PICKLES

Joshua Reason M

mens 23–25 · mixed 5–8

+0.5 (-2.9…+3.0)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#265
of 286 active men (within gender only)
28–33
career record · 46% wins, 49% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.2)2024-02 · +1.6 pts (90% band -0.0 to +3.1)2024-03 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.0)2024-04 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.0 to +3.0)2024-05 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.9)2024-06 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.9)2024-07 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.9)2024-08 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.0 to +2.9)2024-09 · +1.5 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.9)2024-10 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.9)2024-11 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.9)2024-12 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.9)2025-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.8)2025-02 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.8)2025-03 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.8)2025-04 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.8)2025-05 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.7)2025-06 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.7)2025-07 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.7)2025-08 · +0.9 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.7)2025-09 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.7)2025-10 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.8 to +2.7)2025-11 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.9 to +2.8)2025-12 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.8)2026-01 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.8)2026-02 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.2 to +2.8)2026-03 · +0.7 pts (90% band -2.3 to +2.8)2026-04 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.4 to +2.9)2026-05 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.5 to +2.9)2026-06 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.6 to +2.9)2026-07 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.6 to +2.9)2026-08 · +0.5 pts (90% band -2.8 to +2.9)2026-09 · +0.5 pts (90% band -2.8 to +3.0)2026-10 · +0.5 pts (90% band -2.9 to +3.0)-2+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-02-20 PPA · 11-2 · vs Arledge/Macauley · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 65% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Arledge/Macauley · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 65% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs Bramblett/Mason · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 65% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bramblett/Mason · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 65% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hall/Boydston · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 52% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Hall/Boydston · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 52% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Walczak/Johnson · w/ Shea Donahue · model expected 33% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Walczak/Johnson · w/ Shea Donahue · model expected 33% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 33% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 2-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 33% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Khan/Garza · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 68% of points2024-03-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Khan/Garza · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 68% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Weston/Smyth · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 55% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Weston/Smyth · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 55% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Lum/Dayan · w/ Riley Hanks · model expected 33% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lum/Dayan · w/ Riley Hanks · model expected 33% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 1-11 · vs Lum/Dayan · w/ Riley Hanks · model expected 33% of points2024-04-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Guidroz/Jansson · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 50% of points2024-04-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Guidroz/Jansson · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 50% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-11 · vs McDivitt/Owens · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 64% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 4-15 · vs Fahey/Koller · w/ Shea Donahue · model expected 25% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 11-15 · vs Boyle/Hirschler · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 45% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-9 · vs Mason/Mason · w/ Shea Donahue · model expected 64% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-0 · vs Cozzillio/Cozzillio · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 78% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-5 · vs Farnsworth/Poland · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 51% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Farnsworth/Poland · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 51% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Farnsworth/Poland · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 51% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 8-11 · vs Puamau/Toli · w/ Adrienne Kutz · model expected 54% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Puamau/Toli · w/ Adrienne Kutz · model expected 54% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Puamau/Toli · w/ Adrienne Kutz · model expected 54% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Delgado/Aldridge · w/ Adrienne Kutz · model expected 41% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Delgado/Aldridge · w/ Adrienne Kutz · model expected 41% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Delgado/Aldridge · w/ Adrienne Kutz · model expected 41% of points2024-09-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Halski/Segars · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 67% of points2024-09-09 PPA · 11-0 · vs Halski/Segars · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 67% of points2024-09-09 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Ford/Crum · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 47% of points2024-09-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ford/Crum · w/ Zak Parks · model expected 47% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ford/Braham · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 44% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ford/Braham · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 44% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ford/Braham · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 44% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ing/Peng · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 58% of points2024-09-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ing/Peng · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 58% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Castillo/Svicevic · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 75% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Castillo/Svicevic · w/ Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon · model expected 75% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Federico Nani · model expected 47% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Federico Nani · model expected 47% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Federico Nani · model expected 47% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Marceau/Camron · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 37% of points2025-05-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Marceau/Camron · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 37% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 15-4 · vs Navarrete/Benjamin · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 64% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 15-10 · vs Bargen/Singhal · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 60% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 47% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 47% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 47% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 6-15 · vs Altet/Jr · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 36% of points2025-12-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Bradstreet/Karunakaran · w/ Samuel Gabet · model expected 35% of points2025-12-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Bradstreet/Karunakaran · w/ Samuel Gabet · model expected 35% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 19-17 (OT) · vs Thompson/Cooley · w/ Tim McMahon · model expected 43% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 0-15 · vs Lieberman/Bassett · w/ Tim McMahon · model expected 30% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Tim McMahon · model expected 24% of points2026-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Burkhardt/Radermacher · w/ Tim McMahon · model expected 24% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA23–2152%8.9–8.0
2025PPA4–931%7.7–10.2
2026PPA1–325%6.0–13.5
1–6
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–2
overtime games (past the target)
12
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
5
longest win streak
-3
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+0.6 (-1.2…+2.4)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
59 pro singles games
29–30
singles record · last 2025-12

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Zak Parks2112–959%+0.19 ±0.52 (noise)
Tobias Moreno83–543%-0.08 ±0.52 (noise)
Adrienne Kutz63–345%-0.03 ±0.49 (noise)
Christopher Crouch53–253%+0.03 ±0.53 (noise)
Shea Donahue41–340%+0.00 ±0.51 (noise)
Tim McMahon41–331%-0.08 ±0.53 (noise)
Riley Hanks31–231%-0.01 ±0.51 (noise)
Juan Benitez31–250%-0.01 ±0.50 (noise)
Federico Nani31–246%-0.02 ±0.52 (noise)
Rougel Jon Lutz Aninon22–079%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Samuel Gabet20–237%+0.00 ±0.53 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-08-29PPA · mensTim McMahonBurkhardt/Radermacher3-11-2%
2026-08-29PPA · mensTim McMahonBurkhardt/Radermacher2-11-8%
2026-08-29PPA · mensTim McMahonLieberman/Bassett0-15-30%
2026-08-29PPA · mensTim McMahonThompson/Cooley19-17 OT+10%
2025-12-16PPA · mensSamuel GabetBradstreet/Karunakaran8-11+7%
2025-12-16PPA · mensSamuel GabetBradstreet/Karunakaran5-11-4%
2025-09-06PPA · mensTobias MorenoAltet/Jr6-15-7%
2025-09-06PPA · mensTobias MorenoScarp/Dugas3-11-26%
2025-09-06PPA · mensTobias MorenoScarp/Dugas11-8+10%
2025-09-06PPA · mensTobias MorenoScarp/Dugas3-11-26%
2025-09-06PPA · mensTobias MorenoBargen/Singhal15-10-0%
2025-09-06PPA · mensTobias MorenoNavarrete/Benjamin15-4+15%

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