Matt Ngo M
mens 24–31 · mixed 2–5
+2.7 (+1.0…+4.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#167
of 286 active men (within gender only)
26–36
career record · 42% wins, 48% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.8 pts (90% band -1.0 to +3.9) 2024-02 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.9 to +3.9) 2024-03 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.9) 2024-04 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.9) 2024-05 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.9) 2024-06 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.9) 2024-07 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.9) 2024-08 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.9) 2024-09 · +1.9 pts (90% band -0.5 to +4.0) 2024-10 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.5 to +4.0) 2024-11 · +2.0 pts (90% band -0.4 to +4.0) 2024-12 · +2.1 pts (90% band -0.2 to +4.0) 2025-01 · +2.1 pts (90% band -0.2 to +4.0) 2025-02 · +2.1 pts (90% band -0.0 to +4.0) 2025-03 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.0) 2025-04 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.0) 2025-05 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.0) 2025-06 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.0) 2025-07 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.0) 2025-08 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.0) 2025-09 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.0) 2025-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2025-11 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1) 2025-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.1) 2026-01 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.0) 2026-02 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.0) 2026-03 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.0) 2026-04 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.0) 2026-05 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.1) 2026-06 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.1) 2026-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.1) 2026-08 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.1) 2026-09 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.2) 2026-10 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.2) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-04-10 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fritzges/Smith · w/ Andrey Belyanin · model expected 46% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fritzges/Smith · w/ Andrey Belyanin · model expected 46% of points 2024-04-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Fritzges/Smith · w/ Andrey Belyanin · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Goldberg/Blaszkewycz · w/ Kobla Tetey · model expected 27% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Goldberg/Blaszkewycz · w/ Kobla Tetey · model expected 27% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 4-11 · vs Hoover/Wild · w/ Andrey Belyanin · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 8-11 · vs Hoover/Wild · w/ Andrey Belyanin · model expected 34% of points 2025-05-31 PPA · 11-15 · vs Little/Little · w/ Andrey Belyanin · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-0 · vs Meza/Sibayan · w/ James Ngo · model expected 69% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-9 · vs Meza/Sibayan · w/ James Ngo · model expected 69% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 8-15 · vs McCartney/Traxler · w/ James Ngo · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ James Ngo · model expected 36% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 6-11 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ James Ngo · model expected 36% of points 2025-08-23 PPA · 4-11 · vs Jagtiani/Serra · w/ James Ngo · model expected 36% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-1 · vs Camras/Suard · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 11-0 · vs Camras/Suard · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 57% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 4-11 · vs Garcia/Blaszkewycz · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 40% of points 2025-11-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs Garcia/Blaszkewycz · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 40% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 12-15 · vs Radermacher/Feyereisen · w/ Alex Gee · model expected 47% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 15-11 · vs Brown/Borrero · w/ Alex Gee · model expected 51% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 7-11 · vs Gonnering/Romano · w/ Alex Gee · model expected 44% of points 2026-02-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Gonnering/Romano · w/ Alex Gee · model expected 44% of points 2026-03-02 PPA · 8-11 · vs Panno/Diaz · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Panno/Diaz · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-02 PPA · 11-4 · vs Panno/Diaz · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Howard/Messinger · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 52% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs McCartney/Sahid · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-8 · vs McCartney/Sahid · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Trinh/Young · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Trinh/Young · w/ Ninh Nguyen · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 15-7 · vs McCrary/Rand · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 64% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 33% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 33% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 15-1 · vs Becker/Patel · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 71% of points 2026-05-30 PPA · 17-19 (OT) · vs Long/Hernandez · w/ Bassem Kheireddin · model expected 53% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 15-4 · vs William/Rudden · w/ Kavya Rachapalli · model expected 57% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 2-15 · vs Duarah/Lai · w/ Kavya Rachapalli · model expected 40% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 15-7 · vs Soto/Morris · w/ Kavya Rachapalli · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 0-11 · vs Osher/Byun · w/ Kavya Rachapalli · model expected 42% of points 2026-05-31 PPA · 9-11 · vs Osher/Byun · w/ Kavya Rachapalli · model expected 42% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Bhatia/Rettke · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bhatia/Rettke · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 41% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-11 · vs Gorneau/Nguyen · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 3-15 · vs Goodman/Edwards · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs McKinley/Wells · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs McKinley/Wells · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 7-11 · vs Poland/Goodnow · w/ V. Mary Rivas · model expected 38% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 0-11 · vs Poland/Goodnow · w/ V. Mary Rivas · model expected 38% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-8 · vs Mawji/Wade · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mawji/Wade · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Mawji/Wade · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Brandon/Howard · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 9-11 · vs Brandon/Howard · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Brandon/Howard · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 61% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Chaffin/Haworth · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Chaffin/Haworth · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 37% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radermacher/Burkhardt · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Radermacher/Burkhardt · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 51% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-0 · vs Mavanur/Hardesty · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 66% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mavanur/Hardesty · w/ Jose Martinez · model expected 66% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 1–4 20% 5.2–10.0 2025 PPA 5–8 38% 7.8–8.5 2026 PPA 20–24 45% 9.0–9.1
4–2
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
1–2
overtime games (past the target)
12
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
+2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-3.5 (-5.5…-0.9)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (7 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
2–5
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Jose Martinez 12 6–6 52% +0.09 ±0.52 (noise) Ninh Nguyen 10 6–4 54% +0.06 ±0.51 (noise) Bassem Kheireddin 9 4–5 54% +0.14 ±0.52 (noise) Andrey Belyanin 6 1–5 41% -0.06 ±0.50 (noise) James Ngo 6 3–3 50% -0.00 ±0.53 (noise) Yaamunan Venkatesan 6 3–3 48% -0.06 ±0.48 (noise) Kavya Rachapalli 5 2–3 46% -0.01 ±0.52 (noise) Alex Gee 4 1–3 44% -0.04 ±0.50 (noise) Kobla Tetey 2 0–2 15% -0.06 ±0.49 (noise) V. Mary Rivas 2 0–2 24% -0.06 ±0.53 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-12 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Mavanur/Hardesty 11-7 -5% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Mavanur/Hardesty 11-0 +34% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Radermacher/Burkhardt 4-11 -25% 2026-10-12 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Radermacher/Burkhardt 4-11 -25% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Chaffin/Haworth 5-11 -6% 2026-10-07 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Chaffin/Haworth 5-11 -6% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Brandon/Howard 11-3 +18% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Brandon/Howard 9-11 -16% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Brandon/Howard 11-5 +8% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Mawji/Wade 11-3 +27% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Mawji/Wade 8-11 -9% 2026-10-05 PPA · mens Jose Martinez Mawji/Wade 11-8 +7%
Put Matt in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.