Federico Nani M
mens 17–15 · mixed 16–16
+2.5 (+0.5…+4.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#181
of 286 active men (within gender only)
33–31
career record · 52% wins, 52% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.2) 2024-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.2) 2024-03 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.2) 2024-04 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.2) 2024-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2024-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2024-07 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2024-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2024-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2024-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2024-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0) 2024-12 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0) 2025-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.9) 2025-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9) 2025-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.8) 2025-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2025-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2025-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.8) 2025-07 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.8) 2025-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.8) 2025-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.8) 2025-10 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.8) 2025-11 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.8) 2025-12 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2026-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9) 2026-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.9) 2026-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0) 2026-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.0) 2026-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2026-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.1) 2026-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.2) 2026-08 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.2) 2026-09 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.2) 2026-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.3) +1 +2 +3 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-05-13 PPA · 15-10 · vs Antonio/Halski · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 60% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 15-5 · vs Jr./Meadows · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 71% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 15-13 · vs Mead/Pham · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 56% of points 2024-05-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs French/Stone · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 43% of points 2024-05-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs French/Stone · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 43% of points 2024-05-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs French/Stone · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 43% of points 2024-05-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ge/Koller · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 32% of points 2024-05-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ge/Koller · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 32% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Witten/Metzold · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 58% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Witten/Metzold · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 58% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 47% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 47% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Joshua Reason · model expected 47% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-0 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Nama/Witten · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 68% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Nama/Witten · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 68% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Gonnering/Geut · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 68% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gonnering/Geut · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 68% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs I/Simon · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 71% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs I/Simon · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 71% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Serra/Jagtiani · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Serra/Jagtiani · w/ Tobias Moreno · model expected 37% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Zilveti/Taylor · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Zilveti/Taylor · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 61% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs Castillo/Newman · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 31% of points 2025-08-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Castillo/Newman · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 31% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Altet/Jr · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 48% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Altet/Jr · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 48% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 8-11 · vs Altet/Jr · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 48% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-13 · vs Kusmider/Caulfield · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 56% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-7 · vs Scarp/Dugas · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 60% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-4 · vs Wilhelm/Torres · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 77% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-7 · vs Brietz/Vanetten · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 67% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 10-15 · vs Walker/Delgado · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 29% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Parks/Aninon · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 45% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Parks/Aninon · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 45% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Davis/Carrol · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 57% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Liang/Jagtiani · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 45% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ Jericho Grollman · model expected 43% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-9 · vs Leon/Jeon · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 55% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Walker/Parks · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 42% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Walker/Parks · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 42% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 15-11 · vs Williams/Mody · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 50% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Klaassen/Romano · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 55% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 11-1 · vs Haresign/Matro · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 75% of points 2025-10-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Haresign/Matro · w/ Madalina Grigoriu · model expected 75% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lucci/Davis · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 71% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lucci/Davis · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 71% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Berryman/Rangelov · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 50% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 5-11 · vs Berryman/Rangelov · w/ Jorge Nunez · model expected 50% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 9-11 · vs Loftin/Tonnessen · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 58% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Loftin/Tonnessen · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 58% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-6 · vs Williams/Mody · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 41% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 12-15 · vs Lai/Hoover · w/ Brie Aldridge · model expected 47% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Dancuart/Slive · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Dancuart/Slive · w/ Michael Shaw · model expected 43% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Gilbert/Abrams · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Gilbert/Abrams · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs Gilbert/Abrams · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 57% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 5–3 62% 10.6–9.5 2025 PPA 24–20 55% 9.5–8.4 2026 PPA 4–8 33% 9.6–9.9
3–3
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–1
overtime games (past the target)
11
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-1
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-2.2 (-5.2…+1.5)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (7 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
2–5
singles record · last 2025-08
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Cassidy Hoag Brown/Mogle 7-11 -18% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Cassidy Hoag Brown/Mogle 11-7 +4% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Cassidy Hoag Brown/Mogle 9-11 -12% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Cassidy Hoag Gilbert/Abrams 11-9 +5% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Cassidy Hoag Gilbert/Abrams 7-11 -11% 2026-03-08 PPA · mixed Cassidy Hoag Gilbert/Abrams 11-5 +19% 2026-03-07 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Dancuart/Slive 8-11 -1% 2026-03-07 PPA · mens Michael Shaw Dancuart/Slive 7-11 -5% 2026-01-11 PPA · mixed Brie Aldridge Lai/Hoover 12-15 -3% 2026-01-11 PPA · mixed Brie Aldridge Williams/Mody 15-6 +30% 2026-01-11 PPA · mixed Brie Aldridge Loftin/Tonnessen 8-11 -16% 2026-01-11 PPA · mixed Brie Aldridge Loftin/Tonnessen 9-11 -13%
Put Federico in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.