Mitchell Hargreaves M
mens 37–34 · mixed 39–30
+2.5 (+0.9…+3.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#187
of 286 active men (within gender only)
76–64
career record · 54% wins, 52% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.7) 2024-02 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.7) 2024-03 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.6) 2024-04 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.6) 2024-05 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.5) 2024-06 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.5) 2024-07 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.5) 2024-08 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.5) 2024-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.5) 2024-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.6) 2024-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.6) 2024-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.6) 2025-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.6) 2025-02 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.7) 2025-03 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.7) 2025-04 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.6) 2025-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.6) 2025-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.5) 2025-07 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.5) 2025-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.5) 2025-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.5) 2025-10 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.6) 2025-11 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.7) 2025-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.7) 2026-01 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.7) 2026-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.7) 2026-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.8) 2026-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2026-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2026-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2026-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2026-08 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.8) 2026-09 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.8) 2026-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.9) +1 +2 +3 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-04-17 PPA · 11-2 · vs Doolin/Williams · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Doolin/Williams · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Womack/Perles · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 67% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Womack/Perles · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 67% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-9 · vs Nemoff/Vogel · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 47% of points 2024-04-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Nemoff/Vogel · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 47% of points 2024-04-19 PPA · 0-11 · vs Braverman/Emmrich · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 28% of points 2024-04-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Braverman/Emmrich · w/ Ivy Tschetter · model expected 28% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 6-11 · vs Joseph/Hovenier · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 41% of points 2024-04-20 PPA · 9-11 · vs Joseph/Hovenier · w/ Kento Tamaki · model expected 41% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kravchuk/Lee · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 62% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kravchuk/Lee · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 62% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kravchuk/Lee · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 62% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-4 · vs Presser/Wold · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 61% of points 2024-06-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Presser/Wold · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 61% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Tuionetoa · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 27% of points 2024-06-25 PPA · 0-11 · vs Johnson/Tuionetoa · w/ Alex Walker · model expected 27% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Hovenier/Joseph · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 46% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 5-11 · vs Hovenier/Joseph · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 46% of points 2024-06-26 PPA · 2-11 · vs Hovenier/Joseph · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-30 PPA · 11-2 · vs Richardson/Pilt · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 67% of points 2024-08-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Richardson/Pilt · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 67% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Bhatia/Mehta · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 38% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 2-11 · vs Bhatia/Mehta · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 38% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Rossi/Pfitzner · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 66% of points 2024-08-31 PPA · 11-2 · vs Rossi/Pfitzner · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 66% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Esquivel/Haas · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 48% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 9-12 (OT) · vs Esquivel/Haas · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 48% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Reek/Grewal · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 49% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Reek/Grewal · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 49% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Reek/Grewal · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 49% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ko/Moore · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 70% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ko/Moore · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 70% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Hart/Pascoe · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 50% of points 2024-09-01 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Hart/Pascoe · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 50% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gledden/Williams · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 74% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Gledden/Williams · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 74% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Graute/Tafuna · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 82% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Graute/Tafuna · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 82% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 1-11 · vs McGuffin/Tardio · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 28% of points 2025-01-31 PPA · 2-11 · vs McGuffin/Tardio · w/ Tom Evans · model expected 28% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hoath/Robertshawe · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 64% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hoath/Robertshawe · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 64% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 11-3 · vs Fogl-Kulich/Giltinan · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 67% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Fogl-Kulich/Giltinan · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 67% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Irvine/Tardio · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 26% of points 2025-02-01 PPA · 2-11 · vs Irvine/Tardio · w/ Emilia Schmidt · model expected 26% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 11-3 · vs Saunders/Farias · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 48% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Saunders/Farias · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 48% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Saunders/Farias · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 48% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 11-6 · vs Donatoni/Narayanan · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 52% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 12-14 (OT) · vs Donatoni/Narayanan · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 52% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Donatoni/Narayanan · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 52% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Papazyan/Kouznetsov · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 68% of points 2025-04-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Papazyan/Kouznetsov · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 68% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 11-1 · vs Richardson/Blitz · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 76% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 11-1 · vs Richardson/Blitz · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 76% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 11-7 · vs Burr/Wall · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 47% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Burr/Wall · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 47% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 4-11 · vs Townsend/Wild · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 34% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 0-11 · vs Townsend/Wild · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 34% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Grewal/Cassidy · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 54% of points 2025-04-26 PPA · 8-11 · vs Grewal/Cassidy · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 54% of points 2025-07-04 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mehta/Mehta · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 43% of points 2025-07-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Mehta/Mehta · w/ Sarah Burr · model expected 43% of points 2025-07-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lin/Chung · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 59% of points 2025-07-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lin/Chung · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 59% of points 2025-07-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Thang/Huynh · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 61% of points 2025-07-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Thang/Huynh · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 61% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Grabovic/Wall · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 48% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 11-7 · vs Grabovic/Wall · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 48% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Grabovic/Wall · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 48% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Miyoshi/Pascoe · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 53% of points 2025-07-06 PPA · 1-11 · vs Miyoshi/Pascoe · w/ Robert Stirling · model expected 53% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs Miyoshi/Stirling · w/ Harsh Mehta · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-7 · vs Miyoshi/Stirling · w/ Harsh Mehta · model expected 51% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-0 · vs Lazaro/Jr · w/ Harsh Mehta · model expected 59% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lazaro/Jr · w/ Harsh Mehta · model expected 59% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wall/Wild · w/ Harsh Mehta · model expected 44% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wall/Wild · w/ Harsh Mehta · model expected 44% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Yu/Yang · w/ Harsh Mehta · model expected 44% of points 2025-08-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Yu/Yang · w/ Harsh Mehta · model expected 44% of points 2025-09-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kelvin/Huy · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 74% of points 2025-09-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kelvin/Huy · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 74% of points 2025-09-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pham/Trần · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 63% of points 2025-09-04 PPA · 11-6 · vs Pham/Trần · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 63% of points 2025-09-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Tran/Bhatia · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 51% of points 2025-09-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Tran/Bhatia · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 51% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Miyoshi/Pascoe · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 59% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-9 · vs Miyoshi/Pascoe · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 59% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ly/Trinh · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 54% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ly/Trinh · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 54% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ly/Trinh · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 54% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Wall/Wild · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 46% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wall/Wild · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 46% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wong/Kim · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wong/Kim · w/ Phuc Huynh · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Turulja/Mehta · w/ Andie Dikosavljevic · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Turulja/Mehta · w/ Andie Dikosavljevic · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/McGuffin · w/ Andie Dikosavljevic · model expected 33% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Wang/McGuffin · w/ Andie Dikosavljevic · model expected 33% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 1-11 · vs Wang/McGuffin · w/ Andie Dikosavljevic · model expected 33% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Kapadia/Nunnery · w/ Jason Taylor · model expected 29% of points 2025-09-25 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kapadia/Nunnery · w/ Jason Taylor · model expected 29% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Tam/Shimabukuro · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 45% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Tam/Shimabukuro · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 45% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 5-11 · vs Tam/Shimabukuro · w/ Aiko Yoshitomi · model expected 45% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Yu/Narayanan · w/ Jason Taylor · model expected 33% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Yu/Narayanan · w/ Jason Taylor · model expected 33% of points 2025-10-01 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Yu/Narayanan · w/ Jason Taylor · model expected 33% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 4-11 · vs Powell/Bellamy · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 34% of points 2026-07-08 MLP · 4-11 · vs Wang/Bellamy · w/ Talia Saunders · model expected 33% of points 2026-07-10 MLP · 7-11 · vs Vich/Young · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 34% of points 2026-08-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Lam/Tan · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 83% of points 2026-08-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lam/Tan · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 83% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Brown/Pascoe · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Brown/Pascoe · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Vyver/Tanabe · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Vyver/Tanabe · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Donnelly/Wild · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Donnelly/Wild · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-15 PPA · 11-8 · vs Donnelly/Wild · w/ Zachary Grabovic · model expected 63% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Smythe/Johnson · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Smythe/Johnson · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 76% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-0 · vs Tanabe/Valos · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tanabe/Valos · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 72% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hart/Brown · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Hart/Brown · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hart/Brown · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 61% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Dikosavljevic/Wild · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Dikosavljevic/Wild · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 51% of points 2026-08-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Dikosavljevic/Wild · w/ Sahra Dennehy · model expected 51% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hoover/Madsen · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 49% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hoover/Madsen · w/ Yates Johnson · model expected 49% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Novic/? · w/ Collin Johns 2026-10-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Novic/? · w/ Collin Johns 2026-10-14 PPA · 4-11 · vs Yoshitomi/Pascoe · w/ Brittany Yang · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Yoshitomi/Pascoe · w/ Brittany Yang · model expected 50% of points 2026-10-15 PPA · 6-11 · vs Brown/Pascoe · w/ Collin Johns · model expected 53% of points 2026-10-15 PPA · 5-11 · vs Brown/Pascoe · w/ Collin Johns · model expected 53% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 19–16 54% 8.3–7.9 2025 PPA 40–35 53% 8.5–7.9 2026 MLP 0–3 0% 5.0–11.0 2026 PPA 17–10 63% 9.3–7.0
7–6
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–9
overtime games (past the target)
48
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+1.6 (+0.2…+2.9)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
60 pro singles games
32–28
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-15 PPA · mens Collin Johns Brown/Pascoe 5-11 -22% 2026-10-15 PPA · mens Collin Johns Brown/Pascoe 6-11 -18% 2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Brittany Yang Yoshitomi/Pascoe 3-11 -28% 2026-10-14 PPA · mixed Brittany Yang Yoshitomi/Pascoe 4-11 -23% 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Collin Johns Novic/? 11-6 — 2026-10-14 PPA · mens Collin Johns Novic/? 11-1 — 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Yates Johnson Hoover/Madsen 7-11 -10% 2026-09-30 PPA · mens Yates Johnson Hoover/Madsen 6-11 -14% 2026-08-16 PPA · mixed Sahra Dennehy Dikosavljevic/Wild 8-11 -9% 2026-08-16 PPA · mixed Sahra Dennehy Dikosavljevic/Wild 9-11 -6% 2026-08-16 PPA · mixed Sahra Dennehy Dikosavljevic/Wild 12-10 OT+4% 2026-08-16 PPA · mixed Sahra Dennehy Hart/Brown 11-9 -6%
Put Mitchell in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.