PICKLES

Patrick Kawka M

mens 32–26 · mixed 37–27

+4.5 (+2.2…+6.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
—
of 286 active men (within gender only; no 2026 games)
69–53
career record · 57% wins, 53% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +4.7 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.6)2024-02 · +4.7 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.5)2024-03 · +4.7 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.4)2024-04 · +4.6 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.3)2024-05 · +4.7 pts (90% band +3.9 to +5.3)2024-06 · +4.6 pts (90% band +3.8 to +5.3)2024-07 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.7 to +5.3)2024-08 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.6 to +5.3)2024-09 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.5 to +5.3)2024-10 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.5 to +5.4)2024-11 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.4 to +5.4)2024-12 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.3 to +5.4)2025-01 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.2 to +5.5)2025-02 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.2 to +5.6)2025-03 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.6)2025-04 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.1 to +5.6)2025-05 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.6)2025-06 · +4.5 pts (90% band +3.0 to +5.7)2025-07 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.7)2025-08 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.9 to +5.7)2025-09 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.8 to +5.8)2025-10 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.8)2025-11 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.7 to +5.9)2025-12 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.6 to +5.9)2026-01 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.5 to +5.9)2026-02 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.5 to +6.0)2026-03 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.5 to +6.0)2026-04 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.4 to +6.0)2026-05 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.4 to +6.0)2026-06 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +6.1)2026-07 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.3 to +6.1)2026-08 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +6.1)2026-09 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +6.1)2026-10 · +4.5 pts (90% band +2.2 to +6.2)+2+3+4+5+6202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lum/Marceau · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 66% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lum/Marceau · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 66% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dayan/Huynh · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 58% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Dayan/Huynh · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 58% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Young/Terron · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 57% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-2 · vs Young/Terron · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 57% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Alshon · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 34% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Waters/Alshon · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 34% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Alshon · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 34% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kawamoto/Young · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 45% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kawamoto/Young · w/ Lauren Mercado · model expected 45% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-9 · vs Haworth/Holderman · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 62% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-7 · vs Haworth/Holderman · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 62% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Taylor/Koller · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 57% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-4 · vs Taylor/Koller · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 57% of points2024-01-12 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Arnold/Alshon · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 45% of points2024-01-12 PPA · 6-11 · vs Arnold/Alshon · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 45% of points2024-01-12 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Arnold/Alshon · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 45% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 15-10 · vs Imparato/Whittaker · w/ Salome Devidze · model expected 61% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 15-10 · vs Ness/Ash · w/ Salome Devidze · model expected 63% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Maddox/Loong · w/ Salome Devidze · model expected 52% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 11-3 · vs Maddox/Loong · w/ Salome Devidze · model expected 52% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 7-11 · vs Koller/Schneemann · w/ Salome Devidze · model expected 44% of points2024-02-02 PPA · 9-11 · vs Koller/Schneemann · w/ Salome Devidze · model expected 44% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tellez/Staksrud · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 45% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 3-11 · vs Tellez/Staksrud · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 45% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Stone/Cincola · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 58% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 9-11 · vs Stone/Cincola · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 58% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-3 · vs Stone/Cincola · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 58% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-2 · vs Orton/Mead · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 71% of points2024-02-03 PPA · 11-6 · vs Orton/Mead · w/ Michael Loyd · model expected 71% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 3-11 · vs Kovalova/Wright · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 37% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kovalova/Wright · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 37% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 11-5 · vs Parker/Teoni · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 50% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 8-11 · vs Parker/Teoni · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 50% of points2024-03-15 PPA · 11-9 · vs Parker/Teoni · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 50% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 11-2 · vs Narayanan/Shekar · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 61% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Narayanan/Shekar · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 61% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 11-1 · vs Narayanan/Shekar · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 61% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 7-11 · vs Young/Patriquin · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 49% of points2024-03-16 PPA · 9-11 · vs Young/Patriquin · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 49% of points2024-04-01 PPA · 9-11 · vs Moore/Boyle · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 57% of points2024-04-01 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Moore/Boyle · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 57% of points2024-04-01 PPA · 11-9 · vs Moore/Boyle · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 57% of points2024-04-02 PPA · 11-6 · vs Emmrich/Rosa · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 38% of points2024-04-02 PPA · 6-11 · vs Emmrich/Rosa · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 38% of points2024-04-02 PPA · 5-11 · vs Emmrich/Rosa · w/ Audrey Adele Brown · model expected 38% of points2024-04-03 PPA · 8-11 · vs Sock/Shick · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 49% of points2024-04-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sock/Shick · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 49% of points2024-04-03 PPA · 11-7 · vs Sock/Shick · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 49% of points2024-04-04 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Garnett · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 45% of points2024-04-04 PPA · 2-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Garnett · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 45% of points2024-04-12 PPA · 7-11 · vs Frantova/Fought · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 46% of points2024-04-12 PPA · 3-11 · vs Frantova/Fought · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 46% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 46% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 6-11 · vs Johnson/Frazier · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 46% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 1-11 · vs Bass/Brown · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 59% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 11-4 · vs Bass/Brown · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 59% of points2024-04-13 PPA · 11-3 · vs Bass/Brown · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 59% of points2024-04-19 PPA · 2-11 · vs Scarpa/Hoag · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 46% of points2024-04-19 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Hoag · w/ Rachel Rettger · model expected 46% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Scarpa/Barrientos · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 51% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Scarpa/Barrientos · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 51% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Scarpa/Barrientos · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 51% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 45% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 11-7 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 45% of points2024-04-20 PPA · 4-11 · vs Ge/Garnett · w/ Rafa Hewett · model expected 45% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-7 · vs Hamaguchi/Ferris · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 73% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-5 · vs Jansen/Dow · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 62% of points2024-05-13 PPA · 15-8 · vs Siljestrom/Goldberg · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 51% of points2024-05-14 PPA · 3-11 · vs Black/Frazier · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 33% of points2024-05-14 PPA · 5-11 · vs Black/Frazier · w/ Jamie Haas · model expected 33% of points2024-05-15 PPA · 4-11 · vs Shick/Sock · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 50% of points2024-05-15 PPA · 11-2 · vs Shick/Sock · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 50% of points2024-05-15 PPA · 11-2 · vs Shick/Sock · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 50% of points2024-05-16 PPA · 6-11 · vs Frazier/Johnson · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 37% of points2024-05-16 PPA · 4-11 · vs Frazier/Johnson · w/ Tyler Loong · model expected 37% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 8-11 · vs Frazier/Black · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 38% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 11-7 · vs Frazier/Black · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 38% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 11-3 · vs Frazier/Black · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 38% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 11-0 · vs Devidze/Andrews · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 70% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Devidze/Andrews · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 70% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 6-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 23% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Johns · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 23% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 1-11 · vs Hoag/Loyd · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 56% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 11-1 · vs Hoag/Loyd · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 56% of points2024-05-31 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hoag/Loyd · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 56% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lohani/Roddy · w/ Collin Shick · model expected 57% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 15-13 (OT) · vs Lohani/Roddy · w/ Collin Shick · model expected 57% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 4-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Collin Shick · model expected 40% of points2024-06-01 PPA · 3-11 · vs Johns/Johns · w/ Collin Shick · model expected 40% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Szymanski/Rzesnowiecky · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 88% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-0 · vs Szymanski/Rzesnowiecky · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 88% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Kuhlman/Sam · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 79% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kuhlman/Sam · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 79% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-1 · vs Kutz/Stansbury · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 83% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kutz/Stansbury · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 83% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Goldberg/Blaszkewycz · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 64% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-8 · vs Goldberg/Blaszkewycz · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 64% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Wazir/Mediratta · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 71% of points2024-08-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Wazir/Mediratta · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 71% of points2024-08-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Arnold/Koop · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 52% of points2024-08-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Arnold/Koop · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 52% of points2024-08-09 PPA · 7-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 27% of points2024-08-09 PPA · 1-11 · vs Johns/Waters · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 27% of points2024-08-09 PPA · 11-8 · vs Ge/Kawamoto · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 45% of points2024-08-09 PPA · 11-9 · vs Ge/Kawamoto · w/ Kate Fahey · model expected 45% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 52% of points2024-08-10 PPA · 7-11 · vs Garnett/Loong · w/ Eric Oncins · model expected 52% of points2024-08-23 PPA · 11-4 · vs Ignatowich/Fu · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 64% of points2024-08-23 PPA · 11-5 · vs Ignatowich/Fu · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 64% of points2024-08-23 PPA · 5-11 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 35% of points2024-08-23 PPA · 2-11 · vs Pisnik/Bar · w/ Martina Frantova · model expected 35% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 2-11 · vs Kong/Smith · w/ Angie Walker · model expected 57% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Kong/Smith · w/ Angie Walker · model expected 57% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 11-2 · vs Kong/Smith · w/ Angie Walker · model expected 57% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Patriquin/Jansen · w/ Angie Walker · model expected 35% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 9-11 · vs Patriquin/Jansen · w/ Angie Walker · model expected 35% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 11-6 · vs Traxler/Thorn · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 66% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 11-5 · vs Traxler/Thorn · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 66% of points2024-08-29 PPA · 7-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Ge · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 43% of points2024-08-29 PPA · 1-11 · vs Rettenmaier/Ge · w/ Todd Fought · model expected 43% of points0%25%50%75%100%2024winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA69–5357%8.8–7.9
11–4
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
6–4
overtime games (past the target)
37
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
12
longest win streak
-2
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

+5.8 (+3.8…+7.2)
pts vs avg active men’s singles player (90%)
rated
31 pro singles games
22–9
singles record · last 2024-08

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Michael Loyd1611–557%+0.05 ±0.50 (noise)
Rafa Hewett167–951%-0.03 ±0.50 (noise)
Martina Frantova148–656%+0.24 ±0.51 (noise)
Kate Fahey108–260%+0.05 ±0.48 (noise)
Lauren Mercado97–259%+0.18 ±0.50 (noise)
Rachel Rettger92–738%-0.19 ±0.53 (noise)
Eric Oncins86–260%-0.10 ±0.48 (noise)
Salome Devidze64–259%+0.09 ±0.48 (noise)
Audrey Adele Brown63–348%+0.02 ±0.52 (noise)
Pesa Teoni52–344%-0.07 ±0.52 (noise)
Jamie Haas53–256%+0.05 ±0.52 (noise)
Tyler Loong52–349%+0.03 ±0.49 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2024-08-29PPA · mensTodd FoughtRettenmaier/Ge1-11-34%
2024-08-29PPA · mensTodd FoughtRettenmaier/Ge7-11-4%
2024-08-28PPA · mensTodd FoughtTraxler/Thorn11-5+3%
2024-08-28PPA · mensTodd FoughtTraxler/Thorn11-6-1%
2024-08-28PPA · mixedAngie WalkerPatriquin/Jansen9-11+10%
2024-08-28PPA · mixedAngie WalkerPatriquin/Jansen1-11-27%
2024-08-27PPA · mixedAngie WalkerKong/Smith11-2+28%
2024-08-27PPA · mixedAngie WalkerKong/Smith12-10 OT-2%
2024-08-27PPA · mixedAngie WalkerKong/Smith2-11-41%
2024-08-23PPA · mixedMartina FrantovaPisnik/Bar2-11-20%
2024-08-23PPA · mixedMartina FrantovaPisnik/Bar5-11-4%
2024-08-23PPA · mixedMartina FrantovaIgnatowich/Fu11-5+4%

Put Patrick in the simulator →