Jae Centonze M
mens 30–18 · mixed 22–17
+2.9 (+1.6…+4.1)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#158
of 286 active men (within gender only)
52–35
career record · 60% wins, 53% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.8 to +3.7) 2024-02 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.7 to +3.7) 2024-03 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.6 to +3.6) 2024-04 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.6) 2024-05 · +1.7 pts (90% band -0.5 to +3.6) 2024-06 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.4 to +3.6) 2024-07 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.2 to +3.5) 2024-08 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.1 to +3.5) 2024-09 · +1.8 pts (90% band -0.0 to +3.5) 2024-10 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.5) 2024-11 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.1 to +3.4) 2024-12 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.2 to +3.4) 2025-01 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.3 to +3.4) 2025-02 · +1.9 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.4) 2025-03 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.3) 2025-04 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.3) 2025-05 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.2) 2025-06 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.3) 2025-07 · +2.2 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.3) 2025-08 · +2.2 pts (90% band +1.0 to +3.4) 2025-09 · +2.4 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.4) 2025-10 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.5) 2025-11 · +2.5 pts (90% band +1.4 to +3.6) 2025-12 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.5 to +3.6) 2026-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.7) 2026-02 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.6 to +3.7) 2026-03 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.8) 2026-04 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.7 to +3.8) 2026-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.9) 2026-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.8 to +4.0) 2026-07 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.9 to +4.0) 2026-08 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.8 to +3.9) 2026-09 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.7 to +4.0) 2026-10 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.1) +0 +2 +4 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-05-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Moore/Visser · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Moore/Visser · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Moore/Visser · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 56% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 10-15 · vs Parichkov/Rangelov · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 54% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 15-9 · vs Terzian/Wang · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 59% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-1 · vs Morin/Gorneau · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 67% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Morin/Gorneau · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 67% of points 2025-05-10 PPA · 15-11 · vs Copetti/Garcia · w/ Christopher Crouch · model expected 65% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 3-11 · vs Ruhl/Berryman · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 50% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 9-11 · vs Ruhl/Berryman · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 50% of points 2025-05-11 PPA · 8-15 · vs Taitel/Moore · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 46% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Mercado/Vinueza-Daly · w/ Domenico Geminiani · model expected 47% of points 2025-08-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Mercado/Vinueza-Daly · w/ Domenico Geminiani · model expected 47% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 4-15 · vs Altet/Jr · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 41% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 15-12 · vs Coleman/Johnson · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 49% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 5-11 · vs Protzek/Goins · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 33% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 1-11 · vs Protzek/Goins · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 33% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Eaby/Medina · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 54% of points 2025-09-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Eaby/Medina · w/ Bret Berryman · model expected 54% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-13 · vs Mulhern/Vollbach · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 52% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-12 · vs Werbeck/Werbeck · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 63% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ruiz/Slive · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ruiz/Slive · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 50% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 15-5 · vs Amaro/Petricone · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 69% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-9 · vs Walker/Delgado · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 37% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 9-11 · vs Walker/Delgado · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 37% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 1-11 · vs Walker/Delgado · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 37% of points 2025-09-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Conard/Saez · w/ Domenika Turkovic · model expected 48% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 15-5 · vs Perez/Lucci · w/ Joshua Elliott · model expected 71% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Torres/Gallagher · w/ Joshua Elliott · model expected 61% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 11-3 · vs Torres/Gallagher · w/ Joshua Elliott · model expected 61% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 15-7 · vs Vallejo/Hong · w/ Joshua Elliott · model expected 63% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 16-14 (OT) · vs Sitar/Rangelov · w/ Joshua Elliott · model expected 43% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 13-15 · vs Duvally/Laidlaw · w/ Joshua Elliott · model expected 38% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Braham/Mack · w/ Joshua Elliott · model expected 34% of points 2026-01-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Braham/Mack · w/ Joshua Elliott · model expected 34% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Powell/Conard · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 50% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-8 · vs Powell/Conard · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 50% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 6-11 · vs Sobek/Frantova · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 55% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Sobek/Frantova · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 55% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lai/Hoover · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lai/Hoover · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 59% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 19-21 (OT) · vs Slive/IV · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 69% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Steiner/Varon · w/ Andrew Loftin · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-07 PPA · 6-11 · vs Steiner/Varon · w/ Andrew Loftin · model expected 39% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 5-11 · vs Cavataio/Powell · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 3-11 · vs Cavataio/Powell · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 46% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs McRee/Grgan · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 67% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-2 · vs McRee/Grgan · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 67% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wynne/Varon · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 4-11 · vs Wynne/Varon · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 57% of points 2026-03-08 PPA · 11-5 · vs Wynne/Varon · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-0 · vs N/Lopez · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 89% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs N/Lopez · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 89% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Powell/Jagtiani · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 49% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 4-11 · vs Powell/Jagtiani · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 49% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-7 · vs Powell/Jagtiani · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 49% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-1 · vs Radionov/Eaby · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Radionov/Eaby · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 59% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 6-11 · vs Kim/Mody · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-6 · vs Kim/Mody · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-3 · vs Kim/Mody · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-5 · vs El-Zarif/Preissler · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs El-Zarif/Preissler · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 57% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 13-11 (OT) · vs Blaszkewycz/Arnold · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 46% of points 2026-07-18 PPA · 11-4 · vs Blaszkewycz/Arnold · w/ Tristan Dussault · model expected 46% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 5-11 · vs Stratman/Blaszkewycz · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 36% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 15-12 · vs Safdar/Brown · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 47% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-4 · vs Godwin/Ohrel · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-5 · vs Godwin/Ohrel · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 60% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-15 · vs Woog/Fitzgerald · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 54% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-1 · vs Brent/Ducrest · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 70% of points 2026-07-19 PPA · 11-2 · vs Brent/Ducrest · w/ Jade Rau · model expected 70% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-1 · vs Sharma/Suresh · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 81% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-2 · vs Sharma/Suresh · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 81% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-9 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 4-11 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 5-11 · vs Koszuta/Schupp · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 40% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lieberman/Bassett · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 64% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lieberman/Bassett · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 64% of points 2026-08-29 PPA · 12-15 · vs Goodman/Edwards · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 57% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 7-15 · vs Simon/Franke · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 15-12 · vs Nesbitt/Iii · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 60% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 11-8 · vs El-Zarif/Grigoriu · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 6-11 · vs El-Zarif/Grigoriu · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 49% of points 2026-08-30 PPA · 4-11 · vs El-Zarif/Grigoriu · w/ Marisa Ruiz · model expected 49% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 15–13 54% 9.2–9.5 2026 PPA 37–22 63% 9.8–7.8
3–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
4–2
overtime games (past the target)
27
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-2
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+1.8 (+0.5…+2.9)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
49 pro singles games
29–20
singles record · last 2026-08
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz El-Zarif/Grigoriu 4-11 -23% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz El-Zarif/Grigoriu 6-11 -14% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz El-Zarif/Grigoriu 11-8 +8% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz Nesbitt/Iii 15-12 -4% 2026-08-30 PPA · mixed Marisa Ruiz Simon/Franke 7-15 -30% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Rafa Hewett Goodman/Edwards 12-15 -12% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Rafa Hewett Lieberman/Bassett 11-4 +9% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Rafa Hewett Lieberman/Bassett 11-4 +9% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Rafa Hewett Koszuta/Schupp 5-11 -9% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Rafa Hewett Koszuta/Schupp 4-11 -13% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Rafa Hewett Koszuta/Schupp 11-9 +15% 2026-08-29 PPA · mens Rafa Hewett Sharma/Suresh 11-2 +4%
Put Jae in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-15.