Miguel Alda M
mens 30–29 · mixed 3–2
+2.5 (-0.6…+4.9)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 286 active men (within gender only; no 2026 games)
33–31
career record · 52% wins, 52% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.8) 2024-02 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.8) 2024-03 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.7) 2024-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.7) 2024-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.7) 2024-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.7) 2024-07 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.8) 2024-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.8) 2024-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.8) 2024-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9) 2024-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.9) 2024-12 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.9) 2025-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.0) 2025-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.0) 2025-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.1) 2025-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.2) 2025-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.2) 2025-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.3) 2025-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.3) 2025-08 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.4) 2025-09 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.4) 2025-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.4) 2025-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.5) 2025-12 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.5) 2026-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.0 to +4.6) 2026-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.0 to +4.6) 2026-03 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.1 to +4.7) 2026-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.2 to +4.7) 2026-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.2 to +4.7) 2026-06 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.3 to +4.7) 2026-07 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.4 to +4.8) 2026-08 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.5 to +4.8) 2026-09 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.5 to +4.9) 2026-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band -0.6 to +4.9) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-03-09 PPA · 15-5 · vs Betts/Blocker · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 64% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 12-15 · vs Bridge/Pham · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 60% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 4-11 · vs Peterson/Donkena · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 52% of points 2024-03-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Peterson/Donkena · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 52% of points 2024-03-13 PPA · 11-8 · vs Carnett/Landheer · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 59% of points 2024-03-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Carnett/Landheer · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 59% of points 2024-03-13 PPA · 9-11 · vs Nguyen/Bricker · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 48% of points 2024-03-13 PPA · 7-11 · vs Nguyen/Bricker · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 48% of points 2024-03-16 PPA · 8-11 · vs Gonzalez/Smosna · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 69% of points 2024-03-16 PPA · 11-7 · vs Gonzalez/Smosna · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 69% of points 2024-03-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Gonzalez/Smosna · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 69% of points 2024-03-16 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 26% of points 2024-03-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Dustin Boyer · model expected 26% of points 2024-04-02 PPA · 11-5 · vs Torresin/Guy · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Torresin/Guy · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 55% of points 2024-04-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs Wilson/Alshon · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 26% of points 2024-04-03 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wilson/Alshon · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 26% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Garcia/Jr · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Garcia/Jr · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Garcia/Jr · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hunt/Zverkovsky · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 70% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 11-0 · vs Hunt/Zverkovsky · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 70% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Garcia/Jr · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Garcia/Jr · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-2 · vs Andrews/Eveloff · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 66% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Andrews/Eveloff · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 66% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 1-11 · vs Hovenier/Young · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 40% of points 2024-06-01 PPA · 1-11 · vs Hovenier/Young · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 40% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Tabatabaeian/Yee · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 60% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Tabatabaeian/Yee · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 60% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Acob/Zukeran · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 60% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Acob/Zukeran · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 60% of points 2024-06-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Acob/Zukeran · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 60% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Bellamy · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 43% of points 2024-06-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johnson/Bellamy · w/ Kailas Shekar · model expected 43% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Forsythe/Jensen · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Forsythe/Jensen · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Kuhlman/Nanavati · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kuhlman/Nanavati · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Kuhlman/Nanavati · w/ Hao Nguyen · model expected 58% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 2-11 · vs Goldberg/Khlif · w/ Sarah Hua · model expected 40% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Goldberg/Khlif · w/ Sarah Hua · model expected 40% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Goldberg/Khlif · w/ Sarah Hua · model expected 40% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lawhun/Baruah · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 68% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lawhun/Baruah · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 68% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Haywood/Hart · w/ Sarah Hua · model expected 58% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Haywood/Hart · w/ Sarah Hua · model expected 58% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 13-15 (OT) · vs Mediratta/Wazir · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 8-11 · vs Mediratta/Wazir · w/ Yaamunan Venkatesan · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Wild/Jr · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 56% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wild/Jr · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 56% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-4 · vs Whitesides/Jenson · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 66% of points 2024-08-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Whitesides/Jenson · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 66% of points 2024-08-22 PPA · 11-9 · vs Shearer/Amiri · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 54% of points 2024-08-22 PPA · 11-7 · vs Shearer/Amiri · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 54% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 8-11 · vs Vich/McGuffin · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 29% of points 2024-08-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Vich/McGuffin · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 29% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Beasley/Dayan · w/ Evgeniy Kim · model expected 34% of points 2024-08-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Beasley/Dayan · w/ Evgeniy Kim · model expected 34% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Alhouni/Alhouni · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 44% of points 2024-11-16 PPA · 3-11 · vs French/Stone · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 41% of points 2024-11-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs French/Stone · w/ Tavon Morrow · model expected 41% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 33–31 52% 8.7–8.0
4–2
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
1–4
overtime games (past the target)
19
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-3
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+3.3 (+1.5…+4.7)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
79 pro singles games
50–29
singles record · last 2024-11
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2024-11-16 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow French/Stone 7-11 -2% 2024-11-16 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow French/Stone 3-11 -20% 2024-11-05 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow Alhouni/Alhouni 1-11 -36% 2024-11-05 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow Alhouni/Alhouni 11-6 +21% 2024-11-05 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow Alhouni/Alhouni 6-11 -9% 2024-08-27 PPA · mens Evgeniy Kim Beasley/Dayan 4-11 -7% 2024-08-27 PPA · mens Evgeniy Kim Beasley/Dayan 4-11 -7% 2024-08-24 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow Vich/McGuffin 3-11 -7% 2024-08-24 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow Vich/McGuffin 8-11 +13% 2024-08-22 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow Shearer/Amiri 11-7 +7% 2024-08-22 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow Shearer/Amiri 11-9 +1% 2024-08-21 PPA · mens Tavon Morrow Whitesides/Jenson 11-6 -1%
Put Miguel in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.