PICKLES

Lauren Mercado W

womens 11–21 · mixed 20–17

+2.3 (+0.0…+4.2)
pts vs avg pairing (90% interval)
#129
of 204 active women (within gender only)
31–38
career record · 45% wins, 49% of points
—
6-month form

Skill trajectory

Monthly posterior value (converted to points vs an average pairing) with a 90% credible band. Flat months = little evidence, not zero games.

2024-01 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.3)2024-02 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2)2024-03 · +3.0 pts (90% band +1.6 to +4.2)2024-04 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.2)2024-05 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.1)2024-06 · +2.9 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.1)2024-07 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.1)2024-08 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.5 to +4.0)2024-09 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.0)2024-10 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.0)2024-11 · +2.8 pts (90% band +1.4 to +4.0)2024-12 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0)2025-01 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +4.0)2025-02 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.9)2025-03 · +2.7 pts (90% band +1.3 to +3.9)2025-04 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.2 to +3.9)2025-05 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9)2025-06 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +3.9)2025-07 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.0)2025-08 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.0)2025-09 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.1 to +4.0)2025-10 · +2.6 pts (90% band +1.0 to +4.0)2025-11 · +2.6 pts (90% band +0.9 to +4.0)2025-12 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.8 to +4.1)2026-01 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.7 to +4.1)2026-02 · +2.5 pts (90% band +0.6 to +4.1)2026-03 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.5 to +4.1)2026-04 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.4 to +4.1)2026-05 · +2.4 pts (90% band +0.3 to +4.1)2026-06 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.1)2026-07 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.2 to +4.1)2026-08 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.2)2026-09 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.1 to +4.2)2026-10 · +2.3 pts (90% band +0.0 to +4.2)+0+2+4202420252026pts vs avg pairing

Game log vs expectation

Dots = share of points actually won in each game; line = what the model expected given both pairings that month (weakest-link included; descriptive, not a frozen forecast).

2024-01-09 PPA · 11-7 · vs Lum/Marceau · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 66% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-4 · vs Lum/Marceau · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 66% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-3 · vs Dayan/Huynh · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 58% of points2024-01-09 PPA · 11-5 · vs Dayan/Huynh · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 58% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Lum/Huynh · w/ Brooke Revuelta · model expected 49% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 9-11 · vs Lum/Huynh · w/ Brooke Revuelta · model expected 49% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 5-11 · vs Waters/Alshon · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 34% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Waters/Alshon · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 34% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 4-11 · vs Waters/Alshon · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 34% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-5 · vs Kawamoto/Young · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 45% of points2024-01-10 PPA · 11-8 · vs Kawamoto/Young · w/ Patrick Kawka · model expected 45% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-6 · vs Skufca/Skufca · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 62% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs Skufca/Skufca · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 62% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Emmrich/Fudge · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 39% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 4-11 · vs Emmrich/Fudge · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 39% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs Andrews/Zalinski · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 74% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-1 · vs Andrews/Zalinski · w/ Casey Diamond · model expected 74% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 11-3 · vs Biakina/Kong · w/ Brooke Revuelta · model expected 57% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 3-11 · vs Biakina/Kong · w/ Brooke Revuelta · model expected 57% of points2024-02-20 PPA · 7-11 · vs Biakina/Kong · w/ Brooke Revuelta · model expected 57% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs Studnicki/Ferrer · w/ Ethan Violette · model expected 45% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-9 · vs Studnicki/Ferrer · w/ Ethan Violette · model expected 45% of points2024-04-24 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Studnicki/Ferrer · w/ Ethan Violette · model expected 45% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Christian/Erokhina · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 38% of points2024-04-27 PPA · 3-11 · vs Christian/Erokhina · w/ Reyna Ash · model expected 38% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 11-6 · vs Williams/Laidlaw · w/ Ryan Finley · model expected 54% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Williams/Laidlaw · w/ Ryan Finley · model expected 54% of points2024-08-21 PPA · 9-11 · vs Williams/Laidlaw · w/ Ryan Finley · model expected 54% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 6-11 · vs David/Todd · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 21% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 5-11 · vs David/Todd · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 21% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Morales/Ojeda · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 56% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 9-11 · vs Morales/Ojeda · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 56% of points2024-08-24 PPA · 11-7 · vs Morales/Ojeda · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 56% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/Tellez · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 35% of points2024-08-27 PPA · 5-11 · vs Wang/Tellez · w/ Pesa Teoni · model expected 35% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 3-11 · vs Glozman/Schneemann · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 22% of points2024-08-28 PPA · 1-11 · vs Glozman/Schneemann · w/ Brianna Kemp · model expected 22% of points2025-03-25 PPA · 11-1 · vs Rosenbach/Ciampini · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 65% of points2025-03-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Rosenbach/Ciampini · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 65% of points2025-03-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Christian/Sock · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 31% of points2025-03-27 PPA · 4-11 · vs Christian/Sock · w/ Andre Mercado · model expected 31% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 5-11 · vs Gecheva/Christian · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 34% of points2025-03-28 PPA · 7-11 · vs Gecheva/Christian · w/ Jalina Ingram · model expected 34% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 14-12 (OT) · vs Lim/Lazaro · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 52% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 11-13 (OT) · vs Lim/Lazaro · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 52% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 6-11 · vs Lim/Lazaro · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 52% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 11-2 · vs Brady/Blitz · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 75% of points2025-04-25 PPA · 11-5 · vs Brady/Blitz · w/ Lucas Pascoe · model expected 75% of points2025-04-26 PPA · 11-4 · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 63% of points2025-04-26 PPA · 11-5 · vs Boydston/Boydston · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 63% of points2025-04-26 PPA · 6-11 · vs Dikosavljevic/Thakare · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 57% of points2025-04-26 PPA · 4-11 · vs Dikosavljevic/Thakare · w/ Nicola Schoeman · model expected 57% of points2025-09-04 PPA · 11-5 · vs Hazawa/Chen-An · w/ Prycen Haas · model expected 67% of points2025-09-04 PPA · 11-4 · vs Hazawa/Chen-An · w/ Prycen Haas · model expected 67% of points2025-09-04 PPA · 6-11 · vs Haas/Mehta · w/ Prycen Haas · model expected 35% of points2025-09-04 PPA · 3-11 · vs Haas/Mehta · w/ Prycen Haas · model expected 35% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-2 · vs Lee/Huynh · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 58% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-6 · vs Lee/Huynh · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 58% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 9-11 · vs Huang/Hart · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 55% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 12-10 (OT) · vs Huang/Hart · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 55% of points2025-09-06 PPA · 11-4 · vs Huang/Hart · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 55% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 10-12 (OT) · vs Burr/Haas · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 47% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Burr/Haas · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 47% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 11-4 · vs Burr/Haas · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 47% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 3-11 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 29% of points2025-09-07 PPA · 0-11 · vs Truong/Dizon · w/ Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall · model expected 29% of points2026-07-08 MLP · 1-11 · vs Jones/Tuionetoa · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 23% of points2026-07-08 MLP · 4-11 · vs Tuionetoa/Shimabukuro · w/ Kallan Arledge · model expected 24% of points2026-07-10 MLP · 0-11 · vs Frantova/Weil · w/ Ella Cosma · model expected 28% of points0%25%50%75%100%202420252026winlossmodel expectationshare of points

Splits

yeartourW–L win%avg score
2024PPA16–2143%7.9–8.4
2025PPA15–1452%8.5–7.9
2026MLP0–30%1.7–11.0
3–5
deciding games (PPA winner-take-all)
2–4
overtime games (past the target)
21
blowout wins (opponents ≤5)
4
longest win streak
-5
current streak (+W / −L)

Singles

-7.9 (-9.4…-5.2)
pts vs avg active women’s singles player (90%)
blend
thin record (2 g, 0 DB rallies) + doubles-informed prior
0–2
singles record · last 2025-09

Full singles ratings →

Partners

Chemistry = pair effect beyond the two players' values, in points per game; almost everything here is honest noise — no pair in the sport clears statistical significance (why).

partnergames W–Lpoint sharechem (pts)
Xiao Yi Wang-Beckvall106–454%+0.10 ±0.50 (noise)
Patrick Kawka97–259%+0.18 ±0.50 (noise)
Brianna Kemp72–540%+0.04 ±0.49 (noise)
Casey Diamond64–262%+0.06 ±0.50 (noise)
Brooke Revuelta51–442%-0.13 ±0.49 (noise)
Lucas Pascoe53–255%-0.01 ±0.52 (noise)
Andre Mercado42–252%+0.03 ±0.49 (noise)
Nicola Schoeman42–251%-0.07 ±0.51 (noise)
Prycen Haas42–250%+0.00 ±0.50 (noise)
Ethan Violette31–245%+0.00 ±0.50 (noise)
Ryan Finley31–251%-0.04 ±0.53 (noise)
Reyna Ash20–227%-0.06 ±0.52 (noise)

Recent games

datetourpartner opponentsscorevs exp
2026-07-10MLP · womensElla CosmaFrantova/Weil0-11-28%
2026-07-08MLP · mixedKallan ArledgeTuionetoa/Shimabukuro4-11+3%
2026-07-08MLP · womensElla CosmaJones/Tuionetoa1-11-14%
2025-09-07PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallTruong/Dizon0-11-29%
2025-09-07PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallTruong/Dizon3-11-7%
2025-09-07PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallBurr/Haas11-4+26%
2025-09-07PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallBurr/Haas11-4+26%
2025-09-07PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallBurr/Haas10-12 OT-2%
2025-09-06PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallHuang/Hart11-4+18%
2025-09-06PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallHuang/Hart12-10 OT-1%
2025-09-06PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallHuang/Hart9-11-10%
2025-09-06PPA · womensXiao Yi Wang-BeckvallLee/Huynh11-6+7%

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