PICKLES

Luke Ness M

mens 40–38 · mixed 31–30

+1.3 (-1.5…+3.5)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#241
of 286 active men (within gender only)
71–68
career record · 51% wins, 52% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.1)2024-02 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.1)2024-03 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.1)2024-04 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.0)2024-05 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.1)2024-06 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.1)2024-07 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.2)2024-08 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.2)2024-09 · +2.1 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.2)2024-10 · +2.1 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.1)2024-11 · +2.1 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.1)2024-12 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.1)2025-01 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.8 to +2.9)2025-02 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.7 to +2.8)2025-03 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.6 to +2.8)2025-04 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.4 to +2.8)2025-05 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.7)2025-06 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.6)2025-07 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.7)2025-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.8)2025-09 · +1.4 pts (90% band -0.3 to +2.8)2025-10 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.9)2025-11 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.9)2025-12 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.9)2026-01 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.0)2026-02 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.0)2026-03 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.1)2026-04 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.1 to +3.1)2026-05 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.2 to +3.2)2026-06 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.3 to +3.3)2026-07 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.3 to +3.3)2026-08 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.4 to +3.4)2026-09 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.5 to +3.4)2026-10 · +1.3 pts (90% band -1.5 to +3.5)+0+2202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Stults/Afanasenka · w/ Alec Weller · model expected 59% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Stults/Afanasenka · w/ Alec Weller · model expected 59% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Wazir/Violette · w/ Alec Weller · model expected 47% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wazir/Violette · w/ Alec Weller · model expected 47% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Wazir/Violette · w/ Alec Weller · model expected 47% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Potter/King · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 69% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Potter/King · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 69% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 9-11 · vs Revuelta/Loyd · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 42% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Revuelta/Loyd · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 42% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Revuelta/Loyd · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 42% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Orton/Mead · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 57% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Orton/Mead · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 57% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Torres/Copetti · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 70% of points2024-01-31 PPA · 11-4 · vs Torres/Copetti · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 70% of points2024-02-01 PPA · 15-1 · vs Goldberg/Musgrave · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 84% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 15-11 · vs Ouye/Lau · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 60% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 11-15 · vs Schwendiman/Boydston · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 57% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 15-6 · vs Garza/Machek · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 65% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 10-15 · vs Kawka/Devidze · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 37% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 15-8 · vs Andrews/Parker · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 53% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 15-7 · vs Tolentino/Gross · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 68% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-15 · vs Walczak/Nemoff · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 46% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Graute/Biakina · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 67% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Graute/Biakina · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 67% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Newell/Newell · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 34% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Newell/Newell · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 34% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hunter/Chernikov · w/ Alec Weller · model expected 45% of points2024-03-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hunter/Chernikov · w/ Alec Weller · model expected 45% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 1-11 · vs Burl/Presser · w/ Scott Berke · model expected 37% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Burl/Presser · w/ Scott Berke · model expected 37% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 41% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 41% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 41% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Maddox/Long · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 54% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-5 · vs Maddox/Long · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 54% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lee/Tamanaha · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 50% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 6-11 · vs Lee/Tamanaha · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 50% of points2024-04-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lee/Tamanaha · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 50% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-6 · vs Graute/Bramblett · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 70% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-3 · vs Graute/Bramblett · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 70% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Forsythe/James · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 44% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Forsythe/James · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 44% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Forsythe/James · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 44% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wilkins/Holbrook · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 64% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wilkins/Holbrook · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 64% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Duong/Hovenier · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 35% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 7-11 · vs Duong/Hovenier · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 35% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wade/Litvinov · w/ David Sigler · model expected 43% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Wade/Litvinov · w/ David Sigler · model expected 43% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wade/Litvinov · w/ David Sigler · model expected 43% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Mueck/Buchhauser · w/ David Sigler · model expected 70% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Mueck/Buchhauser · w/ David Sigler · model expected 70% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Palm/Monson · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 56% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Palm/Monson · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 56% of points2024-06-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Palm/Monson · w/ Michelle Murphy · model expected 56% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 38% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 38% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-5 · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 40% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 40% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Jessica Mason · model expected 40% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Borno/Jammu · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 73% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-2 · vs Borno/Jammu · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 73% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 6-11 · vs Angelo/Finley · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 44% of points2024-08-22 PPA · 9-11 · vs Angelo/Finley · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 44% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Skalabrin/Morris · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 71% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Skalabrin/Morris · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 71% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Berke/Sigler · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 68% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-2 · vs Berke/Sigler · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 68% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Herrera/Rahachou · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 60% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Herrera/Rahachou · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 60% of points2024-10-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Herrera/Rahachou · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 60% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 43% of points2024-10-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Teoni · w/ Andre Millet · model expected 43% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Iii/Robertson · w/ Henry Boyle · model expected 57% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Iii/Robertson · w/ Henry Boyle · model expected 57% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Iii/Robertson · w/ Henry Boyle · model expected 57% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Romano/Wynne · w/ Kara Marbury · model expected 55% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-5 · vs Romano/Wynne · w/ Kara Marbury · model expected 55% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-0 · vs Merckx/Berka · w/ Henry Boyle · model expected 73% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Merckx/Berka · w/ Henry Boyle · model expected 73% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lehmann/Dubois · w/ Kara Marbury · model expected 73% of points2024-11-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lehmann/Dubois · w/ Kara Marbury · model expected 73% of points2024-11-15 PPA · 2-11 · vs Cincola/Frantova · w/ Kara Marbury · model expected 39% of points2024-11-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Cincola/Frantova · w/ Kara Marbury · model expected 39% of points2024-11-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Cincola/Navratil · w/ Henry Boyle · model expected 41% of points2024-11-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cincola/Navratil · w/ Henry Boyle · model expected 41% of points2024-11-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Cincola/Navratil · w/ Henry Boyle · model expected 41% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Walker · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 35% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 9-11 · vs Blaszkewycz/Walker · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 35% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Chase Blocker · model expected 50% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Chase Blocker · model expected 50% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Chase Blocker · model expected 50% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Zion/Cheng · w/ Chase Blocker · model expected 70% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-2 · vs Zion/Cheng · w/ Chase Blocker · model expected 70% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Courteau/Benitez · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 46% of points2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Courteau/Benitez · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 46% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Shaffer/Morris · w/ Michael I · model expected 39% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Shaffer/Morris · w/ Michael I · model expected 39% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Giltinan/Sherry · w/ Allie Davis · model expected 47% of points2025-01-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Giltinan/Sherry · w/ Allie Davis · model expected 47% of points2025-02-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Hazrati/Patterson · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 74% of points2025-02-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hazrati/Patterson · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 74% of points2025-02-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Cooperman/Campbell · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 61% of points2025-02-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Cooperman/Campbell · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 61% of points2025-02-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Fullmer/Werner · w/ Scott Berke · model expected 55% of points2025-02-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Fullmer/Werner · w/ Scott Berke · model expected 55% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 2-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Vich · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 25% of points2025-02-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Vich · w/ Dana Raugust · model expected 25% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Zalinski/Jones · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 64% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-6 · vs Zalinski/Jones · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 64% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Zalinski/Jones · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 64% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 41% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 5-11 · vs Mercado/Ingram · w/ Courtney Clark · model expected 41% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 51% of points2025-02-17 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 51% of points2025-03-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 42% of points2025-03-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 42% of points2025-03-25 PPA · 3-11 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 42% of points2025-03-25 PPA · 11-1 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 52% of points2025-03-25 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lam/Howard · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 52% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 42% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Poland/Ayon · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 42% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 0-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 21% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 0-11 · vs Patriquin/Staksrud · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 21% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 15-4 · vs Wong/Eyman · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 60% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 11-9 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 56% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 56% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 9-15 · vs Duffin/Boydston · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 46% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 0-11 · vs Coutinho/Wade · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 45% of points2025-05-31 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Coutinho/Wade · w/ Zach Gonnering · model expected 45% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 1-11 · vs Conard/Gonnering · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 58% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Conard/Gonnering · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 58% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Conard/Gonnering · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 58% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Murray/Protzek · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 54% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 6-11 · vs Murray/Protzek · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 54% of points2025-06-01 PPA · 9-15 · vs Petropouleas/Wild · w/ Isabella Dunlap · model expected 59% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 11-8 · vs Hsieh/Rand · w/ Brian Tinsley · model expected 49% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hsieh/Rand · w/ Brian Tinsley · model expected 49% of points2026-04-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Hsieh/Rand · w/ Brian Tinsley · model expected 49% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA54–4256%9.1–7.7
2025PPA16–2440%8.0–9.0
2026PPA1–233%7.7–10.0
5–11
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
5–5
overtime games (past the target)
42
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
8
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+1.3 (-0.4…+2.9)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
80 pro singles games
41–39
singles record · last 2025-05

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Andre Millet2717–1058%-0.12 ±0.50 (noise)
Jessica Mason138–553%+0.21 ±0.51 (noise)
Dana Raugust106–455%+0.04 ±0.46 (noise)
Andre Mercado95–449%+0.13 ±0.49 (noise)
Michelle Murphy84–455%+0.09 ±0.50 (noise)
Henry Boyle85–358%+0.04 ±0.49 (noise)
Zach Gonnering83–548%-0.06 ±0.52 (noise)
Alec Weller73–451%+0.03 ±0.49 (noise)
Reyna Ash73–449%+0.02 ±0.51 (noise)
Kara Marbury64–259%+0.06 ±0.51 (noise)
Isabella Dunlap62–443%-0.20 ±0.52 (noise)
David Sigler53–249%-0.05 ±0.50 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-04-13PPA · mensBrian TinsleyHsieh/Rand6-11-14%
2026-04-13PPA · mensBrian TinsleyHsieh/Rand6-11-14%
2026-04-13PPA · mensBrian TinsleyHsieh/Rand11-8+8%
2025-06-01PPA · mixedIsabella DunlapPetropouleas/Wild9-15-22%
2025-06-01PPA · mixedIsabella DunlapMurray/Protzek6-11-19%
2025-06-01PPA · mixedIsabella DunlapMurray/Protzek9-11-9%
2025-06-01PPA · mixedIsabella DunlapConard/Gonnering11-8+0%
2025-06-01PPA · mixedIsabella DunlapConard/Gonnering11-6+7%
2025-06-01PPA · mixedIsabella DunlapConard/Gonnering1-11-49%
2025-05-31PPA · mensZach GonneringCoutinho/Wade10-12 OT+0%
2025-05-31PPA · mensZach GonneringCoutinho/Wade0-11-45%
2025-05-31PPA · mensZach GonneringDuffin/Boydston9-15-8%

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