PICKLES

Sarah Hua W

womens 17–19 · mixed 18–13

+3.3 (+1.0…+5.1)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 204 active women (within gender only; no 2026 games)
35–32
career record · 52% wins, 50% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.7)2024-02 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.7)2024-03 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.7)2024-04 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.7)2024-05 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.7)2024-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.8)2024-07 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.8)2024-08 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.9)2024-09 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.9)2024-10 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.0)2024-11 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.0)2024-12 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.0)2025-01 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.0)2025-02 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.1)2025-03 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.0)2025-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.1)2025-05 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.2)2025-06 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.3)2025-07 · +3.2 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.4)2025-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.5)2025-09 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.6)2025-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.6)2025-11 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.7)2025-12 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.7)2026-01 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.7)2026-02 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.8)2026-03 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.8)2026-04 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.8)2026-05 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.9)2026-06 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.9)2026-07 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.2 to +5.0)2026-08 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.1 to +5.0)2026-09 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.1 to +5.0)2026-10 · +3.3 pts (90% band +1.0 to +5.1)+2+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-02-03 PPA · 15-11 · vs Elliott/Goldenhersh · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 64% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 9-15 · vs Chuang/Nelson · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 47% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-9 · vs James/Wilcox · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 49% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs James/Wilcox · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 49% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs James/Wilcox · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 49% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Truluck/Duong · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 37% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Truluck/Duong · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 37% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Truluck/Duong · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 37% of points2024-03-08 PPA · 8-15 · vs Teoni/Haas · w/ Mota Alhouni · model expected 46% of points2024-04-03 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Allison Phillips · model expected 44% of points2024-04-03 PPA · 7-11 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Allison Phillips · model expected 44% of points2024-04-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Walker/Walker · w/ Allison Phillips · model expected 44% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 7-11 · vs Eugenio/McIntosh · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 49% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 11-3 · vs Eugenio/McIntosh · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 49% of points2024-06-26 PPA · 11-9 · vs Eugenio/McIntosh · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 49% of points2024-06-27 PPA · 1-11 · vs Jones/Tereschenko · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 34% of points2024-06-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Jones/Tereschenko · w/ Sarah Pham · model expected 34% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 2-11 · vs Goldberg/Khlif · w/ Miguel Alda · model expected 40% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Goldberg/Khlif · w/ Miguel Alda · model expected 40% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Goldberg/Khlif · w/ Miguel Alda · model expected 40% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Haywood/Hart · w/ Miguel Alda · model expected 58% of points2024-08-14 PPA · 11-1 · vs Haywood/Hart · w/ Miguel Alda · model expected 58% of points2024-08-17 PPA · 4-11 · vs Black/Irvine · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 24% of points2024-08-17 PPA · 2-11 · vs Black/Irvine · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 24% of points2024-08-17 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Donkena/Weil · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 57% of points2024-08-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Donkena/Weil · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 57% of points2024-08-17 PPA · 11-8 · vs Donkena/Weil · w/ Cassidy Hoag · model expected 57% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 11-5 · vs Policare/Mulhern · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 56% of points2024-10-01 PPA · 11-1 · vs Policare/Mulhern · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 56% of points2024-10-02 PPA · 1-11 · vs Schneemann/Kawamoto · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 24% of points2024-10-02 PPA · 3-11 · vs Schneemann/Kawamoto · w/ Audrey Banada · model expected 24% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-3 · vs Symkoviak/Bratt · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 71% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Symkoviak/Bratt · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 71% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Banada/Cassidy · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 54% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Banada/Cassidy · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 54% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Banada/Cassidy · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 54% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Wynne/Mogle · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 57% of points2025-03-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Wynne/Mogle · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 57% of points2025-03-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bright/Johnson · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 21% of points2025-03-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Bright/Johnson · w/ Jonathan Truong · model expected 21% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mulhern/Metzold · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 63% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mulhern/Metzold · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 63% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Clemmer/Morelli · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 64% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Clemmer/Morelli · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 64% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Clemmer/Morelli · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 64% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Grigoriu/Campbell · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 56% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 9-11 · vs Grigoriu/Campbell · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 56% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 11-7 · vs Grigoriu/Campbell · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 56% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Todd · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 22% of points2025-03-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Johnson/Todd · w/ Shelby Bates · model expected 22% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Townsend/Wild · w/ Hong Kit Wong · model expected 36% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Townsend/Wild · w/ Hong Kit Wong · model expected 36% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kwon/Wilson · w/ Hong Kit Wong · model expected 73% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 11-4 · vs Kwon/Wilson · w/ Hong Kit Wong · model expected 73% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Haas/H · w/ Hong Kit Wong · model expected 53% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 11-9 · vs Haas/H · w/ Hong Kit Wong · model expected 53% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Long/Wei · w/ Kara Wheatley · model expected 32% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 5-11 · vs Long/Wei · w/ Kara Wheatley · model expected 32% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Nsekpong/Jones · w/ Oscar Serra · model expected 66% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nsekpong/Jones · w/ Oscar Serra · model expected 66% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-0 · vs McGowan/Kotnana · w/ Oscar Serra · model expected 65% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs McGowan/Kotnana · w/ Oscar Serra · model expected 65% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pretorius/Jareonvongrayab · w/ Kara Wheatley · model expected 57% of points2025-08-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pretorius/Jareonvongrayab · w/ Kara Wheatley · model expected 57% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Campbell/Phillips · w/ Oscar Serra · model expected 52% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 11-2 · vs Campbell/Phillips · w/ Oscar Serra · model expected 52% of points2025-08-07 PPA · 8-11 · vs Campbell/Phillips · w/ Oscar Serra · model expected 52% of points0%25%50%75%100%20242025winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA13–1842%7.6–9.4
2025PPA22–1461%8.8–7.5
4–6
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–3
overtime games (past the target)
20
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
6
longest win streak
-1
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+1.3 (-2.0…+4.2)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
19 pro singles games
8–11
singles record · last 2024-10

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Sarah Pham104–645%-0.09 ±0.52 (noise)
Shelby Bates106–453%+0.02 ±0.48 (noise)
Jonathan Truong95–448%-0.11 ±0.51 (noise)
Oscar Serra75–265%+0.11 ±0.50 (noise)
Hong Kit Wong64–254%+0.02 ±0.52 (noise)
Miguel Alda53–254%+0.08 ±0.50 (noise)
Cassidy Hoag52–345%-0.01 ±0.53 (noise)
Mota Alhouni41–336%-0.04 ±0.50 (noise)
Audrey Banada42–248%+0.05 ±0.52 (noise)
Kara Wheatley42–248%+0.02 ±0.46 (noise)
Allison Phillips31–241%-0.00 ±0.52 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2025-08-07PPA · mixedOscar SerraCampbell/Phillips8-11-10%
2025-08-07PPA · mixedOscar SerraCampbell/Phillips11-2+33%
2025-08-07PPA · mixedOscar SerraCampbell/Phillips11-13 OT-6%
2025-08-05PPA · womensKara WheatleyPretorius/Jareonvongrayab11-5+12%
2025-08-05PPA · womensKara WheatleyPretorius/Jareonvongrayab11-5+12%
2025-08-05PPA · mixedOscar SerraMcGowan/Kotnana11-4+8%
2025-08-05PPA · mixedOscar SerraMcGowan/Kotnana11-0+35%
2025-08-05PPA · mixedOscar SerraNsekpong/Jones11-5+2%
2025-08-05PPA · mixedOscar SerraNsekpong/Jones11-4+7%
2025-08-05PPA · womensKara WheatleyLong/Wei5-11-1%
2025-08-05PPA · womensKara WheatleyLong/Wei3-11-11%
2025-04-25PPA · mixedHong Kit WongHaas/H11-9+2%

Put Sarah in the simulator →