Maria Ford W
womens 5–11 · mixed 36–30
+2.1 (+0.6…+3.6)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#138
of 204 active women (within gender only)
41–41
career record · 50% wins, 50% of points
Skill trajectory
Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average
pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero
games.
2024-01 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.9 to +3.1) 2024-02 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.8 to +3.0) 2024-03 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.0) 2024-04 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.7 to +3.0) 2024-05 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.6 to +3.0) 2024-06 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.5 to +3.0) 2024-07 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.5 to +2.9) 2024-08 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.4 to +2.9) 2024-09 · +1.0 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.9) 2024-10 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.3 to +2.9) 2024-11 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.2 to +2.8) 2024-12 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.1 to +2.8) 2025-01 · +1.1 pts (90% band -1.0 to +2.8) 2025-02 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.9 to +2.7) 2025-03 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.8 to +2.7) 2025-04 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.7 to +2.6) 2025-05 · +1.1 pts (90% band -0.6 to +2.6) 2025-06 · +1.2 pts (90% band -0.5 to +2.6) 2025-07 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.4 to +2.7) 2025-08 · +1.3 pts (90% band -0.2 to +2.7) 2025-09 · +1.5 pts (90% band +0.0 to +2.8) 2025-10 · +1.6 pts (90% band +0.2 to +2.9) 2025-11 · +1.7 pts (90% band +0.4 to +3.0) 2025-12 · +1.8 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.1) 2026-01 · +2.0 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.2) 2026-02 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.2) 2026-03 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.9 to +3.3) 2026-04 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.8 to +3.3) 2026-05 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.4) 2026-06 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.7 to +3.4) 2026-07 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.5) 2026-08 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.5 to +3.4) 2026-09 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.5) 2026-10 · +2.1 pts (90% band +0.6 to +3.6) -2 +0 +2 2024 2025 2026 pts vs avg pairing
Game log vs expectation
Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what
the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included;
descriptive, not a frozen forecast).
2025-05-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pacyga/Anderson · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 65% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Pacyga/Anderson · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 65% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 8-11 · vs Conard/Geminiani · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 4-11 · vs Conard/Geminiani · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 46% of points 2025-05-25 PPA · 16-18 (OT) · vs Shinkaretzky/Crouch · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 51% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 0-11 · vs Grollman/Pierson · w/ Jessica Jones · model expected 25% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Grollman/Pierson · w/ Jessica Jones · model expected 25% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 2-11 · vs Goldberg/Blaszkewycz · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 37% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Goldberg/Blaszkewycz · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 37% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Ito/Chen-An · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 64% of points 2025-06-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ito/Chen-An · w/ Jase Edwards · model expected 64% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 8-11 · vs Pejic/Randt · w/ Alex Guy · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Pejic/Randt · w/ Alex Guy · model expected 54% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 3-11 · vs Long/Wei · w/ Ali Welch · model expected 18% of points 2025-08-05 PPA · 1-11 · vs Long/Wei · w/ Ali Welch · model expected 18% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Berjane/Dolese · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 78% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-5 · vs Berjane/Dolese · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 78% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-8 · vs Herrick/Shin · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 61% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Herrick/Shin · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 61% of points 2025-12-16 PPA · 11-3 · vs Herrick/Shin · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 61% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 25% of points 2025-12-18 PPA · 0-11 · vs Devilliers/Smith · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 25% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-1 · vs Evans/Mell · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 78% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-5 · vs Slive/IV · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 64% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Engel/Summers · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 54% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Engel/Summers · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 54% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 8-11 · vs Engel/Summers · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 54% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-7 · vs Herminas/Perez · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 64% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 11-5 · vs Herminas/Perez · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 64% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 15-5 · vs Downing/Gallagher · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 60% of points 2026-01-11 PPA · 13-15 · vs Griffith/Rangelov · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 49% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Weston/Roy · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 72% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 3-11 · vs Weston/Roy · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 72% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Weston/Roy · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 72% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Owens/Ullmann · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 64% of points 2026-02-09 PPA · 11-6 · vs Owens/Ullmann · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 64% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 6-11 · vs Khlif/Pisnik · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 22% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 1-11 · vs Khlif/Pisnik · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 22% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Perez/Libo · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Perez/Libo · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 56% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Dunlap/Conard · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 31% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Dunlap/Conard · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 31% of points 2026-02-10 PPA · 2-11 · vs Dunlap/Conard · w/ Stevie Petropouleas · model expected 31% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jeske/Nichols · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 73% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-0 · vs Jeske/Nichols · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 73% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Schaadt/Ajani · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 62% of points 2026-03-09 PPA · 11-1 · vs Schaadt/Ajani · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 62% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 21% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 3-11 · vs Staksrud/Fahey · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 21% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 0-11 · vs Miyoshi/Yoshitomi · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Miyoshi/Yoshitomi · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 48% of points 2026-03-10 PPA · 11-6 · vs Miyoshi/Yoshitomi · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 48% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 6-11 · vs Miron/Buyckx · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Miron/Buyckx · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 44% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-6 · vs Mitchell/Gold · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 62% of points 2026-04-27 PPA · 11-1 · vs Mitchell/Gold · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 62% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 7-11 · vs Taylor/Zilveti · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 59% of points 2026-08-31 PPA · 3-11 · vs Taylor/Zilveti · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 59% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Trevino/Poland · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 33% of points 2026-09-14 PPA · 0-11 · vs Trevino/Poland · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 33% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Bricker/Courteau · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Bricker/Courteau · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 45% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Beré/Hitzeman · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-7 · vs Beré/Hitzeman · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 58% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 8-11 · vs Nguyen/Lenhard · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Nguyen/Lenhard · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 37% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-1 · vs Jr./Lopez · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 73% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-7 · vs Jr./Lopez · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 73% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-2 · vs Diskin/Newcombe · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 4-11 · vs Diskin/Newcombe · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Diskin/Newcombe · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 46% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 6-11 · vs Huynh/Yoshitomi · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 35% of points 2026-09-29 PPA · 1-11 · vs Huynh/Yoshitomi · w/ Olivia Phillips · model expected 35% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-6 · vs Maguire/Angulo · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 58% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-7 · vs Maguire/Angulo · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 58% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Serra/Courteau · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 40% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Serra/Courteau · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 40% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 11-9 · vs Serra/Courteau · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 40% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 8-11 · vs Abrams/McGowan · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-12 PPA · 4-11 · vs Abrams/McGowan · w/ Caroline Maguire · model expected 36% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Bhatia/Campbell · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 31% of points 2026-10-13 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Bhatia/Campbell · w/ Zane Ford · model expected 31% of points 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025 2026 win loss model expectation share of points
Splits
year tour W–L
win% avg score 2025 PPA 8–14 36% 7.1–9.0 2026 PPA 33–27 55% 8.4–7.8
5–2
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–3
overtime games (past the target)
22
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
-4
current streak (+W / −L)
Singles
+3.7 (+2.8…+4.5)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
rated
76 pro singles games
43–33
singles record · last 2026-10
Full singles ratings →
Partners
Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in
points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the
sport clears statistical significance (why ).
Recent games
date tour partner
opponents score vs exp
2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Zane Ford Bhatia/Campbell 11-13 OT +15% 2026-10-13 PPA · mixed Zane Ford Bhatia/Campbell 6-11 +4% 2026-10-12 PPA · womens Caroline Maguire Abrams/McGowan 4-11 -9% 2026-10-12 PPA · womens Caroline Maguire Abrams/McGowan 8-11 +7% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Zane Ford Serra/Courteau 11-9 +15% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Zane Ford Serra/Courteau 6-11 -5% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Zane Ford Serra/Courteau 11-9 +15% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Zane Ford Maguire/Angulo 11-7 +3% 2026-10-12 PPA · mixed Zane Ford Maguire/Angulo 11-6 +7% 2026-09-29 PPA · womens Olivia Phillips Huynh/Yoshitomi 1-11 -26% 2026-09-29 PPA · womens Olivia Phillips Huynh/Yoshitomi 6-11 +0% 2026-09-28 PPA · mixed Zane Ford Diskin/Newcombe 11-5 +23%
Put Maria in the simulator →
Unofficial fan analytics based on public results data —
not affiliated with any tour. Every number that has an error bar shows it;
cross-gender rankings are never published as fact (why ).
Model: Bayesian, 36k games, validated 77.4% winner accuracy on 884 unseen
games · data through 2026-10-14.