gomez/Ganesh · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 60% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Gomez/Ganesh · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 60% of points2026-02-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Gomez/Ganesh · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 60% of points2026-02-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Delgado/Loyd · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 44% of points2026-02-10 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Delgado/Loyd · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 44% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA6–367%9.1–5.9
2025PPA25–1957%9.2–8.4
2026PPA4–357%10.0–7.6
4–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
3–4
overtime games (past the target)
22
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
5
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-0.7 (-4.1…+3.0)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (8 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
4–4
singles record · last 2025-03

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Zak Parks3323–1057%+0.06 ±0.50 (noise)
Madalina Grigoriu105–552%-0.03 ±0.52 (noise)
Tobias Moreno105–553%+0.06 ±0.51 (noise)
Hanna Duncan50–532%-0.06 ±0.52 (noise)
Joshua Reason22–079%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-02-10PPA · mensZak ParksDelgado/Loyd12-14 OT+2%
2026-02-10PPA · mensZak ParksDelgado/Loyd2-11-29%
2026-02-09PPA · mensZak ParksGomez/Ganesh11-2+24%
2026-02-09PPA · mensZak ParksGomez/Ganesh13-11 OT-6%
2026-02-09PPA · mensZak ParksGomez/Ganesh10-12 OT-15%
2026-02-09PPA · mensZak ParksColeman/Rodriguez11-2+11%
2026-02-09PPA · mensZak ParksColeman/Rodriguez11-1+18%
2025-12-19PPA · mensZak ParksNewman/Khlif5-11-1%
2025-12-19PPA · mensZak ParksNewman/Khlif6-11+3%
2025-12-19PPA · mensZak ParksNewman/Khlif11-8+26%
2025-12-19PPA · mensZak ParksPham/Shaffer11-3+20%
2025-12-19PPA · mensZak ParksPham/Shaffer3-11-37%

Put Rougel in the simulator →