Jade Rau W
womens 35–60 · mixed 54–70
+2.3 (+1.3…+3.3)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#128
of 204 active women (within gender only)
89–130
career record · 41% wins, 45% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +0.6 pts (90% band -2.0 to +2.4) 2024-02 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.9 to +2.4) 2024-03 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.9 to +2.4) 2024-04 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.8 to +2.4) 2024-05 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.7 to +2.3) 2024-06 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.6 to +2.3) 2024-07 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.2) 2024-08 · +0.6 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.2) 2024-09 · +0.7 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.2) 2024-10 · +0.8 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.3) 2024-11 · +0.9 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.3) 2024-12 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.3) 2025-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.3) 2025-02 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.3) 2025-03 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.3) 2025-04 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.1 to +2.3) 2025-05 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.3) 2025-06 · +1.2 pts (90% band +0.1 to +2.3) 2025-07 · +1.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.3) 2025-08 · +1.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +2.4) 2025-09 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.5 to +2.5) 2025-10 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.6 to +2.6) 2025-11 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.8 to +2.7) 2025-12 · +1.9 pts (90% band +1.0 to +2.8) 2026-01 · +2.0 pts (90% band +1.1 to +2.9) 2026-02 · +2.1 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.0) 2026-03 · +2.1 pts (90% band +1.3 to +2.9) 2026-04 · +2.0 pts (90% band +1.2 to +2.9) 2026-05 · +2.1 pts (90% band +1.2 to +2.9) 2026-06 · +2.2 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.0) 2026-07 · +2.2 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.0) 2026-08 · +2.2 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.1) 2026-09 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.2) 2026-10 · +2.3 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.3) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-05-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Laurente/Campbell · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Laurente/Campbell · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 36% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Borowsky/Dernoot · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 80% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-0 · vs Borowsky/Dernoot · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 80% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Kim/Saidhujaeva · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kim/Saidhujaeva · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Laura/Johns · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Laura/Johns · w/ Zachary Marceau · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 6-15 · vs Griffith/Ignatowich · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Imparato/Brown · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 32% of points 2025-05-24 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Imparato/Brown · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 32% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 17-15 (OT) · vs Ferguson/Iii · w/ Filipe Parichkov · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ochoa/Marquez · w/ Filipe Parichkov · model expected 41% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ochoa/Marquez · w/ Filipe Parichkov · model expected 41% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 4-15 · vs Bui/Bradstreet · w/ Filipe Parichkov · model expected 40% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rezabek/Rezabek · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 61% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rezabek/Rezabek · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 61% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-3 · vs Voelker/Donkena · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 53% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 11-7 · vs Voelker/Donkena · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 53% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 2-11 · vs Weil/Khan · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 33% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 3-11 · vs Weil/Khan · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 33% of points 2025-07-26 PPA · 3-15 · vs Wynne/Sonday · w/ Lauren Hidalgo-Smith · model expected 45% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 15-11 · vs Klaassen/Alhouni · w/ Luke Wasson · model expected 49% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 7-15 · vs Petropouleas/Martinez · w/ Luke Wasson · model expected 51% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Stanciu/Gonnering · w/ Luke Wasson · model expected 55% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 11-8 · vs Stanciu/Gonnering · w/ Luke Wasson · model expected 55% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Stanciu/Gonnering · w/ Luke Wasson · model expected 55% of points 2025-07-27 PPA · 15-10 · vs Donkena/Donkena · w/ Luke Wasson · model expected 52% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Lenhard/Nguyen · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Lenhard/Nguyen · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Lenhard/Nguyen · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 48% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 1-11 · vs Daescu/Dizon · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 18% of points 2025-08-29 PPA · 3-11 · vs Daescu/Dizon · w/ Jace Morris · model expected 18% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Mannarino/Tiboldi · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 50% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-7 · vs Mannarino/Tiboldi · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 50% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 11-6 · vs Fife/Davis · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 1-11 · vs Fife/Davis · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-30 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fife/Davis · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 54% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Kunimoto/Morelli · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 43% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 1-11 · vs Kunimoto/Morelli · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 43% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 11-6 · vs Grigoriu/Jr · w/ Mouaad Alhouni · model expected 45% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 8-11 · vs Grigoriu/Jr · w/ Mouaad Alhouni · model expected 45% of points 2025-09-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Grigoriu/Jr · w/ Mouaad Alhouni · model expected 45% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Khlif/Rohrabacher · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 23% of points 2025-10-07 PPA · 5-11 · vs Khlif/Rohrabacher · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 23% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Igleski/Harvey · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 35% of points 2025-11-04 PPA · 4-11 · vs Igleski/Harvey · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 35% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 6-11 · vs Morelli/Nelson · w/ Genie Bouchard · model expected 45% of points 2025-11-05 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Morelli/Nelson · w/ Genie Bouchard · model expected 45% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 1-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Andrew Caldarella · model expected 21% of points 2025-11-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tardio/Irvine · w/ Andrew Caldarella · model expected 21% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johnson/Rohrabacher · w/ Brooke Caruso · model expected 16% of points 2025-11-21 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johnson/Rohrabacher · w/ Brooke Caruso · model expected 16% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Truong/Truluck · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 27% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Truong/Truluck · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 27% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 8-11 · vs Truong/Truluck · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 27% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Humberg/Irvine · w/ Julia Ronney · model expected 20% of points 2025-12-19 PPA · 1-11 · vs Humberg/Irvine · w/ Julia Ronney · model expected 20% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-7 · vs Minniefield/Nemoff · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 56% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Minniefield/Nemoff · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 56% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 20% of points 2026-01-13 PPA · 2-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Cason Campbell · model expected 20% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Nelson/Mercado · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Nelson/Mercado · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 52% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Caruso/Hatton · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 37% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Caruso/Hatton · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 37% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Caruso/Hatton · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 37% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 13% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 13% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 7-11 · vs Lenhard/Rettger · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-3 · vs Lenhard/Rettger · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lenhard/Rettger · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 54% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 8-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 20% of points 2026-02-17 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rohrabacher/Alshon · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 20% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Morelli/Rives · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 40% of points 2026-02-18 PPA · 7-11 · vs Morelli/Rives · w/ Luana Stanciu · model expected 40% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ayon/Purcell · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ayon/Purcell · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 50% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 5-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 19% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Edward Perez · model expected 19% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 0-11 · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Brooke Caruso · model expected 20% of points 2026-03-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Brooke Caruso · model expected 20% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Held/Goldberg · w/ Victoria Shinkaretzky · model expected 66% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Held/Goldberg · w/ Victoria Shinkaretzky · model expected 66% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 7-11 · vs Dunlap/Safdar · w/ Victoria Shinkaretzky · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dunlap/Safdar · w/ Victoria Shinkaretzky · model expected 33% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Evans/Wang · w/ Ben Slive · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-3 · vs Evans/Wang · w/ Ben Slive · model expected 70% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Slive/Reichert · w/ Ben Slive · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Slive/Reichert · w/ Ben Slive · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Slive/Reichert · w/ Ben Slive · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Parenteau/Tardio · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-0 · vs Cavataio/Brown · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Cavataio/Brown · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 59% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 4-11 · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 20% of points 2026-03-11 PPA · 2-11 · vs Schneemann/Pisnik · w/ Elsie Hendershot · model expected 20% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 4-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-24 PPA · 3-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 22% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 1-11 · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 18% of points 2026-03-25 PPA · 2-11 · vs Schneemann/Dizon · w/ Ava Ignatowich · model expected 18% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Glavinovich/Daniel · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Glavinovich/Daniel · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 61% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 25% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Ge/Humberg · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 25% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 0-11 · vs Irvine/Castillo · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 26% of points 2026-04-15 PPA · 0-11 · vs Irvine/Castillo · w/ Giovanna Morelli · model expected 26% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 12-15 · vs Safdar/James · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 43% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-8 · vs Wynne/Simson · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Wynne/Simson · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 59% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 3-11 · vs Rives/Bui · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Rives/Bui · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 37% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Ampon/McMillan · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 5-11 · vs Ampon/McMillan · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ampon/McMillan · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 4-11 · vs Warren/Clark · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 8-11 · vs Warren/Clark · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 60% of points 2026-04-19 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Mody/McGowan · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Chow/Karina · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Chow/Karina · w/ Wil Shaffer · model expected 48% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 9-11 · vs Fitzgerald/Gordon · w/ Isabella Nelson · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Fitzgerald/Gordon · w/ Isabella Nelson · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 8-11 · vs Fitzgerald/Gordon · w/ Isabella Nelson · model expected 54% of points 2026-05-23 PPA · 6-15 · vs McGowan/Quintanilla · w/ Isabella Nelson · model expected 37% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 15-9 · vs Fleming/Campagna · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 62% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Mody/To · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 50% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 11-2 · vs Cortright/McGee · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 76% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 11-1 · vs Cortright/McGee · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 76% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 14-16 (OT) · vs Klaassen/Duffin · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 51% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 7-11 · vs Trevino/Wade · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 39% of points 2026-05-24 PPA · 2-11 · vs Trevino/Wade · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 39% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 8-11 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-12 · vs Okelley/Minniefield · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 51% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Barisano/Coyner · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 52% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 11-9 · vs Barisano/Coyner · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 52% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 43% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-13 · vs Remynse/Warren · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-27 PPA · 15-11 · vs Fitzgerald/Gordon · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 55% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs McPherson/Herrick · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 63% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-9 · vs McPherson/Herrick · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 63% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-0 · vs Perkins/Trieu · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 83% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-0 · vs Perkins/Trieu · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 83% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Gordon/Nguyen · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Gordon/Nguyen · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 57% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 12-15 · vs Perez/Minniefield · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 53% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Scarpa/Butler · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 44% of points 2026-06-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs Scarpa/Butler · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 44% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 13-15 · vs Imparato/Jansen · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 43% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Smith/Fitzgerald · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 64% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Smith/Fitzgerald · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 64% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 55% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Simon/Simon · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 55% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-9 · vs Dunlap/Padegimaite · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 1-11 · vs Dunlap/Padegimaite · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 2-11 · vs Dunlap/Padegimaite · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 15-7 · vs Grgan/Lu · w/ Maddy Rasmusen · model expected 53% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Jae Centonze · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Jae Centonze · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-12 · vs Safdar/Brown · w/ Jae Centonze · model expected 47% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Godwin/Ohrel · w/ Jae Centonze · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Godwin/Ohrel · w/ Jae Centonze · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-15 · vs Woog/Fitzgerald · w/ Jae Centonze · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-1 · vs Brent/Ducrest · w/ Jae Centonze · model expected 70% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-2 · vs Brent/Ducrest · w/ Jae Centonze · model expected 70% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Warren/Altick · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Warren/Altick · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 65% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 15-17 (OT) · vs To/Grigoriu · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 52% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Reichert/Hatton · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 50% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 2-11 · vs Reichert/Hatton · w/ Lindsey Newman · model expected 50% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Truong/Shimabukuro · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Truong/Shimabukuro · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-01 PPA · 11-8 · vs Truong/Shimabukuro · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 34% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 0-11 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 11-7 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Gecheva/Lenhard · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 40% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 1-11 · vs Truong/Sleeth · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 25% of points 2026-09-03 PPA · 2-11 · vs Truong/Sleeth · w/ Ashley Griffith · model expected 25% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Lam/Vinueza-Daly · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lam/Vinueza-Daly · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-8 · vs Lam/Vinueza-Daly · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Brown/Mogle · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 56% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Warren/Arnold · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 48% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Warren/Arnold · w/ Eduardo Santini Ayon · model expected 48% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 5-11 · vs Vich/Rane · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 30% of points 2026-09-30 PPA · 2-11 · vs Vich/Rane · w/ Adam Harvey · model expected 30% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 7-11 · vs Campbell/Schull · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 34% of points 2026-10-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Campbell/Schull · w/ Jaeda Minniefield · model expected 34% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wade/Nelson · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 64% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wade/Nelson · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 64% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Morris/Goodnow · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Morris/Goodnow · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Morris/Goodnow · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 47% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 11-8 · vs Castillo/McGuffin · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 6-11 · vs Castillo/McGuffin · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-06 PPA · 3-11 · vs Castillo/McGuffin · w/ Will Mackinnon · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Trevino/Sacca · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 33% of points 2026-10-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Trevino/Sacca · w/ Natalia Simson · model expected 33% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation last 200 games share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 2–9 18% 7.5–10.4 2025 PPA 24–42 36% 7.4–10.1 2026 PPA 63–79 44% 8.0–9.2
8–11
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
14–12
overtime games (past the target)
35
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-0.3 (-1.4…+0.9)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
76 pro singles games
29–47
singles record · last 2026-09
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-07 PPA · womens Natalia Simson Trevino/Sacca 6-11 +2% 2026-10-07 PPA · womens Natalia Simson Trevino/Sacca 6-11 +2% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Will Mackinnon Castillo/McGuffin 3-11 -13% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Will Mackinnon Castillo/McGuffin 6-11 +0% 2026-10-06 PPA · mixed Will Mackinnon Castillo/McGuffin 11-8 +23% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Will Mackinnon Morris/Goodnow 11-9 +8% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Will Mackinnon Morris/Goodnow 12-10 OT+7% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Will Mackinnon Morris/Goodnow 8-11 -5% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Will Mackinnon Wade/Nelson 11-5 +5% 2026-10-05 PPA · mixed Will Mackinnon Wade/Nelson 11-4 +9% 2026-10-01 PPA · womens Jaeda Minniefield Campbell/Schull 9-11 +11% 2026-10-01 PPA · womens Jaeda Minniefield Campbell/Schull 7-11 +5%
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Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.