Zachary Marceau M
mens 38–27 · mixed 12–12
+3.0 (+0.5…+5.0)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 286 active men (within gender only; no 2026 games)
50–39
career record · 56% wins, 51% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.2) 2024-02 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.2) 2024-03 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.1) 2024-04 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.1) 2024-05 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.1) 2024-06 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.1) 2024-07 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.1) 2024-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.0) 2024-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.0) 2024-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.1) 2024-11 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.1) 2024-12 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.1) 2025-01 · +3.1 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.1) 2025-02 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.1) 2025-03 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.2) 2025-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.2) 2025-05 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.2) 2025-06 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2) 2025-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2) 2025-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.3) 2025-09 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.3) 2025-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.4) 2025-11 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.5) 2025-12 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.2 to +4.5) 2026-01 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.6) 2026-02 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.6) 2026-03 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.7) 2026-04 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.7) 2026-05 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.8) 2026-06 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.8) 2026-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.9) 2026-08 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.9) 2026-09 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +5.0) 2026-10 · +3.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +5.0) +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2024-05-13 PPA · 15-12 · vs Irizarry/Michelsen · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 48% of points 2024-05-13 PPA · 9-15 · vs Williams/Caulfield · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 44% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Meadows/Eaby · w/ Wilfredo Sarmiento · model expected 54% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 11-5 · vs Meadows/Eaby · w/ Wilfredo Sarmiento · model expected 54% of points 2024-05-29 PPA · 8-11 · vs Meadows/Eaby · w/ Wilfredo Sarmiento · model expected 54% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Garcia/Boyer · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 55% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Garcia/Boyer · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 55% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Sherry/Cassidy · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 54% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-6 · vs Sherry/Cassidy · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 54% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Sherry/Cassidy · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 54% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Stockton/Miyoshi · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Stockton/Miyoshi · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Stockton/Miyoshi · w/ Wesley Burrows · model expected 61% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bryant/Acob · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bryant/Acob · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bryant/Acob · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 46% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wild/Jr · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 44% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Wild/Jr · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 44% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-3 · vs Wild/Jr · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 44% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 6-11 · vs Peet/Lui · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-5 · vs Peet/Lui · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 49% of points 2024-08-14 PPA · 11-6 · vs Peet/Lui · w/ Jeremy Lim · model expected 49% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 6-11 · vs Ford/Crum · w/ James Broker · model expected 45% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ford/Crum · w/ James Broker · model expected 45% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 8-11 · vs Ford/Crum · w/ James Broker · model expected 45% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ivey/Ivey · w/ James Broker · model expected 59% of points 2024-09-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Ivey/Ivey · w/ James Broker · model expected 59% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Ariana Rodriguez · model expected 48% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 11-9 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Ariana Rodriguez · model expected 48% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs Blatt/Goldin · w/ Ariana Rodriguez · model expected 48% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 1-11 · vs Truong/Vero-Casavant · w/ Zachary Card · model expected 41% of points 2024-09-30 PPA · 3-11 · vs Truong/Vero-Casavant · w/ Zachary Card · model expected 41% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Blaszkewycz/III · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 48% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Blaszkewycz/III · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 48% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Safdar/Laidlaw · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 52% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Safdar/Laidlaw · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 52% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-8 · vs Safdar/Laidlaw · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 52% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Goldin/Goldberg · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 46% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Goldin/Goldberg · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 46% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 1-11 · vs Goldin/Goldberg · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 46% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 11-3 · vs Hur/Gomez · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 60% of points 2024-11-04 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Hur/Gomez · w/ Alexa Schull · model expected 60% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-2 · vs Congdon/Anderson · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 61% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-4 · vs Congdon/Anderson · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 61% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 11-9 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 40% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 7-11 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 40% of points 2024-11-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Hovenier/Khlif · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 40% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 8-11 · vs Yang/Laidlaw · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 48% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Yang/Laidlaw · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 48% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Burkhardt/Bhargava · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 55% of points 2024-11-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Burkhardt/Bhargava · w/ Juan Benitez · model expected 55% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Cartenuto/Nickerson · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 68% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs Cartenuto/Nickerson · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 68% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Daland/Dermody · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 78% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Daland/Dermody · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 78% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 65% of points 2024-12-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Mason/McCartney · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 65% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 3-11 · vs Daescu/Klinger · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 28% of points 2024-12-21 PPA · 1-11 · vs Daescu/Klinger · w/ Robert Laidlaw · model expected 28% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Goins/Helmuth · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 2-11 · vs Goins/Helmuth · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 41% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-6 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 60% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 60% of points 2025-03-05 PPA · 11-7 · vs Aninon/Moreno · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 60% of points 2025-03-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bulger/Coleman · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 74% of points 2025-03-06 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bulger/Coleman · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 74% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 11-9 · vs III/Cincola · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs III/Cincola · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 51% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 2-11 · vs Patriquin/Tardio · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 29% of points 2025-03-08 PPA · 7-11 · vs Patriquin/Tardio · w/ Alec Lamacchio · model expected 29% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Morris/Campbell · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Morris/Campbell · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morris/Campbell · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 43% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Rochefort/Giannelli · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Rochefort/Giannelli · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Peñalverty/Feliz · w/ Ronan Camron · model expected 60% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-8 · vs Peñalverty/Feliz · w/ Ronan Camron · model expected 60% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Moreno/Reason · w/ Ronan Camron · model expected 63% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-4 · vs Moreno/Reason · w/ Ronan Camron · model expected 63% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Kim/Saidhujaeva · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Kim/Saidhujaeva · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 64% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Laura/Johns · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 4-11 · vs Laura/Johns · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 37% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Ronan Camron · model expected 47% of points 2025-05-13 PPA · 9-11 · vs Mack/Varon · w/ Ronan Camron · model expected 47% of points 2025-07-09 MLP · 0-11 · vs Brown/Scarpa · w/ Zachary Card · model expected 28% of points 2025-07-09 MLP · 6-11 · vs Radzikowska/Brown · w/ Ava Cavataio · model expected 33% of points 2025-07-09 MLP · 3-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Frantova · w/ Ava Cavataio · model expected 41% of points 2025-07-09 MLP · 11-13 (OT) · vs Campbell/Rettenmaier · w/ Zachary Card · model expected 37% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2024 2025 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2024 PPA 34–25 58% 8.9–8.3 2025 MLP 0–4 0% 5.0–11.5 2025 PPA 16–10 62% 8.8–8.0
6–7
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–3
overtime games (past the target)
25
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-8
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
-1.5 (-6.0…+4.1)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
projected
no singles record — projected from doubles, selection-corrected
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
partner games
W–L point share chem (pts)
Robert Laidlaw 15 11–4 58% +0.14 ±0.53 (noise) Jeremy Lim 11 6–5 52% +0.11 ±0.50 (noise) Alec Lamacchio 9 6–3 54% +0.06 ±0.50 (noise) Jade Rau 9 6–3 52% +0.06 ±0.50 (noise) Wesley Burrows 8 5–3 53% -0.06 ±0.52 (noise) Alexa Schull 8 5–3 50% -0.00 ±0.49 (noise) Ronan Camron 6 4–2 57% -0.00 ±0.52 (noise) James Broker 5 3–2 55% +0.04 ±0.51 (noise) Zachary Card 4 0–4 25% -0.14 ±0.52 (noise) Juan Benitez 4 2–2 51% +0.00 ±0.50 (noise) Wilfredo Sarmiento 3 1–2 50% -0.04 ±0.52 (noise) Ariana Rodriguez 3 1–2 37% -0.04 ±0.51 (noise)
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2025-07-09 MLP · mens Zachary Card Campbell/Rettenmaier 11-13 OT +9% 2025-07-09 MLP · mixed Ava Cavataio Rettenmaier/Frantova 3-11 -20% 2025-07-09 MLP · mixed Ava Cavataio Radzikowska/Brown 6-11 +2% 2025-07-09 MLP · mens Zachary Card Brown/Scarpa 0-11 -28% 2025-05-13 PPA · mens Ronan Camron Mack/Varon 9-11 -2% 2025-05-13 PPA · mens Ronan Camron Mack/Varon 3-11 -26% 2025-05-13 PPA · mixed Jade Rau Laura/Johns 4-11 -10% 2025-05-13 PPA · mixed Jade Rau Laura/Johns 4-11 -10% 2025-05-12 PPA · mixed Jade Rau Kim/Saidhujaeva 11-7 -3% 2025-05-12 PPA · mixed Jade Rau Kim/Saidhujaeva 13-11 OT-10% 2025-05-12 PPA · mens Ronan Camron Moreno/Reason 11-4 +11% 2025-05-12 PPA · mens Ronan Camron Moreno/Reason 11-4 +11%
Put Zachary in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.